Kilsyth vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2019

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 71-87

23-26 16-18 15-12 17-31

Position#7

Record6-1

FormWWWWL

Points / game90.6

Allowed / game82.9

Kilsyth

Ballarat 🏆

Position#1

Record5-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game96.8

Allowed / game75.4

NBL 1

Other2019

Meetings · Kilsyth v Ballarat

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilsyth winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ballarat winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kilsyth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

#13

84-67

+17

H22/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

103-93

103

+10

A29/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

73-92

-19

H05/08

SEABL

Knox

#13

70-67

A30/03

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

93-88

H31/03

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

100-90

100

+10

H13/04

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

92-79

+13

A14/04

NBL 1

Geelong

95-78

+17

A27/04

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

92-72

+20

H28/04

NBL 1

Southern Sabres

#18

92-106

106

-14

H05/05

NBL 1

12-16

23-10

22-21

27-20

31-20

28-26

22-27

22-20

19-26

22-25

12-22

20-19

10-18

23-15

24-20

13-14

30-27

24-19

18-23

21-19

27-28

23-19

31-18

19-25

29-16

30-17

8-31

25-15

28-23

26-25

24-17

17-13

28-22

19-20

17-14

28-16

21-22

21-23

17-26

33-35

172.6Avg total

89.4Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	90.6	82.9	173.4	+7.7	86%
Season at home (4)	94.2	89.0	183.2	+5.2	75%
Season away (3)	85.7	74.7	160.3	+11.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	89.4	83.2	172.6	+6.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	94.2	85.0	179.2	+9.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	71.8	82.4	154.2	-10.6	10%
vs Similar (10)	89.0	85.0	174.0	+4.0	70%
vs Weaker (10)	86.3	79.3	165.6	+7.0	80%

This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ballarat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

#12

89-82

A29/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

98-79

+19

H30/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

87-76

+11

H05/08

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

81-77

H12/08

SEABL

Dandenong

94-102 OT

102

-8

H26/08

SEABL

Nunawading

94-87

A30/03

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

94-86

H06/04

NBL 1

Dandenong

80-73

A13/04

NBL 1

Knox

#13

90-68

+22

A27/04

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

126-63

126

+63

A04/05

NBL 1

20-27

24-17

23-22

22-16

21-19

15-15

26-22

36-23

26-16

23-13

21-22

17-25

14-26

23-16

23-11

21-24

25-26

12-15

25-11

23-33

24-14

16-31

27-21

30-15

17-29

23-21

24-21

22-13

34-18

13-19

11-23

18-7

28-16

24-24

20-21

31-17

35-18

34-20

26-8

172.6Avg total

93.3Scored

79.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	96.8	75.4	172.2	+21.4	100%
Season at home (1)	94.0	86.0	180.0	+8.0	100%
Season away (4)	97.5	72.8	170.2	+24.8	100%
Last 10 (10)	93.3	79.3	172.6	+14.0	90%
Last 5 (5)	96.8	75.4	172.2	+21.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	80.6	87.8	168.4	-7.2	40%
vs Similar (5)	95.6	88.8	184.4	+6.8	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	91.4	79.5	170.9	+12.0	85%

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KilsythBallarat

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	22.0	41.7	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	23.5	43.9	-3.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	21.8	45.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	22.2	48.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.0	22.1	38.1	-6.1	10%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.3	25.4	47.7	-3.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.8	18.5	39.3	+2.3	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	21.6	44.9	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	22.7	46.7	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	20.5	43.2	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	18.0	41.1	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	13.2	38.2	+11.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.2	27.4	45.6	-9.2	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	24.0	20.4	44.4	+3.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	24.4	20.5	44.9	+3.9	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	19.9	43.8	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.8	44.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.3	18.4	40.7	+3.9	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	20.6	43.2	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.3	41.7	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	18.8	41.5	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	22.4	48.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	60%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.6	20.4	44.1	+3.2	60%	-

KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

#13

35-26

H22/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

59-46

+13

A29/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

41-51

-10

H05/08

SEABL

Knox

#13

33-33

A30/03

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

54-46

H31/03

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

50-47

H13/04

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

59-33

+26

A14/04

NBL 1

Geelong

54-48

A27/04

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

47-42

H28/04

NBL 1

Southern Sabres

#18

42-45

-3

H05/05

NBL 1

89.1Avg total

47.4Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	42.6	82.9	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.9	44.2	85.1	-3.3	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	40.7	80.4	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.4	41.7	89.1	+5.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.4	43.0	93.4	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	34.4	44.1	78.5	-9.7	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	43.4	46.7	90.1	-3.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.1	36.9	80.0	+6.2	70%	-

This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

#12

44-44

A29/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

36-34

H30/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

49-29

+20

H05/08

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

37-42

-5

H12/08

SEABL

Dandenong

37-41

-4

H26/08

SEABL

Nunawading

40-45

-5

A30/03

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

47-44

H06/04

NBL 1

Dandenong

56-31

+25

A13/04

NBL 1

Knox

#13

46-23

+23

A27/04

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

66-35

+31

A04/05

NBL 1

82.6Avg total

45.8Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.8	42.3	88.1	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.4	42.0	88.4	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.3	42.5	87.8	+2.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	36.8	82.6	+9.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.0	35.6	86.6	+15.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.4	49.2	87.6	-10.8	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	44.4	40.6	85.0	+3.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	48.0	41.0	89.0	+7.1	70%	-

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	20.5	41.4	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.9	41.4	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.7	18.9	37.6	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	24.6	21.0	45.6	+3.6	70%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.7	21.0	40.7	-1.3	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	18.3	40.8	+4.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	17.7	40.2	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	18.9	41.3	+3.6	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	19.3	43.2	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	21.0	45.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.8	16.6	37.4	+4.2	60%	-
vs Similar (5)	25.2	21.2	46.4	+4.0	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.2	18.0	40.2	+4.2	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	19.6	41.7	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	17.8	35.9	+0.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.6	42.1	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	20.8	45.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.6	18.2	34.8	-1.6	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.0	17.3	38.3	+3.7	70%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.2	20.7	43.9	+2.5	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	22.2	45.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	21.5	44.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.4	22.0	43.4	-0.6	60%	-
vs Similar (5)	24.2	23.6	47.8	+0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.6	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	39.0	80.3	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	39.7	82.9	+3.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.0	38.3	77.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	41.5	83.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	42.0	85.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	35.3	37.1	72.4	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	45.6	38.3	83.9	+7.3	70%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.9	41.7	84.6	+1.2	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	39.6	83.7	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.9	39.9	85.8	+5.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.5	39.2	81.7	+3.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.6	40.8	87.4	+5.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	39.8	85.6	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	42.2	38.6	80.8	+3.6	60%	-
vs Similar (5)	49.4	44.8	94.2	+4.6	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.4	38.5	81.8	+4.9	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kilsyth wins

Ballarat wins

Date	Game	Score
21/05/17	Ballarat v Kilsyth	81-76
08/04/17	Kilsyth v Ballarat	63-69
23/07/16	Kilsyth v Ballarat	95-79
15/08/15	Kilsyth v Ballarat	69-76 OT
26/04/15	Ballarat v Kilsyth	78-100

Kilsythlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/05/19	H	Southern Sabres	92-106
28/04/19	H	Melbourne Tigers	92-72
27/04/19	A	Geelong	95-78
14/04/19	A	Ringwood	92-79
13/04/19	H	Bendigo Braves	100-90
31/03/19	H	BA CoE	93-88
30/03/19	A	Knox	70-67
05/08/17	H	Mt Gambier	73-92
29/07/17	A	Albury	103-93
22/07/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	84-67

Ballaratlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/05/19	A	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	126-63
27/04/19	A	Knox	90-68
13/04/19	A	Dandenong	80-73
06/04/19	H	Bendigo Braves	94-86
30/03/19	A	Nunawading	94-87
26/08/17	H	Dandenong	94-102 OT
12/08/17	H	Hobart Chargers	81-77
05/08/17	H	BA CoE	87-76
30/07/17	H	NW Tasmania	98-79
29/07/17	A	Frankston	89-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kilsyth

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	86%
Home	WWWL	75%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	86%	75%	100%
Points / game	90.6	94.2	85.7
Allowed / game	82.9	89.0	74.7
Point differential	+7.7	+5.2	+11.0
Avg total	173.4	183.2	160.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	50%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ballarat

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	1	4
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	96.8	94.0	97.5
Allowed / game	75.4	86.0	72.8
Point differential	+21.4	+8.0	+24.8
Avg total	172.2	180.0	170.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ballarat	5	5	0	100%	96.8	75.4	+21.4
2	Kilsyth	7	6	1	86%	90.6	82.9	+7.7
3	Nunawading	8	5	3	62%	90.9	82.2	+8.6
4	Geelong	8	5	3	62%	85.0	80.8	+4.2
5	Bendigo Braves	7	4	3	57%	84.4	81.7	+2.7
6	BA CoE	7	4	3	57%	88.6	86.3	+2.3
7	NW Tasmania	7	4	3	57%	94.9	93.9	+1.0
8	Dandenong	8	4	4	50%	86.9	84.8	+2.1
9	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	6	3	3	50%	94.0	97.0	-3.0
10	Melbourne Tigers	8	4	4	50%	83.4	86.4	-3.0
11	Waverley	6	3	3	50%	89.2	92.8	-3.7
12	Frankston	7	3	4	43%	86.1	88.1	-2.0
13	Hobart Huskies	8	3	5	38%	89.4	92.8	-3.4
14	Knox	6	2	4	33%	78.2	80.3	-2.2
15	Ringwood	6	2	4	33%	92.8	97.3	-4.5
16	Eltham	7	2	5	29%	89.9	96.4	-6.6
17	Diamond Valley	7	2	5	29%	82.4	89.4	-7.0
18	Southern Sabres	8	2	6	25%	88.6	99.0	-10.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kilsyth	23	16	15	17	71
Ballarat	26	18	12	31	87

← all games of the day

Kilsyth vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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