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Frankston vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 May 2023
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 106-87
32-22 18-26 29-24 27-15
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#11
Record5-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game88.6
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Frankston v Ballarat
20 Jul 2024
FRAN97
BALL58
30 Jun 2024
FRAN94
BALL69
07 May 2023
FRAN106
BALL87
02 Jun 2019
FRAN87
BALL80
29 Jul 2017
FRAN82
BALL89
10 Jul 2016
FRAN97
BALL108
26 Jul 2015
FRAN73
BALL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Frankston winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FrankstonAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra
#2
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H09/09
NBL 1
South Adelaide Panthers
#6
W
95-90
95
90
+5
H10/09
NBL 1
Rockingham Flames
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A11/09
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
101-87
101
87
+14
A01/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
102-78
102
78
+24
A06/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
104-82
104
82
+22
H15/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
94-103
94
103
-9
H16/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H22/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
100-72
100
72
+28
H24/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A29/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
19-23
27-23
30-18
39-22
14-20
23-23
19-25
19-28
26-12
18-25
11-20
20-23
25-25
34-16
22-23
30-22
28-19
24-25
20-12
–
–
–
–
27-18
16-24
23-32
28-29
31-17
21-25
20-23
22-13
21-20
25-16
21-17
33-19
18-26
22-15
16-18
17-20
176.6Avg total
92.6Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)95.482.7178.1+12.771%
Season at home (4)98.083.8181.8+14.275%
Season away (3)92.081.3173.3+10.767%
Last 10 (10)92.684.0176.6+8.670%
Last 5 (5)93.082.8175.8+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.585.5167.0-4.050%
vs Similar (7)89.793.9183.6-4.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)91.680.7172.2+10.976%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#2
L
70-102
70
102
-32
A12/08
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H14/08
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
92-68
92
68
+24
H01/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
118-100
118
100
+18
H06/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
92-95
92
95
-3
A14/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
76-104
76
104
-28
A15/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A21/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A22/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
97-88
97
88
+9
H29/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A06/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
25-30
17-24
12-20
28-18
21-18
19-25
30-27
25-13
18-23
23-18
26-14
34-33
29-23
30-23
25-21
24-33
26-23
15-28
27-11
24-35
22-22
12-28
18-19
27-16
16-24
27-14
24-29
29-25
14-25
19-21
32-13
24-24
18-21
29-14
26-29
19-17
21-18
19-28
16-24
180.5Avg total
90.6Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.288.6180.9+3.662%
Season at home (3)102.385.3187.7+17.0100%
Season away (5)86.290.6176.8-4.440%
Last 10 (10)90.689.9180.5+0.760%
Last 5 (5)87.289.2176.4-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.886.8165.5-8.038%
vs Similar (14)82.583.6166.1-1.143%
vs Weaker (8)92.084.2176.2+7.875%
This opponent (Frankston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
FrankstonBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FrankstonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H09/09
NBL 1
South Adelaide Panthers
#6
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H10/09
NBL 1
Rockingham Flames
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A11/09
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A01/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A06/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H16/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H22/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H24/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/04
NBL1 South
87.9Avg total
46.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.643.989.5+1.759%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.442.488.8+4.073%-
Last 30 away (14)44.745.690.3-0.943%-
Last 10 (9)46.041.987.9+4.167%-
Last 5 (5)47.840.488.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.542.581.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (7)46.648.795.3-2.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.042.488.3+3.660%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#2
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A12/08
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H14/08
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H01/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H06/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A14/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A15/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A22/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H29/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A06/05
NBL1 South
92.9Avg total
46.0Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.444.587.9-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.142.988.0+2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)41.945.987.8-4.031%-
Last 10 (10)46.046.992.9-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.845.488.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)42.545.588.0-3.038%-
vs Similar (14)41.243.484.6-2.143%-
vs Weaker (8)48.145.493.5+2.850%-
This opponent (Frankston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Frankston wins
6
Ballarat wins
DateGameScore
16/07/22Ballarat v Frankston84-87
08/05/21Ballarat v Frankston77-89
02/06/19Frankston v Ballarat87-80
29/07/17Frankston v Ballarat82-89
06/04/17Ballarat v Frankston99-94
10/07/16Frankston v Ballarat97-108
29/05/16Ballarat v Frankston99-76
26/07/15Frankston v Ballarat73-77
03/05/15Ballarat v Frankston115-80
Frankstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/23AGeelong73-79
24/04/23HDandenong100-72
22/04/23HDiamond Valley94-78
16/04/23HMt Gambier94-103
15/04/23HWaverley104-82
06/04/23ASandringham Sabres102-78
01/04/23ABendigo Braves101-87
11/09/22ARockingham Flames74-85
10/09/22HSouth Adelaide Panthers95-90
09/09/22HCanberra89-86
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/23ADiamond Valley75-87
29/04/23HDandenong97-88
22/04/23ANW Tasmania94-84
21/04/23AHobart Chargers94-83
15/04/23ANunawading76-104
14/04/23AKeilor Thunder92-95
06/04/23HBendigo Braves118-100
01/04/23HMelbourne Tigers92-68
14/08/22HBendigo Braves98-88
12/08/22AMt Gambier70-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Frankston
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game95.498.092.0
Allowed / game82.783.881.3
Point differential+12.7+14.2+10.7
Avg total178.1181.8173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%100%40%
Points / game92.2102.386.2
Allowed / game88.685.390.6
Point differential+3.6+17.0-4.4
Avg total180.9187.7176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier76186%103.789.1+14.6
2 Frankston75271%95.482.7+12.7
3 Eltham75271%88.678.0+10.6
4 Nunawading75271%91.483.3+8.1
5 Knox85362%82.573.8+8.8
6 Ballarat85362%92.288.6+3.6
7 Hobart Chargers74357%87.086.1+0.9
8 Keilor Thunder74357%84.490.6-6.1
9 Sandringham Sabres95456%87.989.1-1.2
10 Kilsyth84450%93.891.9+1.9
11 Diamond Valley84450%85.887.9-2.1
12 Melbourne Tigers73443%80.082.7-2.7
13 Geelong73443%86.990.7-3.9
14 NW Tasmania73443%82.488.6-6.1
15 Ringwood83538%88.489.9-1.5
16 Dandenong82625%85.991.8-5.9
17 Casey Cavaliers82625%77.886.1-8.4
18 Bendigo Braves82625%85.498.0-12.6
19 Waverley61517%78.787.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Frankston32182927106
Ballarat2226241587
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