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Frayles de Guasave vs Halcones de Obregon Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 109-101
24-22 20-24 32-32 33-23
Position#10
Record3-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game95.7
vs
Position#6
Record7-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game87.9
MexicoCIBACOPA· Gimnasio Luis Estrada Medina
Other2024
Meetings · Frayles de Guasave v Halcones de Obregon
09 May 2025
FRAY71
HALC105
08 May 2025
FRAY81
HALC91
03 Apr 2024
FRAY109
HALC101
02 Apr 2024
FRAY100
HALC91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Frayles de Guasave winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Halcones de Obregon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Frayles de GuasaveMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuasave
Date
Competition
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
93-113
93
113
-20
82avg 79
H10/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
82-99
82
99
-17
66avg 79
H17/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
83-92
83
92
-9
77avg 79
A18/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
L
92-95
92
95
-3
85avg 79
A20/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
L
89-102
89
102
-13
76avg 79
A21/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
91-87
91
87
+4
90avg 79
A23/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
102-107
102
107
-5
94avg 79
H24/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
92-97
92
97
-5
76avg 79
A27/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
86-95
86
95
-9
70avg 79
A28/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
100-91
100
91
+9
94avg 79
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
21-31
24-24
28-31
26-24
20-19
21-33
15-23
27-16
12-31
19-23
25-22
13-22
23-27
32-26
24-20
29-20
22-28
17-27
21-27
22-23
22-18
24-30
23-16
30-19
20-35
32-20
20-33
32-19
21-30
22-25
17-23
16-15
25-28
27-28
18-24
30-27
18-23
27-20
25-21
188.8Avg total
91.0Scored
97.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.795.7185.5-6.020%
Season at home (7)94.097.9191.9-3.929%
Season away (8)86.093.9179.9-7.912%
Last 10 (10)91.097.8188.8-6.820%
Last 5 (5)94.295.4189.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)89.895.5185.4-5.718%
vs Similar (4)89.596.2185.8-6.825%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de ObregonMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormObregon
Date
Competition
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
86-102
86
102
-16
78avg 78
A10/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
93-91
93
91
+2
89avg 78
H13/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
99-91
99
91
+8
89avg 78
H14/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
67avg 78
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
67-90
67
90
-23
50avg 78
A17/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
100-86
100
86
+14
98avg 78
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
88-103
88
103
-15
83avg 78
H24/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
86-75
86
75
+11
83avg 78
A27/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
62-70
62
70
-8
52avg 78
A28/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
91-100
91
100
-9
85avg 78
A03/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
36-23
15-21
20-30
24-16
20-19
34-33
15-23
28-25
17-25
25-16
29-25
15-25
20-21
28-20
16-17
26-28
15-21
10-29
16-12
21-22
24-22
33-25
22-17
17-20
24-25
22-26
25-32
27-10
28-13
19-36
12-16
15-14
15-14
20-19
12-23
27-30
23-18
20-27
21-25
174.2Avg total
85.1Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.787.9172.6-3.147%
Season at home (6)93.389.3182.7+4.083%
Season away (9)79.086.9165.9-7.922%
Last 10 (10)85.189.1174.2-4.040%
Last 5 (5)85.486.8172.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)92.593.0185.5-0.546%
vs Similar (14)92.695.1187.6-2.543%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)79.781.7161.3-2.033%
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -3.2-3.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -3.2-3.2
Frayles de GuasaveHalcones de Obregon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Frayles de GuasaveLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H10/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H17/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A18/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A20/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A21/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A23/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H24/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A27/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A28/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H03/04
CIBACOPA
93.1Avg total
44.9Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)43.647.891.4-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (7)45.049.394.3-4.329%-
Last 30 away (8)42.446.588.9-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)44.948.293.1-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)47.247.494.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)43.248.491.5-5.227%-
vs Similar (4)44.846.291.0-1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de ObregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Angeles CDMX
#4
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A10/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H13/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H14/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A17/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H24/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
55-23
55
23
+32
A27/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A28/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A03/04
CIBACOPA
85.6Avg total
43.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.544.789.1-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.645.893.4+1.862%-
Last 30 away (17)42.143.885.9-1.841%-
Last 10 (10)43.741.985.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.681.8+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)44.846.891.6-1.938%-
vs Similar (14)44.045.289.2-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)45.033.078.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Frayles de Guasavetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Frayles de Guasave: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.023.3
51.8%
52.6%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.2
37.7%
36.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.215.7
74.1%
72.4%15.7
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Halcones de Obregontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Obregon: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.122.5
49.9%
52.6%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.2
35.7%
36.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.315.3
79.3%
72.4%15.3
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Frayles de Guasave
WLLLWLLLLL
Halcones de Obregon
LLWLWLLWWL
#10
League position
#6
-9.7
Net rating
-4.8
110.1
Offensive rating
110.2
119.7
Defensive rating
115.0
53.5%
Effective FG%
51.1%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.0%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.7%
3-point %
35.7%
51.7%
Assist %
52.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 110.2Defence119.7 · 115.0Shooting53.5% · 51.1%3-point %37.7% · 35.7%Ball care16.3% · 15.0%Off. rebounds26.5% · 28.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Frayles de Guasave   ■ Halcones de Obregon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Frayles de Guasave wins
0
Halcones de Obregon wins
DateGameScore
03/04/24Frayles de Guasave v Halcones de Obregon100-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/24HHalcones de Obregon100-91
28/03/24AVenados de Mazatlan86-95
27/03/24AVenados de Mazatlan92-97
24/03/24HCaballeros de Culiacan102-107
23/03/24ACaballeros de Culiacan91-87
21/03/24AOstioneros de Guaymas89-102
20/03/24AOstioneros de Guaymas92-95
18/03/24APioneros de Los Mochis83-92
17/03/24HPioneros de Los Mochis82-99
10/03/24HZonkeys de Tijuana93-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/24AFrayles de Guasave91-100
28/03/24APioneros de Los Mochis62-70
27/03/24APioneros de Los Mochis86-75
24/03/24HVenados de Mazatlan88-103
23/03/24HVenados de Mazatlan100-86
17/03/24ARayos de Hermosillo67-90
16/03/24ARayos de Hermosillo79-83
14/03/24HAstros99-91
13/03/24HAstros93-91
10/03/24AAngeles CDMX86-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Frayles de Guasave
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW20%
HomeWLLLW29%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %20%29%12%
Points / game89.794.086.0
Allowed / game95.797.993.9
Point differential-6.0-3.9-7.9
Avg total185.5191.9179.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Halcones de Obregon
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL47%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %47%83%22%
Points / game84.793.379.0
Allowed / game87.989.386.9
Point differential-3.1+4.0-7.9
Avg total172.6182.7165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%17%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros1613381%92.081.1+10.9
2 Zonkeys de Tijuana1512380%91.282.7+8.5
3 Angeles CDMX1510567%90.487.2+3.2
4 Rayos de Hermosillo1510567%86.584.1+2.5
5 Halcones de Obregon157847%84.787.9-3.1
6 Venados de Mazatlan167944%88.691.0-2.4
7 Pioneros de Los Mochis156940%86.689.1-2.5
8 Ostioneros de Guaymas156940%87.691.1-3.5
9 Frayles de Guasave1531220%89.795.7-6.0
10 Caballeros de Culiacan1521313%81.990.0-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Frayles de Guasave24203233109
Halcones de Obregon22243223101
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