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Rayos de Hermosillo vs Halcones de Obregon Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 83-79
25-15 21-20 20-28 17-16
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Position#6
Record5-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game88.9
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena Sonora
Other2024
Meetings · Rayos de Hermosillo v Halcones de Obregon
02 Apr 2025
RAYO75
HALC94
01 Apr 2025
RAYO74
HALC73
05 Jun 2024
RAYO84
HALC72
04 Jun 2024
RAYO87
HALC83
24 May 2024
RAYO73
HALC82
23 May 2024
RAYO99
HALC84
16 Mar 2024
RAYO90
HALC67
15 Mar 2024
RAYO83
HALC79
20 May 2023
RAYO86
HALC82
19 May 2023
RAYO90
HALC87
09 May 2023
RAYO88
HALC83
08 May 2023
RAYO97
HALC105
12 Apr 2023
RAYO80
HALC72
11 Apr 2023
RAYO86
HALC78
13 Jun 2022
RAYO64
HALC72
12 Jun 2022
RAYO79
HALC77
11 Jun 2022
RAYO67
HALC61
21 May 2022
RAYO88
HALC96
20 May 2022
RAYO80
HALC65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rayos de Hermosillo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Halcones de Obregon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rayos de HermosilloMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermosillo
Date
Competition
Astros
#2
L
102-104
102
104
-2
no box
A21/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
100-82
100
82
+18
no box
A22/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
A24/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
L
86-93
86
93
-7
no box
H27/06
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
91-86
91
86
+5
90avg 86
H02/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
92-87
92
87
+5
77avg 86
A03/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
83-81
83
81
+2
79avg 86
A06/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
92-90
92
90
+2
92avg 86
A07/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
109-91
109
91
+18
114avg 86
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
79-86
79
86
-7
66avg 86
A10/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
23-25
32-25
26-30
18-13
29-13
32-25
21-31
21-22
27-18
22-28
23-32
17-20
24-21
22-29
23-23
24-21
18-20
26-17
23-28
31-18
22-24
19-22
20-23
25-22
23-14
16-28
19-17
19-24
22-17
28-25
23-24
19-25
31-12
37-28
22-26
21-19
21-20
18-26
19-21
182.7Avg total
92.7Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.086.8177.8+4.283%
Season at home (1)91.086.0177.0+5.0100%
Season away (5)91.087.0178.0+4.080%
Last 10 (10)92.790.0182.7+2.760%
Last 5 (5)91.087.0178.0+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)97.396.7194.0+0.733%
vs Weaker (24)89.485.2174.6+4.275%
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de ObregonMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormObregon
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
W
117-90
117
90
+27
no box
H25/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
L
93-111
93
111
-18
no box
H27/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
77-89
77
89
-12
65avg 81
A02/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
66avg 81
A03/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
83-75
83
75
+8
79avg 81
H05/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
97-90
97
90
+7
98avg 81
H06/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
91-89
91
89
+2
83avg 81
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
86-102
86
102
-16
78avg 81
A10/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
93-91
93
91
+2
89avg 81
H13/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
99-91
99
91
+8
89avg 81
H14/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-24
30-23
24-25
27-18
16-31
22-28
24-24
31-28
27-21
14-31
20-24
16-13
32-22
11-28
18-12
11-22
23-17
21-13
9-23
30-22
22-25
19-23
31-16
25-26
31-20
19-21
17-27
24-21
15-28
36-23
15-21
20-30
24-16
20-19
34-33
15-23
28-25
17-25
25-16
29-25
182.0Avg total
90.8Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.288.9176.1-1.662%
Season at home (4)93.086.8179.8+6.2100%
Season away (4)81.591.0172.5-9.525%
Last 10 (10)90.891.2182.0-0.460%
Last 5 (5)93.292.6185.8+0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)91.192.1183.1-1.043%
vs Similar ◀ (16)96.197.8193.9-1.638%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
Rayos de HermosilloHalcones de Obregon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rayos de HermosilloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A21/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A22/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A24/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/06
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H02/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A03/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A06/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A07/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A10/03
CIBACOPA
84.8Avg total
45.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.839.283.0+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.238.079.2+3.262%-
Last 30 away (17)45.840.185.9+5.771%-
Last 10 (10)45.639.284.8+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.085.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.040.083.0+3.033%-
vs Weaker (24)44.039.083.0+5.075%-
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de ObregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H25/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H27/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A02/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A03/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H05/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H06/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A10/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H13/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H14/03
CIBACOPA
92.6Avg total
46.3Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.845.990.7-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.946.092.9+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)42.745.988.5-3.233%-
Last 10 (10)46.346.392.6+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)46.245.091.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)44.845.890.6-1.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)44.846.190.9-1.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rayos de Hermosillotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rayos de Hermosillo: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.7 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.322.3
59.8%
52.6%44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.5
35.8%
36.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.313.5
66.4%
72.4%13.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Halcones de Obregontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Obregon: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.7 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.822.3
53.4%
52.6%44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.39.8
44.0%
36.2%29.5
🏀 Free throws23.217.0
73.4%
72.4%17.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rayos de Hermosillo
LWWWWWLLWL
Halcones de Obregon
WWLWWWLLLW
#3
League position
#6
+4.0
Net rating
+3.2
113.2
Offensive rating
117.2
109.2
Defensive rating
114.0
57.1%
Effective FG%
57.8%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.3%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.8%
3-point %
44.0%
58.4%
Assist %
51.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 117.2Defence109.2 · 114.0Shooting57.1% · 57.8%3-point %35.8% · 44.0%Ball care15.9% · 16.3%Off. rebounds28.1% · 27.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Rayos de Hermosillo   ■ Halcones de Obregon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AVenados de Mazatlan79-86
09/03/24AVenados de Mazatlan109-91
07/03/24AFrayles de Guasave92-90
06/03/24AFrayles de Guasave83-81
03/03/24AOstioneros de Guaymas92-87
02/03/24HOstioneros de Guaymas91-86
27/06/23HAstros86-93
24/06/23AAstros93-100
22/06/23AAstros100-82
21/06/23AAstros102-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24HAstros99-91
13/03/24HAstros93-91
10/03/24AAngeles CDMX86-102
09/03/24AAngeles CDMX91-89
06/03/24HOstioneros de Guaymas97-90
05/03/24HOstioneros de Guaymas83-75
03/03/24AZonkeys de Tijuana72-84
02/03/24AZonkeys de Tijuana77-89
27/05/23HRayos de Hermosillo93-111
25/05/23HRayos de Hermosillo117-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rayos de Hermosillo
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeW100%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %83%100%80%
Points / game91.091.091.0
Allowed / game86.886.087.0
Point differential+4.2+5.0+4.0
Avg total177.8177.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Halcones de Obregon
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game87.293.081.5
Allowed / game88.986.891.0
Point differential-1.6+6.2-9.5
Avg total176.1179.8172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zonkeys de Tijuana87188%93.084.5+8.5
2 Rayos de Hermosillo65183%91.086.8+4.2
3 Astros97278%92.284.2+8.0
4 Halcones de Obregon85362%87.288.9-1.6
5 Venados de Mazatlan63350%90.088.0+2.0
6 Angeles CDMX62433%95.795.2+0.5
7 Ostioneros de Guaymas72529%86.791.9-5.1
8 Pioneros de Los Mochis82625%87.594.9-7.4
9 Caballeros de Culiacan61517%83.788.7-5.0
10 Frayles de Guasave61517%88.295.2-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rayos de Hermosillo2521201783
Halcones de Obregon1520281679
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