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Halcones de Obregon vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 93-91
24-16 20-19 34-33 15-23
Position#6
Record3-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game88.2
vs
Position#2
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game81.7
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena ITSON
Other2024
Meetings · Halcones de Obregon v Astros
13 Jun 2025
HALC70
ASTR73
11 Jun 2025
HALC76
ASTR93
10 Jun 2025
HALC92
ASTR91
23 Apr 2025
HALC102
ASTR98
22 Apr 2025
HALC87
ASTR84
13 Mar 2024
HALC99
ASTR91
12 Mar 2024
HALC93
ASTR91
03 May 2023
HALC92
ASTR89
02 May 2023
HALC122
ASTR121
13 Apr 2022
HALC87
ASTR95
12 Apr 2022
HALC93
ASTR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Halcones de Obregon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Halcones de ObregonMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormObregon
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
A21/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
H24/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
W
117-90
117
90
+27
no box
H25/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
L
93-111
93
111
-18
no box
H27/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
77-89
77
89
-12
65avg 78
A02/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
66avg 78
A03/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
83-75
83
75
+8
79avg 78
H05/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
97-90
97
90
+7
98avg 78
H06/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
91-89
91
89
+2
83avg 78
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
86-102
86
102
-16
78avg 78
A10/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
17-20
29-27
21-25
25-26
17-10
20-29
19-17
36-24
30-23
24-25
27-18
16-31
22-28
24-24
31-28
27-21
14-31
20-24
16-13
32-22
11-28
18-12
11-22
23-17
21-13
9-23
30-22
22-25
19-23
31-16
25-26
31-20
19-21
17-27
24-21
15-28
36-23
15-21
20-30
177.7Avg total
87.9Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.388.2172.5-3.850%
Season at home (2)90.082.5172.5+7.5100%
Season away (4)81.591.0172.5-9.525%
Last 10 (10)87.989.8177.7-1.940%
Last 5 (5)85.888.0173.8-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)89.391.8181.1-2.531%
vs Similar (17)95.497.5192.9-2.135%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
81-93
81
93
-12
no box
H09/12
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
A12/12
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
88-93
88
93
-5
no box
A13/12
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
90-98
90
98
-8
no box
A15/12
LNBP
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
77-72
77
72
+5
64avg 80
H02/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
106-83
106
83
+23
107avg 80
H03/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
89-76
89
76
+13
79avg 80
H06/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
110-102 OT
110
102
+8
no box
H07/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
78avg 80
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
86-75
86
75
+11
73avg 80
A10/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
18-23
25-22
21-20
15-17
28-26
11-30
29-17
18-16
22-26
19-21
29-30
19-25
13-30
27-24
31-19
17-14
21-18
16-11
23-29
27-26
30-17
32-16
17-24
28-20
19-14
19-27
23-15
27-21
31-27
16-20
21-27
25-27
29-30
18-17
14-8
29-27
17-13
18-15
22-20
176.0Avg total
89.6Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.381.7174.0+10.7100%
Season at home (4)95.583.2178.8+12.2100%
Season away (2)86.078.5164.5+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)89.686.4176.0+3.260%
Last 5 (5)95.483.6179.0+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)84.987.6172.5-2.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)95.581.5177.0+13.9100%
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
Halcones de ObregonAstros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Halcones de ObregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A21/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H24/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H25/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H27/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A02/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A03/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H05/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H06/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A10/03
CIBACOPA
89.6Avg total
44.8Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.246.190.3-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.646.593.1+0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)42.045.887.8-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)44.844.889.6+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)45.844.089.8+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)43.846.290.0-2.338%-
vs Similar (17)44.446.190.5-1.647%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H09/12
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A12/12
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A13/12
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A15/12
LNBP
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H02/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H03/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H06/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H07/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A10/03
CIBACOPA
89.5Avg total
45.0Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.943.189.0+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.440.587.9+6.871%-
Last 30 away (13)43.946.590.4-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)45.044.589.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)52.444.496.8+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)40.245.085.2-4.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)51.541.292.7+10.373%-
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Halcones de Obregontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Obregon: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.0
54.7%
52.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.810.2
45.1%
36.2%30.8
🏀 Free throws20.214.0
69.1%
72.4%14.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.623.4
51.3%
52.6%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.4
36.4%
36.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.413.0
67.0%
72.4%13.0
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/5 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Halcones de Obregon
LWWWLLLWLL
Astros
WWWWWWLLLL
#6
League position
#2
+0.3
Net rating
+13.4
116.1
Offensive rating
113.0
115.7
Defensive rating
99.7
59.3%
Effective FG%
52.5%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
44.0%
16.4%
Turnover %
12.4%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
45.1%
3-point %
36.4%
53.5%
Assist %
49.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 113.0Defence115.7 · 99.7Shooting59.3% · 52.5%3-point %45.1% · 36.4%Ball care16.4% · 12.4%Off. rebounds25.0% · 30.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Halcones de Obregon   ■ Astros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Halcones de Obregon wins
3
Astros wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AAngeles CDMX86-102
09/03/24AAngeles CDMX91-89
06/03/24HOstioneros de Guaymas97-90
05/03/24HOstioneros de Guaymas83-75
03/03/24AZonkeys de Tijuana72-84
02/03/24AZonkeys de Tijuana77-89
27/05/23HRayos de Hermosillo93-111
25/05/23HRayos de Hermosillo117-90
24/05/23HRayos de Hermosillo81-82
21/05/23ARayos de Hermosillo82-86
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24APioneros de Los Mochis86-75
09/03/24APioneros de Los Mochis86-82
07/03/24HAngeles CDMX110-102 OT
06/03/24HAngeles CDMX89-76
03/03/24HFrayles de Guasave106-83
02/03/24HFrayles de Guasave77-72
15/12/23AFuerza Regia90-98
13/12/23AFuerza Regia88-93
12/12/23AFuerza Regia83-90
09/12/23HFuerza Regia81-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Halcones de Obregon
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game84.390.081.5
Allowed / game88.282.591.0
Point differential-3.8+7.5-9.5
Avg total172.5172.5172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astros
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.395.586.0
Allowed / game81.783.278.5
Point differential+10.7+12.2+7.5
Avg total174.0178.8164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros660100%92.381.7+10.7
2 Zonkeys de Tijuana87188%93.084.5+8.5
3 Rayos de Hermosillo65183%91.086.8+4.2
4 Venados de Mazatlan63350%90.088.0+2.0
5 Halcones de Obregon63350%84.388.2-3.8
6 Angeles CDMX62433%95.795.2+0.5
7 Ostioneros de Guaymas62433%88.591.5-3.0
8 Pioneros de Los Mochis82625%87.594.9-7.4
9 Caballeros de Culiacan61517%83.788.7-5.0
10 Frayles de Guasave61517%88.295.2-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Halcones de Obregon2420341593
Astros1619332391
← all games of the day
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