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Frayles de Guasave vs Zonkeys de Tijuana Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 94-118
20-35 22-20 27-36 25-27
Position#10
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game86.0
Frayles de Guasave
Mexico
vs
Zonkeys de Tijuana 🏆
Mexico
Position#4
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game95.5
Allowed / game95.0
MexicoCIBACOPA· Gimnasio Luis Estrada Medina
Other2025
Meetings · Frayles de Guasave v Zonkeys de Tijuana
12 Mar 2025
FRAY72
ZONK65
11 Mar 2025
FRAY94
ZONK118
09 Mar 2024
FRAY93
ZONK113
08 Mar 2024
FRAY110
ZONK100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Frayles de Guasave winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zonkeys de Tijuana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Frayles de GuasaveMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuasave
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
80-96
80
96
-16
70avg 83
A04/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
96-94
96
94
+2
86avg 83
A05/05
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
L
106-116
106
116
-10
89avg 83
H12/05
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
L
112-126
112
126
-14
104avg 83
H13/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
76-101
76
101
-25
64avg 83
A15/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
64avg 83
A16/05
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
124-122
124
122
+2
121avg 83
H18/05
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
95-127
95
127
-32
72avg 83
H19/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
100-95
100
95
+5
95avg 83
H08/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
84-77
84
77
+7
71avg 83
H09/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
16-23
19-21
25-30
18-23
15-28
27-17
36-26
31-30
15-23
33-35
27-28
28-29
27-38
34-39
23-20
16-28
25-21
12-36
23-16
14-17
16-28
17-33
27-11
31-31
22-26
38-30
33-35
21-35
23-28
26-36
25-28
18-17
23-24
28-23
31-31
18-21
19-14
25-21
22-21
199.0Avg total
94.7Scored
104.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)92.086.0178.0+6.0100%
Season at home (2)92.086.0178.0+6.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)94.7104.3199.0-9.640%
Last 5 (5)95.4102.0197.4-6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)94.8102.6197.4-7.829%
vs Similar (6)92.096.5188.5-4.533%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zonkeys de Tijuana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zonkeys de TijuanaMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTijuana
Date
Competition
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
102-92
102
92
+10
94avg 84
A29/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
109-104
109
104
+5
105avg 84
A31/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
102-105
102
105
-3
98avg 84
H09/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
98-77
98
77
+21
96avg 84
H10/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
79-99
79
99
-20
64avg 84
A13/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
77-71
77
71
+6
69avg 84
A14/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
88-98
88
98
-10
79avg 84
A16/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
61avg 84
H18/06
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
95-92
95
92
+3
78avg 84
A08/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
96-98
96
98
-2
89avg 84
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-31
20-23
33-16
24-22
35-34
26-28
30-24
18-18
29-22
20-36
26-17
27-30
22-16
31-16
20-15
25-30
11-25
24-31
18-20
26-23
27-23
18-15
21-13
11-20
23-26
15-24
18-30
32-18
21-16
24-22
15-17
10-24
22-26
22-22
19-20
32-24
22-16
32-34
22-27
20-21
183.1Avg total
91.6Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)95.595.0190.5+0.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)95.595.0190.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)91.691.5183.1+0.150%
Last 5 (5)85.287.6172.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)91.289.8180.9+1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)93.384.8178.1+8.478%
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
Frayles de GuasaveZonkeys de Tijuana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Frayles de GuasaveLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A04/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A05/05
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H12/05
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H13/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A15/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A16/05
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H18/05
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
44-63
44
63
-19
H19/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H08/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H09/03
CIBACOPA
92.2Avg total
41.6Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.648.291.8-4.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.250.796.9-4.520%-
Last 30 away (15)41.045.786.7-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)41.650.692.2-9.010%-
Last 5 (5)41.048.289.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)43.148.591.7-5.421%-
vs Similar (6)45.546.792.2-1.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zonkeys de Tijuana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zonkeys de TijuanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A29/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A31/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H09/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H10/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A13/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H18/06
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A08/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A09/03
CIBACOPA
95.5Avg total
46.9Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.541.687.1+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.137.382.4+7.980%-
Last 30 away (15)45.945.991.8+0.133%-
Last 10 (10)46.948.695.5-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.890.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)47.243.290.3+4.058%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.440.584.9+3.956%-
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Frayles de Guasavetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Frayles de Guasave: 94.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.229.1
52.7%
53.3%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.2
31.4%
35.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.115.0
67.9%
73.3%15.0
They take 78.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zonkeys de Tijuanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zonkeys de Tijuana: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.1
53.3%
53.3%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.9
34.8%
35.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws15.010.8
72.0%
73.3%10.8
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Frayles de Guasave
WWLWLLLLWL
Zonkeys de Tijuana
LWLLWLWLWW
#10
League position
#4
-9.7
Net rating
-2.2
107.3
Offensive rating
110.7
117.0
Defensive rating
112.8
51.1%
Effective FG%
52.8%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
59.2%
13.8%
Turnover %
12.9%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.22
31.4%
3-point %
34.8%
44.9%
Assist %
58.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 110.7Defence117.0 · 112.8Shooting51.1% · 52.8%3-point %31.4% · 34.8%Ball care13.8% · 12.9%Off. rebounds24.8% · 23.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Frayles de Guasave   ■ Zonkeys de Tijuana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Frayles de Guasave wins
3
Zonkeys de Tijuana wins
DateGameScore
16/05/24Zonkeys de Tijuana v Frayles de Guasave89-74
15/05/24Zonkeys de Tijuana v Frayles de Guasave101-76
10/03/24Frayles de Guasave v Zonkeys de Tijuana93-113
09/03/24Frayles de Guasave v Zonkeys de Tijuana110-100
Frayles de Guasavelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HOstioneros de Guaymas84-77
08/03/25HOstioneros de Guaymas100-95
19/05/24HVenados de Mazatlan95-127
18/05/24HVenados de Mazatlan124-122
16/05/24AZonkeys de Tijuana74-89
15/05/24AZonkeys de Tijuana76-101
13/05/24HAstros112-126
12/05/24HAstros106-116
05/05/24ARayos de Hermosillo96-94
04/05/24ARayos de Hermosillo80-96
Zonkeys de Tijuanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25APioneros de Los Mochis96-98
08/03/25APioneros de Los Mochis95-92
18/06/24HRayos de Hermosillo70-79
16/06/24ARayos de Hermosillo88-98
14/06/24ARayos de Hermosillo77-71
13/06/24ARayos de Hermosillo79-99
10/06/24HRayos de Hermosillo98-77
09/06/24HRayos de Hermosillo102-105
31/05/24AOstioneros de Guaymas109-104
29/05/24AOstioneros de Guaymas102-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Frayles de Guasave
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game92.092.0-
Allowed / game86.086.0-
Point differential+6.0+6.0-
Avg total178.0178.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Zonkeys de Tijuana
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
Home--
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game95.5-95.5
Allowed / game95.0-95.0
Point differential+0.5-+0.5
Avg total190.5-190.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros330100%86.079.3+6.7
2 Frayles de Guasave220100%92.086.0+6.0
3 Pioneros de Los Mochis32167%92.792.0+0.7
4 Angeles CDMX21150%102.5101.5+1.0
5 Zonkeys de Tijuana21150%95.595.0+0.5
6 Caballeros de Culiacan31233%95.798.3-2.7
7 Halcones de Obregon1010%85.088.0-3.0
8 Ostioneros de Guaymas2020%86.092.0-6.0
9 Venados de Mazatlan2020%77.084.0-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Frayles de Guasave2022272594
Zonkeys de Tijuana35203627118
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