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Frayles de Guasave vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 May 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 112-126
28-29 27-38 34-39 23-20
Position#10
Record7-24
FormLWLWL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game98.9
vs
Astros 🏆
Mexico
Position#2
Record24-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game85.5
MexicoCIBACOPA· Gimnasio Luis Estrada Medina
Other2024
Meetings · Frayles de Guasave v Astros
29 Apr 2025
FRAY72
ASTR112
28 Apr 2025
FRAY93
ASTR95
12 May 2024
FRAY112
ASTR126
11 May 2024
FRAY106
ASTR116
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Frayles de Guasave winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Frayles de GuasaveMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuasave
Date
Competition
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
80-91
80
91
-11
71avg 81
A14/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
102-105
102
105
-3
92avg 81
H16/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
112-119
112
119
-7
107avg 81
H17/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
97-103
97
103
-6
83avg 81
A27/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
90-116
90
116
-26
72avg 81
A28/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
L
94-108
94
108
-14
84avg 81
H01/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
116-115 OT
116
115
+1
109avg 81
H02/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
80-96
80
96
-16
70avg 81
A04/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
96-94
96
94
+2
86avg 81
A05/05
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
L
106-116
106
116
-10
89avg 81
H12/05
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
30-25
18-13
21-27
20-29
18-25
45-27
19-24
30-27
26-27
32-34
24-31
25-25
22-17
24-31
26-30
28-21
16-23
21-34
25-38
24-24
18-22
25-29
27-33
24-27
20-20
28-22
19-22
20-22
16-23
19-21
25-30
18-23
15-28
27-17
36-26
31-30
15-23
33-35
27-28
203.6Avg total
97.3Scored
106.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)92.298.9191.1-6.723%
Season at home (15)100.0103.7203.7-3.733%
Season away (16)84.894.4179.2-9.612%
Last 10 (10)97.3106.3203.6-9.020%
Last 5 (5)98.4105.8204.2-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)94.0100.9194.9-6.923%
vs Similar (8)89.696.2185.9-6.625%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
106-94
106
94
+12
101avg 88
H18/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
91-95
91
95
-4
82avg 88
A24/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
101-105
101
105
-4
96avg 88
A25/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
95-92
95
92
+3
85avg 88
H27/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
113-87
113
87
+26
115avg 88
H28/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
95-90
95
90
+5
81avg 88
A04/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
93-68
93
68
+25
80avg 88
A05/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
83-102
83
102
-19
71avg 88
H08/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
95-90
95
90
+5
88avg 88
H09/05
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
116-106
116
106
+10
119avg 88
A12/05
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
33-23
27-24
23-30
19-26
20-17
25-26
27-26
18-26
23-28
27-29
33-22
26-10
15-19
27-35
27-28
25-20
19-15
37-33
32-19
25-18
27-22
17-23
26-27
12-16
17-17
28-13
36-22
16-31
12-33
34-24
21-14
25-21
22-16
30-30
18-23
30-31
23-15
35-33
28-27
191.7Avg total
98.8Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)94.785.5180.1+9.273%
Season at home (16)96.283.9180.1+12.288%
Season away (17)93.286.9180.1+6.459%
Last 10 (10)98.892.9191.7+5.970%
Last 5 (5)96.491.2187.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)88.087.8175.8+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)96.286.1182.2+10.173%
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
Frayles de GuasaveAstros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Frayles de GuasaveLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A14/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H16/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H17/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A27/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A28/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H01/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H02/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A04/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A05/05
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H12/05
CIBACOPA
91.4Avg total
42.7Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.547.891.3-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.349.294.5-3.927%-
Last 30 away (15)41.746.388.1-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)42.748.791.4-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)40.248.488.6-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)43.148.391.4-5.223%-
vs Similar (8)44.846.291.0-1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H18/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A24/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A25/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H27/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H28/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A04/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A05/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
28-64
28
64
-36
H08/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H09/05
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A12/05
CIBACOPA
85.1Avg total
43.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.142.886.9+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.541.086.5+4.577%-
Last 30 away (17)43.144.187.2-1.035%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.185.1+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.085.8-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)37.044.081.0-7.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)45.242.687.8+2.758%-
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Frayles de Guasavetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Frayles de Guasave: 96.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.029.1
53.9%
52.6%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.6
31.9%
36.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.615.9
73.6%
72.4%15.9
They take 77.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 98.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.026.2
58.2%
52.6%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.1
34.2%
36.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws24.418.3
75.0%
72.4%18.3
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Frayles de Guasave
LWLWLLLLLL
Astros
WWLWWWWLLW
#10
League position
#2
-9.8
Net rating
+7.1
109.7
Offensive rating
117.2
119.5
Defensive rating
110.2
52.1%
Effective FG%
55.7%
59.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
15.4%
Turnover %
12.8%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.9%
3-point %
34.2%
48.5%
Assist %
54.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 117.2Defence119.5 · 110.2Shooting52.1% · 55.7%3-point %31.9% · 34.2%Ball care15.4% · 12.8%Off. rebounds27.4% · 23.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Frayles de Guasave   ■ Astros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Frayles de Guasave wins
3
Astros wins
DateGameScore
12/05/24Frayles de Guasave v Astros106-116
03/03/24Astros v Frayles de Guasave106-83
02/03/24Astros v Frayles de Guasave77-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24HAstros106-116
05/05/24ARayos de Hermosillo96-94
04/05/24ARayos de Hermosillo80-96
02/05/24HOstioneros de Guaymas116-115 OT
01/05/24HOstioneros de Guaymas94-108
28/04/24AHalcones de Obregon90-116
27/04/24AHalcones de Obregon97-103
17/04/24HAngeles CDMX112-119
16/04/24HAngeles CDMX102-105
14/04/24ACaballeros de Culiacan80-91
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24AFrayles de Guasave116-106
09/05/24HZonkeys de Tijuana95-90
08/05/24HZonkeys de Tijuana83-102
05/05/24AAngeles CDMX93-68
04/05/24AAngeles CDMX95-90
28/04/24HCaballeros de Culiacan113-87
27/04/24HCaballeros de Culiacan95-92
25/04/24AVenados de Mazatlan101-105
24/04/24AVenados de Mazatlan91-95
18/04/24HPioneros de Los Mochis106-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Frayles de Guasave
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL23%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %23%33%12%
Points / game92.2100.084.8
Allowed / game98.9103.794.4
Point differential-6.7-3.7-9.6
Avg total191.1203.7179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)29% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Astros
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLLWWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %73%88%59%
Points / game94.796.293.2
Allowed / game85.583.986.9
Point differential+9.2+12.2+6.4
Avg total180.1180.1180.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%62%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zonkeys de Tijuana3124777%91.083.7+7.3
2 Astros3324973%94.785.5+9.2
3 Rayos de Hermosillo32201262%88.886.4+2.3
4 Angeles CDMX31181358%90.590.1+0.5
5 Venados de Mazatlan32161650%87.589.2-1.7
6 Halcones de Obregon31151648%90.289.4+0.8
7 Ostioneros de Guaymas33141942%91.593.5-2.0
8 Pioneros de Los Mochis32131941%88.391.6-3.3
9 Caballeros de Culiacan3282425%85.091.6-6.6
10 Frayles de Guasave3172423%92.298.9-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Frayles de Guasave28273423112
Astros29383920126
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