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Frayles de Guasave vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 May 2024
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 106-116
31-30 15-23 33-35 27-28
Position#10
Record7-23
FormLLWLW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game98.3
vs
Astros 🏆
Mexico
Position#2
Record23-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game84.8
MexicoCIBACOPA· Gimnasio Luis Estrada Medina
Other2024
Meetings · Frayles de Guasave v Astros
29 Apr 2025
FRAY72
ASTR112
28 Apr 2025
FRAY93
ASTR95
12 May 2024
FRAY112
ASTR126
11 May 2024
FRAY106
ASTR116
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Frayles de Guasave winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Frayles de GuasaveMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuasave
Date
Competition
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
101-106
101
106
-5
88avg 81
H13/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
80-91
80
91
-11
71avg 81
A14/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
102-105
102
105
-3
92avg 81
H16/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
112-119
112
119
-7
107avg 81
H17/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
97-103
97
103
-6
83avg 81
A27/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
90-116
90
116
-26
72avg 81
A28/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
L
94-108
94
108
-14
84avg 81
H01/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
116-115 OT
116
115
+1
109avg 81
H02/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
80-96
80
96
-16
70avg 81
A04/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
96-94
96
94
+2
86avg 81
A05/05
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
24-20
25-31
29-26
11-26
30-25
18-13
21-27
20-29
18-25
45-27
19-24
30-27
26-27
32-34
24-31
25-25
22-17
24-31
26-30
28-21
16-23
21-34
25-38
24-24
18-22
25-29
27-33
24-27
20-20
28-22
19-22
20-22
16-23
19-21
25-30
18-23
15-28
27-17
36-26
202.1Avg total
96.8Scored
105.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)91.798.3190.0-6.623%
Season at home (14)99.6102.8202.4-3.236%
Season away (16)84.894.4179.2-9.612%
Last 10 (10)96.8105.3202.1-8.520%
Last 5 (5)95.2105.8201.0-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)92.599.1191.5-6.623%
vs Similar (8)89.696.2185.9-6.625%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
102-71
102
71
+31
98avg 87
H17/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
106-94
106
94
+12
101avg 87
H18/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
91-95
91
95
-4
82avg 87
A24/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
101-105
101
105
-4
96avg 87
A25/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
95-92
95
92
+3
85avg 87
H27/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
113-87
113
87
+26
115avg 87
H28/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
95-90
95
90
+5
81avg 87
A04/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
93-68
93
68
+25
80avg 87
A05/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
83-102
83
102
-19
71avg 87
H08/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
95-90
95
90
+5
88avg 87
H09/05
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
28-19
26-18
26-24
23-17
33-23
27-24
23-30
19-26
20-17
25-26
27-26
18-26
23-28
27-29
33-22
26-10
15-19
27-35
27-28
25-20
19-15
37-33
32-19
25-18
27-22
17-23
26-27
12-16
17-17
28-13
36-22
16-31
12-33
34-24
21-14
25-21
22-16
30-30
18-23
186.8Avg total
97.4Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)94.084.8178.8+9.272%
Season at home (16)96.283.9180.1+12.288%
Season away (16)91.885.7177.5+6.156%
Last 10 (10)97.489.4186.8+8.070%
Last 5 (5)95.887.4183.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)88.087.8175.8+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)95.184.9180.0+10.273%
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +3.4+3.4
Frayles de GuasaveAstros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Frayles de GuasaveLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H13/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A14/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H16/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H17/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A27/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A28/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H01/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H02/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A04/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A05/05
CIBACOPA
91.1Avg total
42.8Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.147.390.3-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.348.994.2-3.629%-
Last 30 away (16)41.145.886.9-4.731%-
Last 10 (10)42.848.391.1-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)39.846.686.4-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)42.547.690.1-5.223%-
vs Similar (8)44.846.291.0-1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H17/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H18/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A24/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A25/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H27/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H28/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A04/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A05/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
28-64
28
64
-36
H08/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H09/05
CIBACOPA
83.1Avg total
42.7Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.942.486.3+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.640.586.1+5.179%-
Last 30 away (16)42.544.086.5-1.531%-
Last 10 (10)42.740.483.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.881.8-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)37.044.081.0-7.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)45.042.187.1+2.958%-
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Frayles de Guasavetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Frayles de Guasave: 96.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.428.9
54.1%
52.6%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.2
30.3%
36.2%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.417.0
75.9%
72.4%17.0
They take 77.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 96.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.925.7
57.2%
52.6%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.6
34.8%
36.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.516.6
73.8%
72.4%16.6
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Frayles de Guasave
WLWLLLLLLL
Astros
WLWWWWLLWW
#10
League position
#2
-9.2
Net rating
+10.1
108.5
Offensive rating
116.3
117.7
Defensive rating
106.2
51.4%
Effective FG%
55.3%
59.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
15.9%
Turnover %
12.9%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.3%
3-point %
34.8%
50.1%
Assist %
53.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 116.3Defence117.7 · 106.2Shooting51.4% · 55.3%3-point %30.3% · 34.8%Ball care15.9% · 12.9%Off. rebounds27.1% · 24.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Frayles de Guasave   ■ Astros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Frayles de Guasave wins
2
Astros wins
DateGameScore
03/03/24Astros v Frayles de Guasave106-83
02/03/24Astros v Frayles de Guasave77-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24ARayos de Hermosillo96-94
04/05/24ARayos de Hermosillo80-96
02/05/24HOstioneros de Guaymas116-115 OT
01/05/24HOstioneros de Guaymas94-108
28/04/24AHalcones de Obregon90-116
27/04/24AHalcones de Obregon97-103
17/04/24HAngeles CDMX112-119
16/04/24HAngeles CDMX102-105
14/04/24ACaballeros de Culiacan80-91
13/04/24HCaballeros de Culiacan101-106
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/24HZonkeys de Tijuana95-90
08/05/24HZonkeys de Tijuana83-102
05/05/24AAngeles CDMX93-68
04/05/24AAngeles CDMX95-90
28/04/24HCaballeros de Culiacan113-87
27/04/24HCaballeros de Culiacan95-92
25/04/24AVenados de Mazatlan101-105
24/04/24AVenados de Mazatlan91-95
18/04/24HPioneros de Los Mochis106-94
17/04/24HPioneros de Los Mochis102-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Frayles de Guasave
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW23%
HomeLLLLW36%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %23%36%12%
Points / game91.799.684.8
Allowed / game98.3102.894.4
Point differential-6.6-3.2-9.6
Avg total190.0202.4179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)29% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Astros
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW72%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %72%88%56%
Points / game94.096.291.8
Allowed / game84.883.985.7
Point differential+9.2+12.2+6.1
Avg total178.8180.1177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%62%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zonkeys de Tijuana3124777%91.083.7+7.3
2 Astros3223972%94.084.8+9.2
3 Rayos de Hermosillo30181260%89.387.7+1.6
4 Angeles CDMX31181358%90.590.1+0.5
5 Venados de Mazatlan30161453%88.889.7-0.9
6 Halcones de Obregon30151550%90.189.2+0.9
7 Pioneros de Los Mochis31131842%88.391.5-3.3
8 Ostioneros de Guaymas32131941%91.393.5-2.2
9 Frayles de Guasave3072323%91.798.3-6.6
10 Caballeros de Culiacan3172423%84.791.6-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Frayles de Guasave31153327106
Astros30233528116
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