PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Freseros vs Soles Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 63-92
17-20 19-27 7-25 20-20
Position#13
Record8-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game89.9
vs
Soles 🏆
Mexico
Position#1
Record15-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game74.9
MexicoLNBPRound 20· Inforum Irapuato
Other2026-27
Meetings · Freseros v Soles
15 Sep 2026
FRES63
SOLE92
14 Sep 2026
FRES73
SOLE85
24 Aug 2024
FRES101
SOLE102
23 Aug 2024
FRES94
SOLE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Freseros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Soles winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFreseros
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
92avg 76
A16/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 76
H20/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
80-76
80
76
+4
69avg 76
H21/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
71avg 76
A25/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
84-87
84
87
-3
73avg 76
A26/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
117-129 OT
117
129
-12
104avg 76
H30/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
67-77
67
77
-10
48avg 76
H31/08
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
82-71
82
71
+11
74avg 76
A11/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
90-86
90
86
+4
80avg 76
A12/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
61avg 76
H15/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
20-22
25-19
22-23
19-25
27-24
25-21
22-19
22-21
14-14
17-18
27-23
17-17
20-19
13-19
27-18
22-26
21-28
22-11
19-22
25-27
19-32
27-15
20-17
13-22
20-15
15-15
19-25
17-18
26-19
18-19
21-15
20-24
13-27
25-16
32-19
20-21
25-28
11-18
17-18
173.7Avg total
86.3Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.489.9176.4-3.542%
Season at home (9)88.692.4181.0-3.944%
Season away (10)84.587.7172.2-3.240%
Last 10 (10)86.387.4173.7-1.150%
Last 5 (5)85.889.6175.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)82.490.5172.8-8.129%
vs Similar (2)91.091.0182.0+0.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Soles) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SolesMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSoles
Date
Competition
Santos
#10
W
105-74
105
74
+31
103avg 79
A17/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
84-68
84
68
+16
76avg 79
H21/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
78-71
78
71
+7
71avg 79
H22/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
100-74
100
74
+26
95avg 79
A25/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
74-78
74
78
-4
54avg 79
A26/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
102-75
102
75
+27
104avg 79
H30/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
89-86
89
86
+3
80avg 79
H30/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
90-76
90
76
+14
88avg 79
A12/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
74-81
74
81
-7
69avg 79
A13/09
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
85-73
85
73
+12
76avg 79
A15/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-16
25-16
27-24
19-18
17-20
21-20
25-14
21-14
17-17
29-15
12-21
20-18
22-16
23-17
30-17
25-24
20-20
20-23
16-17
18-18
36-13
18-24
30-13
18-25
26-22
22-26
21-26
20-12
24-24
22-19
26-16
18-17
18-21
25-15
19-22
12-23
21-20
28-25
18-11
18-17
163.7Avg total
88.1Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.774.9159.6+9.779%
Season at home (8)81.470.9152.2+10.5100%
Season away (11)87.177.9165.0+9.264%
Last 10 (10)88.175.6163.7+12.580%
Last 5 (5)88.078.2166.2+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)86.176.6162.7+9.577%
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
FreserosSoles
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A16/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H20/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H21/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A25/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A26/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
44-59
44
59
-15
H30/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H31/08
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A11/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A12/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H15/09
LNBP
86.0Avg total
40.4Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.346.387.6-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.147.590.6-4.436%-
Last 30 away (16)39.645.284.9-5.625%-
Last 10 (10)40.445.686.0-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.686.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)41.146.287.3-5.129%-
vs Similar (2)44.047.591.5-3.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Soles) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SolesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santos
#10
W
59-32
59
32
+27
A17/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H21/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H22/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A25/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A26/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H30/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H30/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A12/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A13/09
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A15/09
LNBP
85.7Avg total
46.8Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.938.081.9+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.236.377.5+4.946%-
Last 30 away (17)45.939.285.2+6.782%-
Last 10 (10)46.838.985.7+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)48.041.889.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)43.938.081.9+5.967%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Freserostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Freseros: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.2
55.4%
54.1%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.6
32.7%
34.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.316.3
70.0%
71.7%16.3
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Solestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Soles: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.123.9
54.2%
54.1%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.9
37.6%
34.8%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.316.2
69.5%
71.7%16.2
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Freseros
LWWLLLWWWL
Soles
WLWWWLWWWW
#13
League position
#1
-2.2
Net rating
+14.7
91.9
Offensive rating
102.6
94.0
Defensive rating
87.8
52.8%
Effective FG%
54.9%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
17.3%
Turnover %
13.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.7%
3-point %
37.6%
50.3%
Assist %
56.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence91.9 · 102.6Defence94.0 · 87.8Shooting52.8% · 54.9%3-point %32.7% · 37.6%Ball care17.3% · 13.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Freseros   ■ Soles
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Freseros wins
5
Soles wins
DateGameScore
15/09/26Freseros v Soles73-85
03/08/25Soles v Freseros88-67
03/08/25Soles v Freseros78-56
25/08/24Freseros v Soles101-102
24/08/24Freseros v Soles94-83
19/09/23Soles v Freseros87-69
17/09/23Soles v Freseros86-89
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/09/26HSoles73-85
12/09/26ALobos Plateados90-86
11/09/26ALobos Plateados82-71
31/08/26HAstros67-77
30/08/26HAstros117-129 OT
26/08/26AGambusinos84-87
25/08/26AGambusinos77-73
21/08/26HEl Calor de Cancun80-76
20/08/26HEl Calor de Cancun93-89
16/08/26AFuerza Regia100-101 OT
Soleslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/09/26AFreseros85-73
13/09/26AAstros74-81
12/09/26AAstros90-76
30/08/26HEl Calor de Cancun89-86
30/08/26HEl Calor de Cancun102-75
26/08/26ACorrecaminos74-78
25/08/26ACorrecaminos100-74
22/08/26HMineros78-71
21/08/26HMineros84-68
17/08/26ASantos105-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Freseros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL42%
HomeWWLLL44%
AwayLWLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%44%40%
Points / game86.488.684.5
Allowed / game89.992.487.7
Point differential-3.5-3.9-3.2
Avg total176.4181.0172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)80% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %11%11%10%
Soles
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %79%100%64%
Points / game84.781.487.1
Allowed / game74.970.977.9
Point differential+9.7+10.5+9.2
Avg total159.6152.2165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%38%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %11%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles1915479%84.774.9+9.7
2 Astros1813572%88.080.1+7.9
3 Panteras1812667%90.185.1+5.0
4 Fuerza Regia1812667%89.986.7+3.3
5 Dorados1811761%85.483.3+2.1
6 Mineros1810856%86.483.6+2.9
7 Lobos Plateados1810856%82.481.2+1.3
8 Diablos Rojos1981142%83.783.3+0.4
9 Freseros1981142%86.489.9-3.5
10 Abejas1871139%84.786.6-1.8
11 Gambusinos1871139%76.880.8-4.0
12 Santos1861233%81.989.6-7.7
13 El Calor de Cancun1851328%81.186.9-5.8
14 Correcaminos1941521%83.492.9-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Freseros171972063
Soles2027252092
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.