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Freseros vs El Calor de Cancun Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 80-76
22-21 14-14 17-18 27-23
Position#13
Record4-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game93.2
Freseros 🏆
Mexico
vs
El Calor de Cancun
Mexico
Position#12
Record4-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game85.6
MexicoLNBPRound 12· Inforum Irapuato
Other2026-27
Meetings · Freseros v El Calor de Cancun
20 Aug 2026
FRES80
EL C76
19 Aug 2026
FRES93
EL C89
14 Sep 2024
FRES85
EL C82
13 Sep 2024
FRES106
EL C101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Freseros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
El Calor de Cancun winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFreseros
Date
Competition
Dorados
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
no box
A26/07
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
93-105
93
105
-12
81avg 78
H31/07
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
92-89
92
89
+3
83avg 78
H01/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
73-99
73
99
-26
54avg 78
A06/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
71avg 78
A07/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
99-96
99
96
+3
84avg 78
H11/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
83-86
83
86
-3
68avg 78
H12/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
94-105
94
105
-11
84avg 78
A15/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
92avg 78
A16/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 78
H20/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
23-27
23-19
17-22
27-21
20-34
25-24
21-26
19-31
32-16
21-26
20-16
20-23
13-25
17-26
23-25
22-30
22-9
22-24
20-19
17-29
22-28
26-25
34-14
22-16
27-22
15-26
19-22
21-25
21-28
24-31
28-21
24-27
20-22
25-19
22-23
19-25
27-24
25-21
22-19
183.3Avg total
89.2Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.493.2181.5-4.836%
Season at home (5)92.093.0185.0-1.060%
Season away (6)85.393.3178.7-8.017%
Last 10 (10)89.294.1183.3-4.940%
Last 5 (5)93.895.4189.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)78.991.6170.5-12.814%
vs Similar (2)91.091.0182.0+0.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (El Calor de Cancun) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
El Calor de CancunMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCancun
Date
Competition
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
63-80
63
80
-17
no box
A25/07
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
80-76
80
76
+4
72avg 68
H31/07
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
85-95
85
95
-10
79avg 68
H01/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
75avg 68
A06/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
75-82
75
82
-7
64avg 68
A07/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
69-76
69
76
-7
62avg 68
H11/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
67-78
67
78
-11
63avg 68
H12/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
90-83
90
83
+7
74avg 68
A16/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
108-99
108
99
+9
106avg 68
A17/08
LNBP
Freseros
#13
L
89-93
89
93
-4
82avg 68
A20/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
18-17
22-17
9-24
20-13
20-19
30-28
10-16
17-20
18-31
27-25
23-19
20-14
25-24
23-24
21-22
13-21
20-25
19-18
23-18
17-17
18-17
16-19
18-23
14-14
14-22
17-21
22-21
23-17
26-14
19-20
22-32
20-23
26-32
34-14
28-30
25-19
24-27
21-25
19-22
166.1Avg total
81.5Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.585.6168.2-3.136%
Season at home (4)75.281.2156.5-6.025%
Season away (7)86.788.1174.9-1.443%
Last 10 (10)81.584.6166.1-3.140%
Last 5 (5)84.685.8170.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.982.5159.4-5.612%
vs Similar (13)76.381.5157.8-5.246%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)90.282.0172.2+8.256%
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.2-3.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.2-3.2
FreserosEl Calor de Cancun
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dorados
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A26/07
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H31/07
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H01/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A06/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H11/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H12/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A15/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A16/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H20/08
LNBP
91.7Avg total
43.4Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.646.887.4-6.123%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.447.690.9-4.236%-
Last 30 away (16)38.246.184.3-7.812%-
Last 10 (10)43.448.391.7-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)44.049.293.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)40.446.787.1-6.321%-
vs Similar (2)44.047.591.5-3.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (El Calor de Cancun) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
El Calor de CancunLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A25/07
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H31/07
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H01/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A06/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A07/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H11/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H12/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A16/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A17/08
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A20/08
LNBP
80.0Avg total
39.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.481.5-1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.938.577.3+0.467%-
Last 30 away (15)41.344.385.6-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.240.880.0-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.481.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.941.581.4-1.650%-
vs Similar (13)37.241.778.8-4.546%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.440.985.3+3.667%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Freserostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Freseros: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.423.9
56.3%
54.1%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.8
33.5%
34.8%26.3
🏀 Free throws24.015.6
64.8%
71.7%15.6
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
El Calor de Cancuntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

El Calor de Cancun: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.3
50.4%
54.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.69.9
41.9%
34.8%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.412.1
69.5%
71.7%12.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 21 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Freseros
WLLLWWLWLL
El Calor de Cancun
LWWLLLWLWL
#13
League position
#12
-2.7
Net rating
-1.6
98.4
Offensive rating
100.2
101.1
Defensive rating
101.8
54.0%
Effective FG%
55.2%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
14.6%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.5%
3-point %
41.9%
50.0%
Assist %
56.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 100.2Defence101.1 · 101.8Shooting54.0% · 55.2%3-point %33.5% · 41.9%Ball care14.6% · 14.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Freseros   ■ El Calor de Cancun
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Freseros wins
2
El Calor de Cancun wins
DateGameScore
20/08/26Freseros v El Calor de Cancun93-89
05/09/25El Calor de Cancun v Freseros104-64
04/09/25El Calor de Cancun v Freseros91-83
15/09/24Freseros v El Calor de Cancun85-82
14/09/24Freseros v El Calor de Cancun106-101 OT
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/08/26HEl Calor de Cancun93-89
16/08/26AFuerza Regia100-101 OT
15/08/26AFuerza Regia94-105
12/08/26HCorrecaminos83-86
11/08/26HCorrecaminos99-96
07/08/26ADiablos Rojos86-82
06/08/26ADiablos Rojos73-99
01/08/26HMineros92-89
31/07/26HMineros93-105
26/07/26ADorados79-89
El Calor de Cancunlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/08/26AFreseros89-93
17/08/26ACorrecaminos108-99
16/08/26ACorrecaminos90-83
12/08/26HMineros67-78
11/08/26HMineros69-76
07/08/26ASantos75-82
06/08/26ASantos89-84
01/08/26HAbejas85-95
31/07/26HAbejas80-76
25/07/26ALobos Plateados63-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Freseros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW36%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%60%17%
Points / game88.492.085.3
Allowed / game93.293.093.3
Point differential-4.8-1.0-8.0
Avg total181.5185.0178.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %9%0%17%
El Calor de Cancun
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL36%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %36%25%43%
Points / game82.575.286.7
Allowed / game85.681.288.1
Point differential-3.1-6.0-1.4
Avg total168.2156.5174.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles108280%83.374.2+9.1
2 Dorados118373%85.480.5+4.8
3 Mineros107370%89.082.6+6.4
4 Astros128467%87.080.3+6.7
5 Fuerza Regia117464%87.387.9-0.6
6 Panteras106460%87.582.7+4.8
7 Lobos Plateados105550%79.179.8-0.7
8 Diablos Rojos104640%81.881.1+0.7
9 Santos104640%78.587.5-9.0
10 Abejas114736%86.289.1-2.9
11 El Calor de Cancun114736%82.585.6-3.1
12 Gambusinos114736%75.278.7-3.5
13 Freseros114736%88.493.2-4.8
14 Correcaminos1221017%85.392.1-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Freseros2214172780
El Calor de Cancun2114182376
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