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Fresno State vs New Mexico Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 64-62 (OT)
19-19 34-34 11-9
Position#189
Record5-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#333
Record3-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game60.3
Allowed / game71.8
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Fresno State v New Mexico
21 Feb 2026
FRES78
NEW 80
31 Dec 2024
FRES89
NEW 103
03 Jan 2023
FRES71
NEW 67
28 Feb 2022
FRES71
NEW 68
10 Mar 2021
FRES85
NEW 77
30 Jan 2021
FRES65
NEW 55
28 Jan 2021
FRES64
NEW 62
01 Feb 2020
FRES82
NEW 77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno Pacific
#394
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H20/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#29
L
53-75
53
75
-22
A29/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#29
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A30/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H03/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H05/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H09/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H11/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A16/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A17/01
NCAA
Boise State
#66
L
51-73
51
73
-22
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-14
43-51
22-33
31-42
17-41
42-40
33-31
41-47
37-26
44-35
42-45
37-19
41-25
39-40
31-36
26-37
26-33
39-46
30-28
21-45
139.1Avg total
67.7Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)69.569.2138.6+0.345%
Season at home (6)79.863.3143.2+16.583%
Season away (5)57.076.2133.2-19.20%
Last 10 (10)67.771.4139.1-3.740%
Last 5 (5)66.470.8137.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)59.674.5134.1-14.80%
vs Similar (9)73.071.1144.1+1.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)76.961.0137.9+15.9100%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#66
L
52-89
52
89
-37
A24/12
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
54-68
54
68
-14
H01/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
74-84
74
84
-10
H03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
45-77
45
77
-32
H07/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
46-82
46
82
-36
H09/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#264
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A14/01
NCAA
UNLV
#219
L
54-77
54
77
-23
A16/01
NCAA
UNLV
#219
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A19/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H21/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-52
24-37
22-32
32-36
36-39
38-45
18-41
27-36
18-45
28-37
27-26
45-37
26-37
28-40
28-27
18-26
31-21
36-30
35-33
36-50
130.8Avg total
58.1Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)60.371.8132.2-11.525%
Season at home (7)63.971.9135.7-8.029%
Season away (5)55.471.8127.2-16.420%
Last 10 (10)58.172.7130.8-14.620%
Last 5 (5)62.065.4127.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)59.879.8139.6-19.96%
vs Similar (7)74.374.9149.1-0.643%
vs Weaker (7)82.167.6149.7+14.671%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: -8.4-8.42nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: -6.2-6.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: -8.4-8.42nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: -6.2-6.2
Fresno StateNew Mexico
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno Pacific
#394
W
35-14
35
14
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#29
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A29/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#29
L
17-41
17
41
-24
A30/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H03/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H05/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H09/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H11/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A16/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A21/01
NCAA
62.6Avg total
31.4Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.830.961.7-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.829.461.1+2.441%-
Last 30 away (13)29.533.062.5-3.538%-
Last 10 (10)31.431.262.6+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.033.467.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)26.833.860.6-6.923%-
vs Similar (9)32.332.464.8-0.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)35.424.660.0+10.862%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#66
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A24/12
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
22-32
22
32
-10
H01/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
18-41
18
41
-23
H07/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
18-45
18
45
-27
H09/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#264
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A14/01
NCAA
UNLV
#219
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A16/01
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A19/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H21/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H23/01
NCAA
62.2Avg total
26.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.736.469.1-3.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.634.668.2-1.062%-
Last 30 away (14)31.638.570.1-6.929%-
Last 10 (10)26.935.362.2-8.440%-
Last 5 (5)29.428.858.2+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)28.140.268.2-12.112%-
vs Similar (7)37.734.672.3+3.186%-
vs Weaker (7)38.329.768.0+8.686%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fresno State wins
1
New Mexico wins
DateGameScore
01/02/20Fresno State v New Mexico82-77
08/01/20New Mexico v Fresno State78-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/21ABoise State51-73
17/01/21ANevada65-79
16/01/21ANevada57-73
11/01/21HSan Jose State80-65
09/01/21HSan Jose State79-64
05/01/21HWyoming81-61
03/01/21HWyoming74-78
30/12/20AColorado State59-81
29/12/20AColorado State53-75
20/12/20HFresno Pacific78-65
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/21HSan Jose State71-83
21/01/21HSan Jose State67-51
19/01/21AUNLV46-53
16/01/21AUNLV54-77
14/01/21AUtah Tech72-63
09/01/21HUtah State46-82
07/01/21HUtah State45-77
03/01/21HNevada74-84
01/01/21HNevada54-68
24/12/20ABoise State52-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL45%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%83%0%
Points / game69.579.857.0
Allowed / game69.263.376.2
Point differential+0.3+16.5-19.2
Avg total138.6143.2133.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Mexico
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL25%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %25%29%20%
Points / game60.363.955.4
Allowed / game71.871.971.8
Point differential-11.5-8.0-16.4
Avg total132.2135.7127.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boise State1412286%79.163.1+15.9
2 Colorado State1512380%75.765.3+10.3
3 Grand Canyon1310377%80.661.8+18.8
4 San Diego State1612475%73.360.4+12.9
5 Utah State1611569%74.962.3+12.6
6 Wyoming1610662%77.276.1+1.1
7 Nevada169756%71.268.1+3.2
8 UNLV136746%73.266.5+6.7
9 Fresno State115645%69.569.2+0.3
10 Air Force1541127%59.073.1-14.1
11 San Jose State1541127%66.282.1-15.9
12 New Mexico123925%60.371.8-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Fresno State19341164
New Mexico1934962
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