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Fresno State vs New Mexico Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 89-103
36-53 53-50
Position#358
Record4-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#25
Record10-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fresno State v New Mexico
21 Feb 2026
FRES78
NEW 80
31 Dec 2024
FRES89
NEW 103
03 Jan 2023
FRES71
NEW 67
28 Feb 2022
FRES71
NEW 68
10 Mar 2021
FRES85
NEW 77
30 Jan 2021
FRES65
NEW 55
28 Jan 2021
FRES64
NEW 62
01 Feb 2020
FRES82
NEW 77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H21/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A27/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
H28/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
62-84
62
84
-22
H05/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A08/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
67-95
67
95
-28
A12/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H15/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
69-86
69
86
-17
H21/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
53-36
41-47
28-39
44-30
36-39
37-45
27-37
38-28
24-29
38-55
25-36
41-45
27-44
40-51
32-37
41-28
35-36
34-50
30-48
47-39
155.4Avg total
73.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.580.2152.6-7.731%
Season at home (6)73.876.8150.7-3.050%
Season away (7)71.383.0154.3-11.714%
Last 10 (10)73.482.0155.4-8.630%
Last 5 (5)70.482.8153.2-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)66.679.9146.4-13.39%
vs Similar (7)77.970.3148.1+7.6100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A17/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H22/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
99-68
99
68
+31
H25/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A29/11
NCAA
USC
#215
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H30/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H05/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
83-89 OT
83
89
-6
H08/12
NCAA
Western N. M.
#547
W
122-70
122
70
+52
H15/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H19/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A28/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-40
42-45
30-26
50-32
38-31
61-37
37-34
45-51
39-30
44-43
39-38
44-39
38-47
35-26
60-37
62-33
37-30
41-41
41-25
35-43
160.1Avg total
85.7Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)86.274.8161.0+11.377%
Season at home (9)91.074.6165.6+16.489%
Season away (4)75.275.5150.8-0.250%
Last 10 (10)85.774.4160.1+11.370%
Last 5 (5)88.475.0163.4+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
vs Similar (14)77.873.7151.5+4.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.373.4158.7+11.967%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -6.4-6.41st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +6.9+6.9
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -6.4-6.41st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +6.9+6.9
Fresno StateNew Mexico
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H21/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A23/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H28/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H05/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A08/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A12/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H15/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A29/12
NCAA
69.8Avg total
31.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.737.768.4-7.013%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.436.868.2-5.414%-
Last 30 away (16)30.138.568.6-8.412%-
Last 10 (10)31.738.169.8-6.410%-
Last 5 (5)29.840.270.0-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)29.038.067.1-9.09%-
vs Similar (7)36.336.672.9-0.329%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A17/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H22/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H25/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A29/11
NCAA
USC
#215
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H30/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H05/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H08/12
NCAA
Western N. M.
#547
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H15/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H19/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A28/12
NCAA
72.6Avg total
38.8Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.633.371.9+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.933.373.2+6.676%-
Last 30 away (13)36.933.270.2+3.769%-
Last 10 (10)38.833.872.6+5.080%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.478.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.030.067.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (14)37.132.469.5+4.864%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.134.374.5+5.880%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Fresno State wins
3
New Mexico wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24AUNLV77-87
21/12/24HCalifornia Baptist69-86
15/12/24HSan Diego Toreros73-65
12/12/24ABrigham Young67-95
08/12/24ASanta Clara66-81
05/12/24HSan Diego State62-84
28/11/24HCalifornia Baptist81-86 OT
27/11/24AWashington State73-84
23/11/24ALong Beach State72-69
21/11/24HPrairie View A&M94-83
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24AColorado State76-68
19/12/24HVCU Rams78-71
15/12/24HWestern N. M.122-70
08/12/24HNew Mexico State83-89 OT
05/12/24HSan Jose State83-77
30/11/24HUSC83-73
29/11/24AArizona State82-85
25/11/24HTexas Southern99-68
22/11/24HGrambling St.80-58
17/11/24ASt. John's (N.Y.)71-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL31%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%50%14%
Points / game72.573.871.3
Allowed / game80.276.883.0
Point differential-7.7-3.0-11.7
Avg total152.6150.7154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
New Mexico
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %77%89%50%
Points / game86.291.075.2
Allowed / game74.874.675.5
Point differential+11.3+16.4-0.2
Avg total161.0165.6150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %8%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1312192%83.965.7+18.2
2 Boise State1310377%78.966.2+12.7
3 New Mexico1310377%86.274.8+11.3
4 San Diego State118373%74.463.5+10.8
5 Grand Canyon1410471%79.669.4+10.2
6 Nevada138562%75.566.2+9.3
7 UNLV138562%73.169.2+3.8
8 Wyoming138562%73.170.8+2.3
9 Colorado State148657%72.969.0+3.9
10 San Jose State157847%76.372.6+3.7
11 Fresno State134931%72.580.2-7.7
12 Air Force1331023%65.170.0-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State365389
New Mexico5350103
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