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Fresno State vs New Mexico Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 71-67
36-32 35-35
Position#295
Record5-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game60.7
Allowed / game61.5
Fresno State 🏆
USA
vs
New Mexico
USA
Position#70
Record14-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game68.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Fresno State v New Mexico
21 Feb 2026
FRES78
NEW 80
31 Dec 2024
FRES89
NEW 103
03 Jan 2023
FRES71
NEW 67
28 Feb 2022
FRES71
NEW 68
10 Mar 2021
FRES85
NEW 77
30 Jan 2021
FRES65
NEW 55
28 Jan 2021
FRES64
NEW 62
01 Feb 2020
FRES82
NEW 77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#19
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A19/11
NCAA
Washington
#212
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A24/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A25/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
W
80-66
80
66
+14
A04/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H08/12
NCAA
Pacific
#242
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A10/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H18/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A21/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H29/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-31
24-30
28-27
29-35
26-31
33-36
47-41
33-25
29-30
36-26
29-38
43-38
23-24
30-35
27-27
29-21
38-25
20-28
26-33
28-34
122.1Avg total
60.6Scored
61.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)60.761.5122.2-0.838%
Season at home (5)61.058.2119.2+2.860%
Season away (8)60.563.5124.0-3.025%
Last 10 (10)60.661.5122.1-0.940%
Last 5 (5)58.660.6119.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)60.064.4124.4-4.420%
vs Similar (17)58.961.4120.3-2.529%
vs Weaker (7)69.958.7128.6+11.186%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota St
#200
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H27/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
98-74
98
74
+24
H28/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A01/12
NCAA
Western N. M.
#553
W
102-63
102
63
+39
H07/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
W
94-76
94
76
+18
H10/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A13/12
NCAA
Iona
#25
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H18/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H21/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H29/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-25
44-30
50-42
48-32
27-23
42-42
49-20
53-43
50-38
44-38
31-38
36-26
44-33
38-41
47-25
47-38
49-24
39-45
32-33
44-42
152.4Avg total
84.6Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.168.4152.5+15.8100%
Season at home (10)88.269.0157.2+19.2100%
Season away (4)74.066.8140.8+7.2100%
Last 10 (10)84.667.8152.4+16.8100%
Last 5 (5)81.469.0150.4+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)67.874.9142.7-7.120%
vs Similar (5)78.474.6153.0+3.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.166.4147.4+14.793%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +11.0+11.02nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +5.8+5.8
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +11.0+11.02nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +5.8+5.8
Fresno StateNew Mexico
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#19
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A19/11
NCAA
Washington
#212
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A24/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A25/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A04/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H08/12
NCAA
Pacific
#242
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H18/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A21/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H29/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A31/12
NCAA
60.8Avg total
30.1Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.128.357.4+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (13)28.528.657.2-0.138%-
Last 30 away (17)29.528.157.6+1.453%-
Last 10 (10)30.130.760.8-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)28.629.458.0-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)29.631.461.0-1.820%-
vs Similar (17)26.928.255.1-1.429%-
vs Weaker (7)33.425.959.3+7.6100%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota St
#200
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H27/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H28/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A01/12
NCAA
Western N. M.
#553
W
49-20
49
20
+29
H07/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H10/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A13/12
NCAA
Iona
#25
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H18/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H21/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H29/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A31/12
NCAA
71.2Avg total
41.1Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.831.867.6+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.630.469.1+8.278%-
Last 30 away (12)31.533.865.3-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)41.130.171.2+11.080%-
Last 5 (5)40.630.671.2+10.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)29.835.965.7-6.120%-
vs Similar (5)36.231.667.8+4.6100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)38.929.868.7+9.171%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fresno State wins
1
New Mexico wins
DateGameScore
01/03/22Fresno State v New Mexico71-68
26/01/22New Mexico v Fresno State60-65
11/03/21Fresno State v New Mexico85-77
31/01/21Fresno State v New Mexico65-55
29/01/21Fresno State v New Mexico64-62 OT
01/02/20Fresno State v New Mexico82-77
08/01/20New Mexico v Fresno State78-64
Fresno Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22AUtah State54-67
29/12/22HWyoming58-53
21/12/22ACSU Bakersfield56-48
18/12/22HSacramento State53-59
10/12/22APacific72-76
08/12/22HCS Northridge65-56
04/12/22AUC Irvine80-66
25/11/22AVanderbilt59-67
24/11/22AWashington57-62
19/11/22ANorth Texas52-61
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22AWyoming76-75
29/12/22HColorado State88-69
21/12/22HPrairie View A&M94-63
18/12/22HIona82-74
13/12/22ASan Francisco67-64
10/12/22HUTSA Roadrunners94-76
07/12/22HWestern N. M.102-63
01/12/22ASt. Marys (CA)69-65
28/11/22HNorthern Colorado98-74
27/11/22HNorth Dakota St76-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLWLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %38%60%25%
Points / game60.761.060.5
Allowed / game61.558.263.5
Point differential-0.8+2.8-3.0
Avg total122.2119.2124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Mexico
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.188.274.0
Allowed / game68.469.066.8
Point differential+15.8+19.2+7.2
Avg total152.5157.2140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%70%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico14140100%84.168.4+15.8
2 Utah State1513287%83.369.9+13.5
3 Nevada1512380%73.265.1+8.1
4 UNLV1411379%76.964.5+12.4
5 San Diego State1411379%75.264.8+10.4
6 Boise State1511473%70.559.7+10.7
7 Grand Canyon139469%68.760.8+7.9
8 San Jose State1611569%69.465.6+3.8
9 Air Force169756%68.863.9+4.9
10 Colorado State158753%75.369.8+5.5
11 Fresno State135838%60.761.5-0.8
12 Wyoming145936%70.969.0+1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State363571
New Mexico323567
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