PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fresno State vs New Orleans Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 85-76
41-37 44-39
Position#275
Record4-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game68.3
vs
Position#226
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game78.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Orleans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#55
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H02/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H05/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A08/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A12/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#524
W
88-51
88
51
+37
H04/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H06/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H08/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H13/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H16/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-27
35-39
27-24
35-34
32-42
36-50
32-44
39-42
42-29
46-22
36-25
30-42
28-20
54-42
30-42
43-36
33-40
42-34
39-42
41-36
143.8Avg total
72.6Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.368.3145.7+9.067%
Season at home (6)77.368.3145.7+9.067%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.671.2143.8+1.450%
Last 5 (5)75.271.8147.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)70.282.6152.8-12.312%
vs Similar ◀ (5)72.866.2139.0+6.660%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (New Orleans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New OrleansUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#122
L
62-78
62
78
-16
H18/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H22/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H25/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A01/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
62-95
62
95
-33
A04/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A04/11
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#609
W
115-73
115
73
+42
H08/11
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
58-93
58
93
-35
A11/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
85-63
85
63
+22
A15/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-37
35-41
24-39
42-34
38-34
33-39
37-42
41-46
33-52
29-43
44-28
34-46
66-38
49-35
32-44
26-49
42-31
43-32
37-45
42-45
155.4Avg total
75.4Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.078.6161.6+4.460%
Season at home (1)115.073.0188.0+42.0100%
Season away (4)75.080.0155.0-5.050%
Last 10 (10)75.480.0155.4-4.630%
Last 5 (5)83.078.6161.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)66.883.8150.7-17.08%
vs Similar ◀ (3)95.769.7165.3+26.067%
vs Weaker (2)97.081.5178.5+15.550%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -3.6-3.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -3.6-3.6
Fresno StateNew Orleans
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#55
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H02/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H05/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A08/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A12/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#524
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H04/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H06/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H08/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H13/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H16/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H19/11
NCAA
66.0Avg total
32.5Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.936.967.8-5.927%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.133.565.5-1.435%-
Last 30 away (13)29.541.370.8-11.815%-
Last 10 (10)32.533.566.0-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)33.233.867.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)29.939.269.0-9.312%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)33.827.461.2+6.480%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (New Orleans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New OrleansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#122
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H18/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H22/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H25/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A01/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A04/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A04/11
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#609
W
66-38
66
38
+28
H08/11
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A11/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A15/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A19/11
NCAA
77.0Avg total
38.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.340.473.7-7.123%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.039.473.4-5.436%-
Last 30 away (19)32.941.073.9-8.116%-
Last 10 (10)38.039.077.0-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.281.4+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)31.441.272.6-9.916%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)37.732.770.3+5.067%-
vs Weaker (2)51.541.593.0+10.050%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fresno State wins
0
New Orleans wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25HStephen F. Austin80-78
16/11/25HUtah Valley State75-74
13/11/25HUC San Diego73-78
08/11/25HLong Beach State82-62
06/11/25HUSC Upstate66-67
04/11/25HFresno Pacific88-51
12/03/25ANevada71-86
08/03/25ASan Jose State68-92
05/03/25HWyoming62-58
02/03/25HBoise State61-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25APepperdine79-90
15/11/25ATulane85-63
11/11/25ALSU58-93
08/11/25HSouthern-New O.115-73
04/11/25ATCU78-74
04/03/25ATexas A&M-CC62-95
01/03/25AUTRGV78-88
25/02/25HTX A&M Commerce71-73
22/02/25HNorthwestern St.66-73
18/02/25HNicholls State62-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeLWLWW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games66-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game77.377.3-
Allowed / game68.368.3-
Point differential+9.0+9.0-
Avg total145.7145.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%-
New Orleans
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %60%100%50%
Points / game83.0115.075.0
Allowed / game78.673.080.0
Point differential+4.4+42.0-5.0
Avg total161.6188.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State550100%88.866.0+22.8
2 Colorado State440100%92.071.0+21.0
3 Wyoming54180%86.671.2+15.4
4 Boise State54180%77.667.6+10.0
5 San Diego State32167%85.770.0+15.7
6 Fresno State64267%77.368.3+9.0
7 New Mexico64267%75.369.3+6.0
8 UNLV53260%93.284.0+9.2
9 Nevada53260%79.076.2+2.8
10 Grand Canyon42250%80.874.5+6.2
11 Air Force62433%65.572.0-6.5
12 San Jose State41325%79.876.0+3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin54180%85.671.2+14.4
2 McNeese State43175%103.564.0+39.5
3 Houston Christian43175%72.869.0+3.8
4 Lamar32167%79.065.7+13.3
5 Incarnate Word53260%85.075.6+9.4
6 New Orleans53260%83.078.6+4.4
7 UTRGV31233%85.378.0+7.3
8 SE Louisiana51420%61.867.2-5.4
9 Texas A&M-CC51420%66.674.4-7.8
10 Northwestern St.51420%72.684.8-12.2
11 Nicholls State4040%62.577.2-14.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State414485
New Orleans373976
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.