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Fresno State vs Boise State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 61-66
26-27 35-39
Position#358
Record5-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game81.4
Fresno State
USA
vs
Boise State 🏆
USA
Position#55
Record20-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fresno State v Boise State
20 Jan 2027
FRES v BOIS
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
FRES53
BOIS69
01 Mar 2025
FRES61
BOIS66
23 Jan 2024
FRES68
BOIS72
28 Jan 2022
FRES63
BOIS68
25 Jan 2020
FRES53
BOIS87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#25
L
67-95
67
95
-28
A20/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H26/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
72-83 OT
72
83
-11
A29/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
60-82
60
82
-22
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
H05/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
69-94
69
94
-25
A11/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H16/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A19/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
L
69-72 OT
69
72
-3
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-45
40-50
31-33
33-36
30-31
37-36
26-44
34-38
29-31
38-36
31-50
50-39
31-41
38-53
18-26
33-26
23-43
37-40
32-31
29-30
149.7Avg total
68.4Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)71.581.4152.9-9.918%
Season at home (13)73.877.7151.5-3.931%
Season away (15)69.584.7154.2-15.17%
Last 10 (10)68.481.3149.7-12.90%
Last 5 (5)66.078.0144.0-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)70.983.4154.3-12.68%
vs Similar (5)76.470.8147.2+5.680%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#25
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A18/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A23/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H30/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A05/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A16/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H20/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
21-48
44-36
29-38
43-37
28-24
38-32
44-26
38-34
33-29
38-33
37-25
42-27
18-28
29-36
42-39
44-39
34-32
36-37
37-31
45-34
138.5Avg total
72.0Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.366.2142.6+10.171%
Season at home (17)80.962.5143.4+18.588%
Season away (11)69.272.1141.3-2.945%
Last 10 (10)72.066.5138.5+5.570%
Last 5 (5)72.865.6138.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)71.273.9145.1-2.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)76.960.3137.2+16.688%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.7-9.71st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +5.2+5.2
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.7-9.71st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +5.2+5.2
Fresno StateBoise State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#25
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A20/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H26/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A29/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H05/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A11/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
18-26
18
26
-8
H16/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A19/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A22/02
NCAA
65.3Avg total
27.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.337.969.2-6.620%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.235.367.5-3.223%-
Last 30 away (17)30.639.970.6-9.318%-
Last 10 (10)27.837.565.3-9.710%-
Last 5 (5)27.038.265.2-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)30.138.869.0-8.712%-
vs Similar (5)37.233.470.6+3.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#25
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A18/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A23/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A05/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
18-28
18
28
-10
A16/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H20/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H27/02
NCAA
64.3Avg total
32.3Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.530.465.0+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.428.766.1+8.679%-
Last 30 away (11)29.633.463.0-3.745%-
Last 10 (10)32.332.064.3+0.370%-
Last 5 (5)33.631.064.6+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)31.534.766.2-3.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)36.127.163.1+9.081%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fresno State wins
8
Boise State wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Boise State v Fresno State82-60
18/02/24Boise State v Fresno State90-66
24/01/24Fresno State v Boise State68-72
25/01/23Boise State v Fresno State63-53
29/01/22Fresno State v Boise State63-68 OT
29/12/21Boise State v Fresno State65-55
03/03/21Boise State v Fresno State64-67
21/01/21Boise State v Fresno State73-51
26/01/20Fresno State v Boise State53-87
Fresno Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25AAir Force69-72 OT
19/02/25ASan Diego State60-83
16/02/25HUNLV51-52
11/02/25ANevada69-94
08/02/25HUtah State81-89
05/02/25HSan Jose State91-94 OT
01/02/25ABoise State60-82
29/01/25AWyoming72-83 OT
26/01/25HColorado State64-69
20/01/25ANew Mexico67-95
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25HUtah State82-65
22/02/25ANevada70-69
20/02/25HNew Mexico86-78
16/02/25ASan Diego State47-64
08/02/25HSan Jose State79-52
05/02/25AUNLV71-62
01/02/25HFresno State82-60
30/01/25HNevada66-56
23/01/25AColorado State72-75
18/01/25ANew Mexico65-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeWLLLL31%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %18%31%7%
Points / game71.573.869.5
Allowed / game81.477.784.7
Point differential-9.9-3.9-15.1
Avg total152.9151.5154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %18%23%13%
Boise State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %71%88%45%
Points / game76.380.969.2
Allowed / game66.262.572.1
Point differential+10.1+18.5-2.9
Avg total142.6143.4141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%76%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State3024680%81.370.7+10.6
2 New Mexico2923679%82.771.6+11.0
3 Grand Canyon2721678%78.468.4+9.9
4 San Diego State2619773%71.363.2+8.2
5 Boise State2820871%76.366.2+10.1
6 Colorado State2920969%74.967.8+7.2
7 Nevada29161355%72.967.6+5.3
8 UNLV29161355%69.668.0+1.6
9 San Jose State30131743%73.074.0-1.0
10 Wyoming29121741%67.671.6-4.0
11 Fresno State2852318%71.581.4-9.9
12 Air Force2942514%62.773.2-10.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State263561
Boise State273966
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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