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Fresno State vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 57-75
26-36 31-39
Position#189
Record9-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game67.1
vs
Position#15
Record16-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game60.0
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Fresno State v San Diego State
04 Dec 2024
FRES62
SAN 84
24 Feb 2024
FRES41
SAN 73
15 Feb 2023
FRES43
SAN 45
19 Feb 2022
FRES44
SAN 61
20 Feb 2021
FRES57
SAN 75
18 Feb 2021
FRES53
SAN 67
14 Jan 2020
FRES55
SAN 64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#322
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H11/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A16/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A17/01
NCAA
Boise State
#66
L
51-73
51
73
-22
A21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
W
64-62 OT
64
62
+2
H29/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H31/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H05/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A13/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
53-67
53
67
-14
H19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-25
39-40
31-36
26-37
26-33
39-46
30-28
21-45
19-19
34-34
28-28
37-27
29-33
24-36
33-22
36-41
39-31
28-33
20-32
33-35
129.4Avg total
62.4Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)66.867.1133.9-0.453%
Season at home (10)71.463.3134.7+8.170%
Season away (7)60.172.6132.7-12.429%
Last 10 (10)62.467.0129.4-4.650%
Last 5 (5)61.463.6125.0-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)59.876.6136.3-16.80%
vs Similar (7)74.970.1145.0+4.757%
vs Weaker (11)72.860.7133.5+12.1100%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#118
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H10/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A15/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A16/01
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
98-61
98
61
+37
A23/01
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
91-59
91
59
+32
A25/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H31/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
85-54
85
54
+31
H09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
77-55
77
55
+22
H11/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
W
67-53
67
53
+14
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
35-36
20-33
25-24
32-22
27-42
52-16
46-45
44-31
47-28
63-30
24-27
51-28
47-43
47-29
38-25
33-27
44-28
32-20
35-33
137.4Avg total
77.6Scored
59.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.060.0134.9+15.080%
Season at home (14)75.759.8135.5+15.986%
Season away (6)73.360.3133.7+13.067%
Last 10 (10)77.659.8137.4+17.880%
Last 5 (5)82.858.0140.8+24.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)62.265.6127.8-3.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)77.460.6138.0+16.792%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +14.1+14.12nd half2nd half: -5.7-5.72nd half: +3.7+3.7
-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +14.1+14.12nd half2nd half: -5.7-5.72nd half: +3.7+3.7
Fresno StateSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#322
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H11/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A16/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
D
19-19
19
19
+0
H29/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H31/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A12/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A13/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
20-32
20
32
-12
H19/02
NCAA
58.3Avg total
29.6Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.930.761.6+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.929.660.6+1.335%-
Last 30 away (13)30.832.062.8-1.254%-
Last 10 (10)29.628.758.3+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)29.829.259.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)27.536.063.5-8.517%-
vs Similar (7)31.931.363.1+0.657%-
vs Weaker (11)34.024.558.5+9.564%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#118
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
20-33
20
33
-13
A15/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A16/01
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
52-16
52
16
+36
A23/01
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A25/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
63-30
63
30
+33
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H31/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H11/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
W
32-20
32
20
+12
A19/02
NCAA
67.5Avg total
40.8Scored
26.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.929.866.7+7.170%-
Last 30 at home (21)36.930.167.0+6.867%-
Last 30 away (9)36.928.965.8+8.078%-
Last 10 (10)40.826.767.5+14.190%-
Last 5 (5)45.226.872.0+18.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)32.429.461.8+3.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)37.829.867.6+8.072%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fresno State wins
3
San Diego State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/21HSan Diego State53-67
13/02/21AAir Force67-64
12/02/21AAir Force69-63
05/02/21HUtah State53-69
31/01/21HNew Mexico65-55
29/01/21HNew Mexico64-62 OT
21/01/21ABoise State51-73
17/01/21ANevada65-79
16/01/21ANevada57-73
11/01/21HSan Jose State80-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/21AFresno State67-53
11/02/21HSan Jose State77-55
09/02/21HSan Jose State85-54
31/01/21HWyoming98-71
29/01/21HWyoming87-57
25/01/21AAir Force91-59
23/01/21AAir Force98-61
16/01/21AUtah State59-64
15/01/21AUtah State45-57
10/01/21HNevada69-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL53%
HomeWWWLL70%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %53%70%29%
Points / game66.871.460.1
Allowed / game67.163.372.6
Point differential-0.4+8.1-12.4
Avg total133.9134.7132.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%10%0%
San Diego State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20146
Win %80%86%67%
Points / game75.075.773.3
Allowed / game60.059.860.3
Point differential+15.1+15.9+13.0
Avg total134.9135.5133.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%64%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon1613381%78.461.2+17.1
2 Boise State2117481%77.465.7+11.7
3 San Diego State2016480%75.060.0+15.1
4 Colorado State1814478%75.266.4+8.8
5 Nevada2013765%72.467.2+5.2
6 Utah State1912763%74.563.7+10.8
7 Wyoming2112957%76.176.1+0.0
8 Fresno State179853%66.867.1-0.4
9 UNLV2091145%70.667.3+3.2
10 San Jose State1951426%65.180.6-15.5
11 Air Force2041620%59.872.2-12.4
12 New Mexico1631319%61.472.1-10.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State263157
San Diego State363975
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