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Air Force vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 64-67
31-39 33-28
Position#337
Record4-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.6
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#189
Record8-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Air Force v Fresno State
31 Jan 2026
AIR 62
FRES79
22 Feb 2025
AIR 72
FRES69
10 Feb 2024
AIR 66
FRES68
21 Feb 2023
AIR 69
FRES74
22 Feb 2022
AIR 40
FRES65
13 Feb 2021
AIR 64
FRES67
11 Feb 2021
AIR 63
FRES69
28 Jan 2020
AIR 68
FRES79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#66
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A09/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
L
58-77
58
77
-19
H19/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
61-98
61
98
-37
H23/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
59-91
59
91
-32
H25/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A29/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A30/01
NCAA
UNLV
#219
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A06/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A09/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-33
29-47
28-36
44-33
23-38
35-39
16-52
45-46
31-44
28-47
30-36
28-23
28-39
34-36
28-31
30-37
34-28
30-41
22-33
41-36
137.9Avg total
62.4Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)59.672.5132.1-12.921%
Season at home (10)58.472.7131.1-14.330%
Season away (9)60.972.2133.1-11.311%
Last 10 (10)62.475.5137.9-13.110%
Last 5 (5)61.068.0129.0-7.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)60.575.2135.7-14.718%
vs Similar (6)64.568.7133.2-4.233%
vs Weaker (2)83.582.0165.5+1.550%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#144
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H05/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H09/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H11/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A16/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A17/01
NCAA
Boise State
#66
L
51-73
51
73
-22
A21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
W
64-62 OT
64
62
+2
H29/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H31/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H05/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-26
44-35
42-45
37-19
41-25
39-40
31-36
26-37
26-33
39-46
30-28
21-45
19-19
34-34
28-28
37-27
29-33
24-36
33-22
36-41
132.8Avg total
66.4Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)67.767.3135.0+0.353%
Season at home (9)73.462.9136.3+10.678%
Season away (6)59.074.0133.0-15.017%
Last 10 (10)66.466.4132.8+0.060%
Last 5 (5)60.464.4124.8-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)59.976.3136.2-16.40%
vs Similar (8)73.571.1144.6+2.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)73.460.4133.8+13.0100%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -9.0-9.01st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -4.1-4.12nd half: -2.3-2.3
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -9.0-9.01st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -4.1-4.12nd half: -2.3-2.3
Air ForceFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#66
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A09/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H16/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H19/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
16-52
16
52
-36
H23/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H25/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A29/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A30/01
NCAA
UNLV
#219
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A06/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A09/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H12/02
NCAA
65.0Avg total
28.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.535.364.7-5.823%-
Last 30 at home (15)28.935.464.3-6.520%-
Last 30 away (15)30.135.165.2-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)28.037.065.0-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)28.433.461.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)28.335.764.0-7.423%-
vs Similar (6)30.234.064.2-3.817%-
vs Weaker (2)40.034.074.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#144
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H05/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H09/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H11/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A16/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
D
19-19
19
19
+0
H29/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H31/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A12/02
NCAA
61.1Avg total
31.6Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.930.861.7+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.029.360.3+1.735%-
Last 30 away (13)30.732.863.5-2.146%-
Last 10 (10)31.629.561.1+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)27.826.053.8+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)27.635.563.1-7.917%-
vs Similar (8)32.532.565.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)33.523.857.3+9.760%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Air Force wins
3
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
12/02/21Air Force v Fresno State63-69
04/03/20Fresno State v Air Force70-77
20/02/20Fresno State v Air Force71-62
29/01/20Air Force v Fresno State68-79
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/21HFresno State63-69
09/02/21AUNLV64-69
06/02/21AUNLV58-68
30/01/21ASan Jose State62-75
29/01/21ASan Jose State58-59
25/01/21HSan Diego State59-91
23/01/21HSan Diego State61-98
19/01/21HWyoming58-77
16/01/21HWyoming72-69
09/01/21ABoise State69-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/21AAir Force69-63
05/02/21HUtah State53-69
31/01/21HNew Mexico65-55
29/01/21HNew Mexico64-62 OT
21/01/21ABoise State51-73
17/01/21ANevada65-79
16/01/21ANevada57-73
11/01/21HSan Jose State80-65
09/01/21HSan Jose State79-64
05/01/21HWyoming81-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWLLLL30%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %21%30%11%
Points / game59.658.460.9
Allowed / game72.572.772.2
Point differential-12.9-14.3-11.3
Avg total132.1131.1133.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW53%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %53%78%17%
Points / game67.773.459.0
Allowed / game67.362.974.0
Point differential+0.3+10.6-15.0
Avg total135.0136.3133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %7%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon1512380%78.961.3+17.6
2 San Diego State1915479%75.460.3+15.1
3 Boise State1814478%78.065.2+12.8
4 Colorado State1814478%75.266.4+8.8
5 Utah State1712571%74.661.8+12.8
6 Nevada2013765%72.467.2+5.2
7 Fresno State158753%67.767.3+0.3
8 Wyoming1910953%75.676.7-1.1
9 UNLV1881044%70.968.1+2.8
10 San Jose State1851328%65.480.9-15.5
11 New Mexico1431121%60.170.8-10.7
12 Air Force1941521%59.672.5-12.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force313364
Fresno State392867
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