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Fukuoka vs Aomori Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 77-56
15-20 21-11 26-13 15-12
Position#2
Record11-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game75.9
Fukuoka 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#12
Record7-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game87.9
JapanB2.League· Teriha Sekisui House Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fukuoka v Aomori
30 Nov 2024
FUKU94
AOMO80
29 Nov 2024
FUKU77
AOMO56
14 Nov 2023
FUKU71
AOMO75
13 Nov 2023
FUKU107
AOMO102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
L
62-81
62
81
-19
50avg 74
A26/10
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
83-63
83
63
+20
82avg 74
A27/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
88-80
88
80
+8
89avg 74
H01/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
98-80
98
80
+18
103avg 74
H02/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
90-65
90
65
+25
83avg 74
H11/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
100-68
100
68
+32
94avg 74
H12/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
79-73
79
73
+6
83avg 74
A16/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
102-83
102
83
+19
98avg 74
A17/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
90avg 74
A23/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
84-71
84
71
+13
90avg 74
A24/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
22-21
15-15
9-25
17-22
21-15
27-9
18-17
24-20
24-26
22-22
18-12
29-14
32-24
19-26
18-16
26-15
27-18
16-14
21-18
20-20
34-15
25-12
21-21
13-19
24-12
23-16
19-26
30-14
23-23
27-19
22-27
20-14
19-20
17-20
30-23
19-26
27-17
17-15
21-13
161.3Avg total
87.2Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.875.9159.7+7.965%
Season at home (8)88.174.4162.5+13.875%
Season away (9)80.077.2157.2+2.856%
Last 10 (10)87.274.1161.3+13.190%
Last 5 (5)90.274.4164.6+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.091.0165.0-17.00%
vs Similar (5)79.886.2166.0-6.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)82.473.9156.2+8.567%
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
83-90
83
90
-7
68avg 76
H26/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
103-76
103
76
+27
107avg 76
H27/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
75-87
75
87
-12
64avg 76
A02/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
85-82
85
82
+3
83avg 76
A03/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
82-74
82
74
+8
66avg 76
H09/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
69-79
69
79
-10
57avg 76
H10/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
81-75 OT
81
75
+6
69avg 76
H16/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
80-112
80
112
-32
73avg 76
H17/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
88-103
88
103
-15
76avg 76
A23/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
77-111
77
111
-34
66avg 76
A24/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
13-28
19-22
33-23
32-19
31-16
22-18
18-23
21-21
19-16
14-22
21-28
21-21
23-17
14-20
27-24
27-15
22-24
20-13
13-22
15-21
13-20
20-21
21-17
18-14
14-15
24-18
12-21
6-27
22-37
31-27
21-21
28-25
17-29
16-21
27-28
13-29
19-33
19-27
26-22
171.2Avg total
82.3Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.987.9167.8-8.141%
Season at home (9)78.686.0164.6-7.444%
Season away (8)81.490.1171.5-8.838%
Last 10 (10)82.388.9171.2-6.640%
Last 5 (5)79.096.0175.0-17.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)79.588.7168.3-9.237%
vs Similar (11)86.487.8174.2-1.536%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
FukuokaAomori
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A26/10
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A27/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H01/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
61-38
61
38
+23
H02/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H11/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H12/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A16/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A17/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A23/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A24/11
B2.League
84.2Avg total
46.7Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.482.7+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.239.482.6+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)43.339.582.8+3.857%-
Last 10 (10)46.737.584.2+9.290%-
Last 5 (5)45.836.081.8+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.848.087.8-8.225%-
vs Similar (5)39.846.286.0-6.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.836.281.0+8.676%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H26/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
63-35
63
35
+28
H27/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A02/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A03/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H09/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H10/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H16/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
28-64
28
64
-36
H17/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A23/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
32-62
32
62
-30
A24/11
B2.League
83.6Avg total
39.2Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.543.785.2-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.240.781.9+0.557%-
Last 30 away (16)41.846.388.1-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)39.244.483.6-5.250%-
Last 5 (5)33.050.083.0-17.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.945.285.1-5.337%-
vs Similar (11)44.341.285.5+3.164%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.7
55.8%
51.0%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.6
39.1%
32.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.317.3
71.2%
70.7%17.3
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.1
50.1%
51.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.2
34.8%
32.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws15.910.8
67.9%
70.7%10.8
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukuoka
WWWWWWWWWL
Aomori
LLLWLWWLWL
#2
League position
#12
+17.5
Net rating
-7.8
120.8
Offensive rating
103.7
103.4
Defensive rating
111.5
56.8%
Effective FG%
51.0%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
17.8%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.1%
3-point %
34.8%
66.0%
Assist %
68.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence120.8 · 103.7Defence103.4 · 111.5Shooting56.8% · 51.0%3-point %39.1% · 34.8%Ball care15.4% · 17.8%Off. rebounds32.1% · 27.7%Free throws0.40 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Fukuoka   ■ Aomori
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fukuoka wins
4
Aomori wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Aomori v Fukuoka74-84 OT
03/02/24Aomori v Fukuoka80-88
14/11/23Fukuoka v Aomori71-75
13/11/23Fukuoka v Aomori107-102 OT
23/11/14Aomori v Fukuoka59-77
22/11/14Aomori v Fukuoka83-78
19/01/14Aomori v Fukuoka84-80 OT
18/01/14Aomori v Fukuoka75-67
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24AKagoshima Rebnise84-71
23/11/24AKagoshima Rebnise86-77
17/11/24AShizuoka102-83
16/11/24AShizuoka79-73
12/11/24HEhime Orange Vikings100-68
11/11/24HEhime Orange Vikings90-65
02/11/24HKobe98-80
01/11/24HKobe88-80
27/10/24ANara83-63
26/10/24ANara62-81
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24AAltiri Chiba77-111
23/11/24AAltiri Chiba88-103
17/11/24HShinshu80-112
16/11/24HShinshu81-75 OT
10/11/24HShizuoka69-79
09/11/24HShizuoka82-74
03/11/24AFukushima85-82
02/11/24AFukushima75-87
27/10/24HYamagata Wyverns103-76
26/10/24HYamagata Wyverns83-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukuoka
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%75%56%
Points / game83.888.180.0
Allowed / game75.974.477.2
Point differential+7.9+13.8+2.8
Avg total159.7162.5157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aomori
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeWWLWL44%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%44%38%
Points / game79.978.681.4
Allowed / game87.986.090.1
Point differential-8.1-7.4-8.8
Avg total167.8164.6171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba1716194%92.777.4+15.4
2 Toyama1712571%86.779.0+7.7
3 Fukui1712571%81.477.9+3.5
4 Shinshu1711665%85.175.6+9.5
5 Fukuoka1711665%83.875.9+7.9
6 Kagoshima Rebnise1710759%79.379.5-0.2
7 Kobe179853%85.182.1+2.9
8 Shizuoka179853%76.175.9+0.2
9 Yamagata Wyverns178947%81.982.5-0.6
10 Nara1771041%76.178.5-2.4
11 Aomori1771041%79.987.9-8.1
12 Fukushima1741324%76.283.8-7.6
13 Kumamoto1721512%75.087.2-12.2
14 Ehime Orange Vikings171166%74.490.5-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukuoka1521261577
Aomori2011131256
← all games of the day
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