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Fukuoka vs Aomori Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 71-75
23-19 16-16 17-17 15-23
Position#4
Record11-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game72.4
vs
Aomori 🏆
Japan
Position#8
Record7-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game86.1
JapanB2.League· Teriha Sekisui House Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukuoka v Aomori
30 Nov 2024
FUKU94
AOMO80
29 Nov 2024
FUKU77
AOMO56
14 Nov 2023
FUKU71
AOMO75
13 Nov 2023
FUKU107
AOMO102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aomori winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
W
75-61
75
61
+14
79avg 78
A14/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
84-81
84
81
+3
82avg 78
A15/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
90-70
90
70
+20
93avg 78
H21/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
87-67
87
67
+20
87avg 78
H22/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
77-70
77
70
+7
71avg 78
A25/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
74-68
74
68
+6
70avg 78
H27/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
69avg 78
H28/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
81-56
81
56
+25
87avg 78
A04/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
79-70
79
70
+9
82avg 78
A05/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
107-102 OT
107
102
+5
no box
H13/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
25-10
16-13
14-22
28-20
15-25
19-21
22-15
19-14
25-21
22-25
24-10
21-28
21-12
22-10
23-17
15-15
21-14
22-23
19-18
18-17
20-12
18-15
18-24
21-15
14-22
15-18
24-17
16-15
16-13
22-11
27-17
21-20
23-20
16-10
19-20
21-22
32-25
12-25
28-21
154.5Avg total
82.8Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.372.4153.8+8.992%
Season at home (5)86.475.8162.2+10.6100%
Season away (7)77.770.0147.7+7.786%
Last 10 (10)82.871.7154.5+11.1100%
Last 5 (5)83.073.6156.6+9.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.381.6156.9-6.421%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.980.6158.5-2.838%
vs Weaker (8)79.169.4148.5+9.888%
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
95-100
95
100
-5
74avg 65
A14/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
81-77
81
77
+4
70avg 65
A15/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
95-92
95
92
+3
75avg 65
A21/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
85-80
85
80
+5
68avg 65
A22/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
110-112
110
112
-2
81avg 65
A25/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
63-79
63
79
-16
40avg 65
H28/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
89-74
89
74
+15
76avg 65
H29/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
81-78
81
78
+3
75avg 65
H04/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
61-87
61
87
-26
43avg 65
H05/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
no box
A13/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-33
28-28
18-16
30-23
15-25
22-13
22-22
22-17
33-26
22-17
21-22
19-27
14-19
22-20
31-21
18-20
30-31
30-19
24-39
26-23
15-23
21-24
13-17
14-15
18-12
31-24
20-26
20-12
19-18
22-22
23-18
17-20
16-29
10-13
16-27
19-18
22-21
25-32
25-12
21-28
174.8Avg total
86.2Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.286.1171.3-0.858%
Season at home (6)75.877.5153.3-1.767%
Season away (6)94.794.7189.3+0.050%
Last 10 (10)86.288.6174.8-2.450%
Last 5 (5)79.285.0164.2-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.984.3159.2-9.428%
vs Similar ◀ (8)88.186.4174.5+1.862%
vs Weaker (4)82.867.8150.5+15.075%
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
FukuokaAomori
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A14/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A15/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H21/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H22/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A25/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H27/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A04/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A05/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H13/11
B2.League
76.8Avg total
41.2Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.638.876.5-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.139.777.9-1.647%-
Last 30 away (15)37.137.975.1-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)41.235.676.8+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.276.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.439.676.1-3.229%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.441.679.0-4.238%-
vs Weaker (8)40.034.674.6+5.488%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A14/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A15/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A21/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A22/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A25/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H28/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H29/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H04/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H05/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A13/11
B2.League
88.3Avg total
43.4Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)37.841.279.0-3.439%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.938.375.2-1.457%-
Last 30 away (14)38.744.182.8-5.421%-
Last 10 (10)43.444.988.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.683.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)34.642.276.8-7.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.044.189.1+0.938%-
vs Weaker (4)36.531.267.8+5.2100%-
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.1
50.8%
52.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.99.2
40.2%
33.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws14.310.3
72.0%
71.0%10.3
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.3
52.0%
52.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.1
32.0%
33.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.616.0
74.1%
71.0%16.0
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukuoka
WWWWWWWWWW
Aomori
LLWWLLWWWL
#4
League position
#8
+13.4
Net rating
-1.1
107.8
Offensive rating
110.7
94.4
Defensive rating
111.8
54.2%
Effective FG%
50.5%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
19.8%
Turnover %
14.3%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.33
40.2%
3-point %
32.0%
72.0%
Assist %
66.7%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 110.7Defence94.4 · 111.8Shooting54.2% · 50.5%3-point %40.2% · 32.0%Ball care19.8% · 14.3%Off. rebounds32.2% · 30.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)100% · 50%
■ Fukuoka   ■ Aomori
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fukuoka wins
3
Aomori wins
DateGameScore
13/11/23Fukuoka v Aomori107-102 OT
23/11/14Aomori v Fukuoka59-77
22/11/14Aomori v Fukuoka83-78
19/01/14Aomori v Fukuoka84-80 OT
18/01/14Aomori v Fukuoka75-67
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/23HAomori107-102 OT
05/11/23AIwate79-70
04/11/23AIwate81-56
28/10/23HNara74-72
27/10/23HNara74-68
25/10/23AKobe77-70
22/10/23HNiigata87-67
21/10/23HNiigata90-70
15/10/23AShiga84-81
14/10/23AShiga75-61
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/23AFukuoka102-107 OT
05/11/23HAltiri Chiba61-87
04/11/23HAltiri Chiba81-78
29/10/23HEhime Orange Vikings89-74
28/10/23HEhime Orange Vikings63-79
25/10/23AYamagata Wyverns110-112
22/10/23AFukushima85-80
21/10/23AFukushima95-92
15/10/23AKoshigaya Alphas81-77
14/10/23AKoshigaya Alphas95-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %92%100%86%
Points / game81.386.477.7
Allowed / game72.475.870.0
Point differential+8.9+10.6+7.7
Avg total153.8162.2147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%20%0%
Aomori
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL58%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game85.275.894.7
Allowed / game86.177.594.7
Point differential-0.8-1.7+0.0
Avg total171.3153.3189.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %17%17%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fukuoka1211192%81.372.4+8.9
2 Altiri Chiba1311285%87.276.4+10.8
3 Koshigaya Alphas1310377%87.072.4+14.6
4 Shiga138562%82.674.7+7.9
5 Kobe138562%78.976.7+2.2
6 Kumamoto138562%81.480.9+0.5
7 Aomori127558%85.286.1-0.8
8 Shizuoka137654%80.275.5+4.6
9 Yamagata Wyverns136746%80.382.8-2.5
10 Ehime Orange Vikings135838%76.882.5-5.7
11 Fukushima134931%81.485.2-3.8
12 Iwate1321115%68.877.8-9.0
13 Nara1321115%70.280.6-10.5
14 Niigata131128%68.184.7-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukuoka2316171571
Aomori1916172375
← all games of the day
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