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Fukuoka vs Aomori Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 94-80
21-25 32-21 18-15 23-19
Position#2
Record12-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game74.8
Fukuoka 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#12
Record7-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game87.3
JapanB2.League· Teriha Sekisui House Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fukuoka v Aomori
30 Nov 2024
FUKU94
AOMO80
29 Nov 2024
FUKU77
AOMO56
14 Nov 2023
FUKU71
AOMO75
13 Nov 2023
FUKU107
AOMO102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
W
83-63
83
63
+20
82avg 74
A27/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
88-80
88
80
+8
89avg 74
H01/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
98-80
98
80
+18
103avg 74
H02/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
90-65
90
65
+25
83avg 74
H11/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
100-68
100
68
+32
94avg 74
H12/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
79-73
79
73
+6
83avg 74
A16/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
102-83
102
83
+19
98avg 74
A17/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
90avg 74
A23/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
84-71
84
71
+13
90avg 74
A24/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
77-56
77
56
+21
74avg 74
H29/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
21-15
27-9
18-17
24-20
24-26
22-22
18-12
29-14
32-24
19-26
18-16
26-15
27-18
16-14
21-18
20-20
34-15
25-12
21-21
13-19
24-12
23-16
19-26
30-14
23-23
27-19
22-27
20-14
19-20
17-20
30-23
19-26
27-17
17-15
21-13
15-20
21-11
26-13
15-12
160.3Avg total
88.7Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.474.8158.2+8.767%
Season at home (9)86.972.3159.2+14.678%
Season away (9)80.077.2157.2+2.856%
Last 10 (10)88.771.6160.3+17.1100%
Last 5 (5)85.672.0157.6+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.091.0165.0-17.00%
vs Similar (5)79.886.2166.0-6.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)81.473.7155.1+7.867%
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
103-76
103
76
+27
107avg 75
H27/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
75-87
75
87
-12
64avg 75
A02/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
85-82
85
82
+3
83avg 75
A03/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
82-74
82
74
+8
66avg 75
H09/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
69-79
69
79
-10
57avg 75
H10/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
81-75 OT
81
75
+6
69avg 75
H16/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
80-112
80
112
-32
73avg 75
H17/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
88-103
88
103
-15
76avg 75
A23/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
77-111
77
111
-34
66avg 75
A24/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
56-77
56
77
-21
48avg 75
A29/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-19
31-16
22-18
18-23
21-21
19-16
14-22
21-28
21-21
23-17
14-20
27-24
27-15
22-24
20-13
13-22
15-21
13-20
20-21
21-17
18-14
14-15
24-18
12-21
6-27
22-37
31-27
21-21
28-25
17-29
16-21
27-28
13-29
19-33
19-27
26-22
20-15
11-21
13-26
12-15
167.2Avg total
79.6Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.687.3165.9-8.839%
Season at home (9)78.686.0164.6-7.444%
Season away (9)78.688.7167.2-10.133%
Last 10 (10)79.687.6167.2-8.040%
Last 5 (5)76.495.6172.0-19.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.388.2166.5-9.835%
vs Similar (10)88.088.6176.6-0.640%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
FukuokaAomori
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A27/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H01/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
61-38
61
38
+23
H02/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H11/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H12/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A16/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A17/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A23/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A24/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H29/11
B2.League
83.0Avg total
46.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.782.2+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.838.981.7+3.965%-
Last 30 away (13)42.240.782.9+1.554%-
Last 10 (10)46.536.583.0+10.0100%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.277.4+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.848.087.8-8.225%-
vs Similar (5)39.846.286.0-6.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.836.580.3+7.276%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
63-35
63
35
+28
H27/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A02/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A03/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H09/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H10/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H16/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
28-64
28
64
-36
H17/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A23/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
32-62
32
62
-30
A24/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A29/11
B2.League
82.7Avg total
39.2Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.243.684.8-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.340.982.2+0.454%-
Last 30 away (17)41.145.786.8-4.635%-
Last 10 (10)39.243.582.7-4.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.649.082.6-15.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.544.784.2-5.235%-
vs Similar (10)44.741.586.2+3.260%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.423.3
59.1%
51.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.38.2
38.5%
32.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.417.0
72.6%
70.7%17.0
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.9
50.4%
51.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.2
33.1%
32.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.011.5
67.6%
70.7%11.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukuoka
WWWWWWWWWW
Aomori
LLLLWLWWLW
#2
League position
#12
+23.1
Net rating
-9.8
122.0
Offensive rating
100.6
98.9
Defensive rating
110.4
58.6%
Effective FG%
50.1%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
15.7%
Turnover %
19.3%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.5%
3-point %
33.1%
63.8%
Assist %
72.2%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence122.0 · 100.6Defence98.9 · 110.4Shooting58.6% · 50.1%3-point %38.5% · 33.1%Ball care15.7% · 19.3%Off. rebounds31.3% · 27.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)100% · 40%
■ Fukuoka   ■ Aomori
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fukuoka wins
4
Aomori wins
DateGameScore
29/11/24Fukuoka v Aomori77-56
04/02/24Aomori v Fukuoka74-84 OT
03/02/24Aomori v Fukuoka80-88
14/11/23Fukuoka v Aomori71-75
13/11/23Fukuoka v Aomori107-102 OT
23/11/14Aomori v Fukuoka59-77
22/11/14Aomori v Fukuoka83-78
19/01/14Aomori v Fukuoka84-80 OT
18/01/14Aomori v Fukuoka75-67
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24HAomori77-56
24/11/24AKagoshima Rebnise84-71
23/11/24AKagoshima Rebnise86-77
17/11/24AShizuoka102-83
16/11/24AShizuoka79-73
12/11/24HEhime Orange Vikings100-68
11/11/24HEhime Orange Vikings90-65
02/11/24HKobe98-80
01/11/24HKobe88-80
27/10/24ANara83-63
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24AFukuoka56-77
24/11/24AAltiri Chiba77-111
23/11/24AAltiri Chiba88-103
17/11/24HShinshu80-112
16/11/24HShinshu81-75 OT
10/11/24HShizuoka69-79
09/11/24HShizuoka82-74
03/11/24AFukushima85-82
02/11/24AFukushima75-87
27/10/24HYamagata Wyverns103-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukuoka
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%78%56%
Points / game83.486.980.0
Allowed / game74.872.377.2
Point differential+8.7+14.6+2.8
Avg total158.2159.2157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aomori
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL39%
HomeWWLWL44%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%44%33%
Points / game78.678.678.6
Allowed / game87.386.088.7
Point differential-8.8-7.4-10.1
Avg total165.9164.6167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba1817194%92.476.4+15.9
2 Toyama1712571%86.779.0+7.7
3 Fukui1712571%81.477.9+3.5
4 Shinshu1812667%86.275.4+10.8
5 Fukuoka1812667%83.474.8+8.7
6 Kagoshima Rebnise1710759%79.379.5-0.2
7 Shizuoka179853%76.175.9+0.2
8 Kobe189950%84.383.4+0.9
9 Yamagata Wyverns178947%81.982.5-0.6
10 Nara1771041%76.178.5-2.4
11 Aomori1871139%78.687.3-8.8
12 Fukushima1841422%75.383.9-8.6
13 Kumamoto1721512%75.087.2-12.2
14 Ehime Orange Vikings171166%74.490.5-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukuoka2132182394
Aomori2521151980
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