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Fukuoka vs Niigata Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 87-67
21-28 21-12 22-10 23-17
Position#4
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game72.8
Fukuoka 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#14
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.2
Allowed / game81.6
JapanB2.League· Teriha Sekisui House Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukuoka v Niigata
22 Oct 2023
FUKU87
NIIG67
21 Oct 2023
FUKU90
NIIG70
24 Nov 2018
FUKU69
NIIG73
23 Nov 2018
FUKU71
NIIG68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Osaka
#12
L
71-80
71
80
-9
no box
H10/04
B League
Kyoto
#9
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
A13/04
B League
Kyoto
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
no box
A14/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
H20/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
no box
H21/04
B League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
78-75
78
75
+3
74avg 78
A06/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
70-77
70
77
-7
64avg 78
A07/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
75-61
75
61
+14
79avg 78
A14/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
84-81
84
81
+3
82avg 78
A15/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
90-70
90
70
+20
93avg 78
H21/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
19-12
16-23
21-19
16-21
23-18
19-19
22-16
14-18
19-26
23-17
23-22
19-21
12-21
26-21
16-14
16-18
25-15
16-14
15-25
20-11
21-17
16-28
21-19
24-17
20-23
13-20
13-17
20-16
25-10
16-13
14-22
28-20
15-25
19-21
22-15
19-14
25-21
22-25
24-10
154.5Avg total
78.3Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.472.8152.2+6.680%
Season at home (1)90.070.0160.0+20.0100%
Season away (4)76.873.5150.2+3.275%
Last 10 (10)78.376.2154.5+2.150%
Last 5 (5)79.472.8152.2+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)73.082.5155.5-9.517%
vs Similar (9)74.279.4153.7-5.222%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)79.374.0153.3+5.367%
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Toyama
#22
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
H23/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#17
W
98-80
98
80
+18
no box
A29/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#17
W
87-69
87
69
+18
no box
A30/04
B League
Shinshu
#10
L
62-71
62
71
-9
no box
H06/05
B League
Shinshu
#10
L
72-94
72
94
-22
no box
H07/05
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
65-75
65
75
-10
52avg 56
H07/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
46-80
46
80
-34
33avg 56
H08/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
75-91
75
91
-16
74avg 56
A14/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
70-72
70
72
-2
59avg 56
A15/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
70-90
70
90
-20
60avg 56
A21/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-13
21-17
21-23
24-36
19-22
24-17
29-25
26-16
18-18
23-11
22-24
24-16
12-22
12-19
22-16
16-14
14-22
21-18
21-21
16-33
25-23
10-20
9-15
21-17
8-18
12-17
12-24
14-21
29-26
12-27
20-17
14-21
16-16
11-18
16-19
27-19
14-19
21-25
25-22
10-24
155.0Avg total
73.9Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)65.281.6146.8-16.40%
Season at home (2)55.577.5133.0-22.00%
Season away (3)71.784.3156.0-12.70%
Last 10 (10)73.981.1155.0-7.230%
Last 5 (5)65.281.6146.8-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)75.884.3160.1-8.522%
vs Similar (3)79.780.3160.0-0.767%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
FukuokaNiigata
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#12
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H10/04
B League
Kyoto
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A13/04
B League
Kyoto
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A14/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H20/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H21/04
B League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A06/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A07/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A14/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A15/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H21/10
B2.League
76.5Avg total
39.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.739.775.4-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.039.575.5-3.527%-
Last 30 away (15)35.539.975.3-4.433%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.076.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.434.878.2+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)34.739.774.4-5.022%-
vs Similar (9)35.341.376.7-6.022%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)43.034.377.3+8.7100%-
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#22
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H23/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#17
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#17
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A30/04
B League
Shinshu
#10
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H06/05
B League
Shinshu
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H07/05
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H07/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
20-35
20
35
-15
H08/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A14/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A15/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A21/10
B2.League
73.8Avg total
35.0Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.840.477.2-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.541.077.5-4.527%-
Last 30 away (15)37.239.776.9-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)35.038.873.8-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)31.641.873.4-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.741.478.0-4.730%-
vs Similar (3)38.331.369.7+7.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.4
49.2%
52.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.6
39.3%
33.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.012.6
74.1%
71.0%12.6
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 64.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.214.4
43.4%
52.4%28.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.0
31.2%
33.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.611.6
74.4%
71.0%11.6
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukuoka
WWWLWLLLWL
Niigata
LLLLLLLWWW
#4
League position
#14
+7.9
Net rating
-22.3
106.9
Offensive rating
87.7
99.0
Defensive rating
110.0
53.1%
Effective FG%
44.9%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
20.4%
Turnover %
19.9%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
18.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.3%
3-point %
31.2%
74.3%
Assist %
53.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 87.7Defence99.0 · 110.0Shooting53.1% · 44.9%3-point %39.3% · 31.2%Ball care20.4% · 19.9%Off. rebounds33.5% · 18.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Fukuoka   ■ Niigata
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fukuoka wins
3
Niigata wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23Fukuoka v Niigata90-70
27/01/19Niigata v Fukuoka78-73
26/01/19Niigata v Fukuoka87-85 OT
24/11/18Fukuoka v Niigata69-73
23/11/18Fukuoka v Niigata71-68
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HNiigata90-70
15/10/23AShiga84-81
14/10/23AShiga75-61
07/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings70-77
06/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings78-75
21/04/19HDiamond Dolphins83-84 OT
20/04/19HDiamond Dolphins73-77
14/04/19AKyoto79-83
13/04/19AKyoto80-74
10/04/19HOsaka71-80
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23AFukuoka70-90
15/10/23AShizuoka70-72
14/10/23AShizuoka75-91
08/10/23HKoshigaya Alphas46-80
07/10/23HKoshigaya Alphas65-75
07/05/23HShinshu72-94
06/05/23HShinshu62-71
30/04/23ANeoPhoenix87-69
29/04/23ANeoPhoenix98-80
23/04/23HToyama94-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %80%100%75%
Points / game79.490.076.8
Allowed / game72.870.073.5
Point differential+6.6+20.0+3.2
Avg total152.2160.0150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game65.255.571.7
Allowed / game81.677.584.3
Point differential-16.4-22.0-12.7
Avg total146.8133.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kobe660100%89.075.7+13.3
2 Altiri Chiba550100%85.874.2+11.6
3 Aomori65183%86.282.7+3.5
4 Fukuoka54180%79.472.8+6.6
5 Koshigaya Alphas53260%82.474.8+7.6
6 Shiga63350%85.280.0+5.2
7 Kumamoto63350%85.383.7+1.7
8 Shizuoka63350%78.277.5+0.7
9 Yamagata Wyverns63350%78.380.5-2.2
10 Fukushima62433%84.386.7-2.3
11 Ehime Orange Vikings62433%72.775.7-3.0
12 Iwate61517%70.576.7-6.2
13 Niigata5050%65.281.6-16.4
14 Nara6060%70.789.2-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukuoka2121222387
Niigata2812101767
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