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Fukuoka vs Niigata Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 90-70
19-14 25-21 22-25 24-10
Position#4
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game73.5
Fukuoka 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#14
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game79.5
JapanB2.League· Teriha Sekisui House Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukuoka v Niigata
22 Oct 2023
FUKU87
NIIG67
21 Oct 2023
FUKU90
NIIG70
24 Nov 2018
FUKU69
NIIG73
23 Nov 2018
FUKU71
NIIG68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Shiga
#14
L
77-92
77
92
-15
no box
A07/04
B League
Osaka
#12
L
71-80
71
80
-9
no box
H10/04
B League
Kyoto
#9
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
A13/04
B League
Kyoto
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
no box
A14/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
H20/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
no box
H21/04
B League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
78-75
78
75
+3
74avg 74
A06/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
70-77
70
77
-7
64avg 74
A07/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
75-61
75
61
+14
79avg 74
A14/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
84-81
84
81
+3
82avg 74
A15/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
24-20
20-24
15-19
15-26
19-12
16-23
21-19
16-21
23-18
19-19
22-16
14-18
19-26
23-17
23-22
19-21
12-21
26-21
16-14
16-18
25-15
16-14
15-25
20-11
21-17
16-28
21-19
24-17
20-23
13-20
13-17
20-16
25-10
16-13
14-22
28-20
15-25
19-21
22-15
155.4Avg total
77.0Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.873.5150.2+3.275%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)76.873.5150.2+3.275%
Last 10 (10)77.078.4155.4-1.440%
Last 5 (5)78.075.6153.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)73.082.3155.3-9.316%
vs Similar (9)74.279.4153.7-5.222%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)74.076.0150.0-2.050%
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Toyama
#22
W
89-77 OT
89
77
+12
no box
H22/04
B League
Toyama
#22
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
H23/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#17
W
98-80
98
80
+18
no box
A29/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#17
W
87-69
87
69
+18
no box
A30/04
B League
Shinshu
#10
L
62-71
62
71
-9
no box
H06/05
B League
Shinshu
#10
L
72-94
72
94
-22
no box
H07/05
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
65-75
65
75
-10
52avg 55
H07/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
46-80
46
80
-34
33avg 55
H08/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
75-91
75
91
-16
74avg 55
A14/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
70-72
70
72
-2
59avg 55
A15/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
22-11
22-15
19-25
28-13
21-17
21-23
24-36
19-22
24-17
29-25
26-16
18-18
23-11
22-24
24-16
12-22
12-19
22-16
16-14
14-22
21-18
21-21
16-33
25-23
10-20
9-15
21-17
8-18
12-17
12-24
14-21
29-26
12-27
20-17
14-21
16-16
11-18
16-19
27-19
155.6Avg total
75.8Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)64.079.5143.5-15.50%
Season at home (2)55.577.5133.0-22.00%
Season away (2)72.581.5154.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)75.879.8155.6-4.040%
Last 5 (5)65.682.4148.0-16.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)75.684.8160.4-9.322%
vs Similar (3)79.780.3160.0-0.767%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
FukuokaNiigata
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#14
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A07/04
B League
Osaka
#12
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H10/04
B League
Kyoto
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A13/04
B League
Kyoto
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A14/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H20/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H21/04
B League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A06/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A07/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A14/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A15/10
B2.League
77.7Avg total
39.3Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.339.775.0-4.527%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.439.875.2-4.421%-
Last 30 away (16)35.139.774.8-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.477.7+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.834.477.2+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)34.539.674.1-5.121%-
vs Similar (9)35.341.376.7-6.022%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)42.534.076.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#22
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H22/04
B League
Toyama
#22
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H23/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#17
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#17
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A30/04
B League
Shinshu
#10
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H06/05
B League
Shinshu
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H07/05
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H07/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
20-35
20
35
-15
H08/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A14/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A15/10
B2.League
72.8Avg total
34.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.640.777.3-4.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.941.877.8-5.925%-
Last 30 away (14)37.439.476.8-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)34.937.972.8-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)31.641.072.6-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.441.778.1-5.330%-
vs Similar (3)38.331.369.7+7.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.218.5
47.1%
52.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.0
39.1%
33.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.011.2
75.0%
71.0%11.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 63.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.814.2
43.5%
52.4%28.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.0
30.2%
33.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws14.811.0
74.6%
71.0%11.0
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukuoka
WWLWLLLWLL
Niigata
LLLLLLWWWW
#4
League position
#14
+2.4
Net rating
-20.5
103.3
Offensive rating
86.7
100.9
Defensive rating
107.1
51.4%
Effective FG%
44.3%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
22.1%
Turnover %
19.9%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
18.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.1%
3-point %
30.2%
70.0%
Assist %
52.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 86.7Defence100.9 · 107.1Shooting51.4% · 44.3%3-point %39.1% · 30.2%Ball care22.1% · 19.9%Off. rebounds36.0% · 18.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Fukuoka   ■ Niigata
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fukuoka wins
3
Niigata wins
DateGameScore
27/01/19Niigata v Fukuoka78-73
26/01/19Niigata v Fukuoka87-85 OT
24/11/18Fukuoka v Niigata69-73
23/11/18Fukuoka v Niigata71-68
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23AShiga84-81
14/10/23AShiga75-61
07/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings70-77
06/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings78-75
21/04/19HDiamond Dolphins83-84 OT
20/04/19HDiamond Dolphins73-77
14/04/19AKyoto79-83
13/04/19AKyoto80-74
10/04/19HOsaka71-80
07/04/19AShiga77-92
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23AShizuoka70-72
14/10/23AShizuoka75-91
08/10/23HKoshigaya Alphas46-80
07/10/23HKoshigaya Alphas65-75
07/05/23HShinshu72-94
06/05/23HShinshu62-71
30/04/23ANeoPhoenix87-69
29/04/23ANeoPhoenix98-80
23/04/23HToyama94-89
22/04/23HToyama89-77 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
Home--
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %75%-75%
Points / game76.8-76.8
Allowed / game73.5-73.5
Point differential+3.2-+3.2
Avg total150.2-150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%-25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%-0%
Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game64.055.572.5
Allowed / game79.577.581.5
Point differential-15.5-22.0-9.0
Avg total143.5133.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kobe550100%90.675.4+15.2
2 Altiri Chiba550100%85.874.2+11.6
3 Aomori54180%86.483.2+3.2
4 Fukuoka43175%76.873.5+3.2
5 Koshigaya Alphas53260%82.474.8+7.6
6 Kumamoto53260%87.084.8+2.2
7 Yamagata Wyverns53260%78.680.4-1.8
8 Shizuoka52340%79.679.6+0.0
9 Fukushima52340%85.287.0-1.8
10 Shiga41325%81.884.0-2.2
11 Ehime Orange Vikings51420%71.675.4-3.8
12 Iwate51420%71.277.8-6.6
13 Niigata4040%64.079.5-15.5
14 Nara4040%70.087.8-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukuoka1925222490
Niigata1421251070
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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