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Fukushima vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 76-89
18-24 23-32 20-12 15-21
Position#10
Record19-27
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#3
Record26-20
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game74.7
JapanB2.League· Kokichi Tsuburaya Memorial Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukushima v Koshigaya Alphas
07 Apr 2024
FUKU75
KOSH101
06 Apr 2024
FUKU94
KOSH101
10 Mar 2024
FUKU76
KOSH89
09 Mar 2024
FUKU84
KOSH80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukushima winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
81-88
81
88
-7
72avg 75
H04/02
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
80-78
80
78
+2
84avg 75
A10/02
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
58-77
58
77
-19
53avg 75
A11/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
69avg 75
H17/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
98-93
98
93
+5
95avg 75
H18/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
91-77
91
77
+14
90avg 75
A24/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
94avg 75
A25/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
84-92
84
92
-8
74avg 75
A02/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
82-85
82
85
-3
81avg 75
A03/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
84-80
84
80
+4
86avg 75
H09/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
18-20
22-24
19-21
28-12
13-28
12-20
27-18
12-16
18-20
16-26
12-15
21-20
19-18
20-23
19-27
23-25
19-31
29-21
27-16
30-18
22-25
21-13
18-21
23-25
22-19
20-19
25-16
18-26
23-24
22-19
21-23
23-11
19-25
15-21
25-28
20-13
24-24
20-22
20-21
166.4Avg total
82.7Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)81.484.6166.0-3.241%
Season at home (23)81.282.5163.7-1.348%
Season away (23)81.686.7168.3-5.135%
Last 10 (10)82.783.7166.4-1.050%
Last 5 (5)86.282.6168.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)82.689.1171.7-6.545%
vs Similar (18)81.282.3163.5-1.244%
vs Weaker (1)88.083.0171.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Iwate
#13
L
67-69
67
69
-2
56avg 78
H04/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
116-70
116
70
+46
125avg 78
H10/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
122-71
122
71
+51
137avg 78
H11/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
74-59
74
59
+15
68avg 78
H16/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
55avg 78
H17/02
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
64-84
64
84
-20
55avg 78
A23/02
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
72-85
72
85
-13
66avg 78
A24/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
87-66
87
66
+21
90avg 78
H02/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
69-76
69
76
-7
62avg 78
H03/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
80-84
80
84
-4
65avg 78
A09/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
20-22
19-18
13-11
28-16
32-17
32-17
24-20
41-21
27-25
28-13
26-12
16-19
25-18
19-10
14-12
23-17
15-26
17-19
11-19
26-12
13-21
12-26
13-25
17-27
24-18
19-16
12-24
25-26
26-13
15-15
21-12
18-25
23-19
7-20
21-12
13-20
24-24
22-20
21-20
156.2Avg total
81.7Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)83.374.7158.0+8.757%
Season at home (23)83.670.8154.4+12.865%
Season away (23)83.178.5161.6+4.648%
Last 10 (10)81.774.5156.2+7.240%
Last 5 (5)74.479.0153.4-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.574.5147.0-2.00%
vs Similar (2)68.084.5152.5-16.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)84.174.5158.5+9.658%
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
FukushimaKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H04/02
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/02
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A11/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H17/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H18/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A24/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A25/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A02/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A03/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/03
B2.League
84.0Avg total
41.7Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.082.2+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.839.780.5+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)41.642.183.7-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.384.0-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.842.086.8+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.041.282.2-0.245%-
vs Similar (18)41.240.982.2+0.356%-
vs Weaker (1)44.039.083.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iwate
#13
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H04/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
60-33
60
33
+27
H10/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
68-46
68
46
+22
H11/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H16/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H17/02
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A23/02
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A24/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H02/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H03/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A09/03
B2.League
85.5Avg total
45.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.881.3+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.437.680.9+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)41.640.281.8+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)45.140.485.5+4.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.082.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.043.578.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (2)40.039.079.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.338.481.7+4.962%-
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.5
55.6%
52.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.1
35.1%
33.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.312.4
76.1%
71.0%12.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.623.0
58.1%
52.4%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.9
32.1%
33.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.011.2
65.9%
71.0%11.2
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukushima
WLLWWWLLWL
Koshigaya Alphas
LLWLLLWWWL
#10
League position
#3
-1.6
Net rating
+11.0
112.0
Offensive rating
110.8
113.7
Defensive rating
99.8
54.5%
Effective FG%
54.3%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.1%
3-point %
32.1%
67.6%
Assist %
62.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 110.8Defence113.7 · 99.8Shooting54.5% · 54.3%3-point %35.1% · 32.1%Ball care17.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds30.0% · 33.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Fukushima   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fukushima wins
1
Koshigaya Alphas wins
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HKoshigaya Alphas84-80
03/03/24AAomori82-85
02/03/24AAomori84-92
25/02/24AYamagata Wyverns90-79
24/02/24AYamagata Wyverns91-77
18/02/24HShizuoka98-93
17/02/24HShizuoka79-88
11/02/24AIwate58-77
10/02/24AIwate80-78
04/02/24HEhime Orange Vikings81-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AFukushima80-84
03/03/24HYamagata Wyverns69-76
02/03/24HYamagata Wyverns87-66
24/02/24AShiga72-85
23/02/24AShiga64-84
17/02/24HFukuoka66-81
16/02/24HFukuoka74-59
11/02/24HNiigata122-71
10/02/24HNiigata116-70
04/02/24HIwate67-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukushima
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW41%
HomeLLLWW48%
AwayLWWLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462323
Win %41%48%35%
Points / game81.481.281.6
Allowed / game84.682.586.7
Point differential-3.2-1.3-5.1
Avg total166.0163.7168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%13%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)55% (11)57% (7)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL57%
HomeWWLWL65%
AwayLLLLL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462323
Win %57%65%48%
Points / game83.383.683.1
Allowed / game74.770.878.5
Point differential+8.7+12.8+4.6
Avg total158.0154.4161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%52%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won9% (11)17% (6)0% (5)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba4643393%91.576.3+15.2
2 Shiga45331273%88.180.8+7.4
3 Fukuoka45311469%78.074.2+3.7
4 Kumamoto46311567%85.483.0+2.4
5 Koshigaya Alphas46262057%83.374.7+8.7
6 Aomori47262155%85.686.8-1.2
7 Yamagata Wyverns46212546%81.385.8-4.5
8 Kobe46192741%78.778.5+0.2
9 Shizuoka46192741%80.781.8-1.2
10 Fukushima46192741%81.484.6-3.2
11 Nara46182839%73.877.4-3.7
12 Ehime Orange Vikings47163134%78.985.0-6.1
13 Iwate47153232%71.575.1-3.6
14 Niigata4764113%73.687.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukushima1823201576
Koshigaya Alphas2432122189
← all games of the day
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