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Fukushima vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 94-101
29-32 18-27 20-20 27-22
Position#10
Record21-33
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#3
Record32-22
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game74.8
JapanB2.League· Kokichi Tsuburaya Memorial Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukushima v Koshigaya Alphas
07 Apr 2024
FUKU75
KOSH101
06 Apr 2024
FUKU94
KOSH101
10 Mar 2024
FUKU76
KOSH89
09 Mar 2024
FUKU84
KOSH80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukushima winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
L
82-85
82
85
-3
81avg 75
A03/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
84-80
84
80
+4
86avg 75
H09/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
66avg 75
H10/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
82avg 75
A15/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
73-90
73
90
-17
67avg 75
A16/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 75
H23/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
73-86
73
86
-13
64avg 75
H24/03
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 75
A27/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
91-97
91
97
-6
87avg 75
A30/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
67avg 75
A31/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
19-25
15-21
25-28
20-13
24-24
20-22
20-21
18-24
23-32
20-12
15-21
13-25
23-16
20-19
25-17
15-16
14-25
20-24
24-25
11-19
29-20
13-23
20-19
9-24
25-18
15-20
24-24
27-7
17-29
26-17
23-22
23-21
24-23
30-29
14-24
14-23
28-21
15-23
17-24
165.1Avg total
80.0Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)81.184.8165.9-3.739%
Season at home (26)80.382.8163.2-2.542%
Season away (28)81.886.6168.3-4.836%
Last 10 (10)80.085.1165.1-5.130%
Last 5 (5)80.886.0166.8-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)81.389.1170.4-7.836%
vs Similar (14)81.784.4166.1-2.743%
vs Weaker (2)90.579.0169.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
69-76
69
76
-7
62avg 78
H03/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
80-84
80
84
-4
65avg 78
A09/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
89-76
89
76
+13
89avg 78
A10/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
76-65
76
65
+11
77avg 78
H15/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 78
H16/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
82-72
82
72
+10
83avg 78
A23/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 78
A24/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
91-67
91
67
+24
92avg 78
H27/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
86-93
86
93
-7
82avg 78
H30/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
84-75
84
75
+9
86avg 78
H31/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
23-19
7-20
21-12
13-20
24-24
22-20
21-20
24-18
32-23
12-20
21-15
27-17
15-8
20-19
14-21
28-25
12-15
18-17
17-20
19-24
24-19
26-12
13-17
14-20
22-10
23-19
25-29
27-15
23-20
18-15
23-17
15-22
24-27
27-18
20-26
25-20
21-15
19-27
19-13
157.9Avg total
81.6Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)83.474.8158.1+8.659%
Season at home (28)83.471.6155.0+11.864%
Season away (26)83.378.2161.5+5.254%
Last 10 (10)81.676.3157.9+5.360%
Last 5 (5)85.477.0162.4+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)68.084.5152.5-16.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)84.574.6159.2+9.961%
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
FukushimaKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A03/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H10/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A15/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A16/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H23/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H24/03
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A27/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A30/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A31/03
B2.League
81.5Avg total
39.9Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.782.9-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.943.584.4-2.546%-
Last 30 away (17)39.842.181.8-2.341%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.681.5-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.082.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.743.281.9-4.529%-
vs Similar (14)41.342.984.1-1.650%-
vs Weaker (2)44.037.581.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H03/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A09/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A10/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H15/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H16/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A23/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A24/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H27/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H30/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H31/03
B2.League
81.6Avg total
43.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.938.081.9+5.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.037.682.6+7.465%-
Last 30 away (13)42.438.580.9+3.862%-
Last 10 (10)43.038.681.6+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.838.481.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)40.039.079.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)44.138.082.1+6.264%-
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.6
51.3%
52.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.69.4
39.8%
33.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.312.4
71.7%
71.0%12.4
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.2
53.9%
52.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.9
34.2%
33.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.913.4
70.9%
71.0%13.4
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukushima
LLWLLLWLWL
Koshigaya Alphas
WLWWWLWWLL
#10
League position
#3
-6.4
Net rating
+8.7
106.2
Offensive rating
112.2
112.6
Defensive rating
103.5
54.5%
Effective FG%
53.0%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
18.3%
Turnover %
16.8%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.8%
3-point %
34.2%
70.7%
Assist %
64.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 112.2Defence112.6 · 103.5Shooting54.5% · 53.0%3-point %39.8% · 34.2%Ball care18.3% · 16.8%Off. rebounds23.3% · 32.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Fukushima   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fukushima wins
2
Koshigaya Alphas wins
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24AAltiri Chiba74-91
30/03/24AAltiri Chiba91-97
27/03/24ANiigata93-75
24/03/24HKobe73-86
23/03/24HKobe73-81
16/03/24AFukuoka73-90
15/03/24AFukuoka81-77
10/03/24HKoshigaya Alphas76-89
09/03/24HKoshigaya Alphas84-80
03/03/24AAomori82-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24HYamagata Wyverns84-75
30/03/24HYamagata Wyverns86-93
27/03/24HAomori91-67
24/03/24AIwate84-78
23/03/24AIwate82-72
16/03/24HShizuoka75-77
15/03/24HShizuoka76-65
10/03/24AFukushima89-76
09/03/24AFukushima80-84
03/03/24HYamagata Wyverns69-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukushima
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL39%
HomeWWLLL42%
AwayWLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542628
Win %39%42%36%
Points / game81.180.381.8
Allowed / game84.882.886.6
Point differential-3.7-2.5-4.8
Avg total165.9163.2168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%12%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)55% (11)62% (8)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW59%
HomeWLWLW64%
AwayLLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542826
Win %59%64%54%
Points / game83.483.483.3
Allowed / game74.871.678.2
Point differential+8.6+11.8+5.2
Avg total158.1155.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won8% (12)14% (7)0% (5)
Overtime %7%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5450493%91.977.4+14.4
2 Shiga55401573%86.979.4+7.5
3 Fukuoka55352064%77.875.1+2.7
4 Koshigaya Alphas54322259%83.474.8+8.6
5 Kumamoto54322259%85.184.7+0.4
6 Aomori54282652%85.286.9-1.7
7 Yamagata Wyverns54272750%81.685.1-3.5
8 Kobe54262848%79.878.4+1.4
9 Shizuoka54243044%80.781.3-0.6
10 Fukushima54213339%81.184.8-3.7
11 Nara54203437%73.777.1-3.4
12 Ehime Orange Vikings54203437%79.284.2-5.0
13 Iwate54173731%71.975.5-3.6
14 Niigata5474713%73.387.0-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukushima2918202794
Koshigaya Alphas32272022101
← all games of the day
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