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Koshigaya Alphas vs Niigata Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 116-70
28-16 32-17 32-17 24-20
Position#3
Record22-15
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game74.5
Koshigaya Alphas 🏆
Japan
vs
Niigata
Japan
Position#14
Record5-32
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game83.4
JapanB2.League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Koshigaya Alphas v Niigata
11 Feb 2024
KOSH122
NIIG71
10 Feb 2024
KOSH116
NIIG70
25 Oct 2023
KOSH99
NIIG70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Nara
#11
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
no box
A30/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
100-72
100
72
+28
101avg 77
A06/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
90-62
90
62
+28
89avg 77
A07/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
74avg 77
H20/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
103-74
103
74
+29
101avg 77
H21/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
75-69
75
69
+6
70avg 77
A26/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
64-90
64
90
-26
49avg 77
A27/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
98-102
98
102
-4
92avg 77
A31/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
89-68
89
68
+21
86avg 77
H03/02
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
67-69
67
69
-2
56avg 77
H04/02
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
21-13
13-15
18-15
29-13
27-19
21-19
23-21
21-14
22-20
27-10
20-18
18-13
17-21
21-13
29-26
35-14
23-22
21-18
24-20
14-16
23-20
16-17
22-16
16-29
20-12
13-21
15-28
25-24
25-25
24-26
24-27
18-21
28-12
24-16
19-19
15-18
20-22
19-18
13-11
161.2Avg total
85.0Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)83.474.5157.9+8.859%
Season at home (17)81.770.9152.6+10.865%
Season away (20)84.877.7162.4+7.155%
Last 10 (10)85.076.2161.2+8.860%
Last 5 (5)78.679.6158.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.574.5147.0-2.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)83.574.8158.3+8.861%
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 61
H31/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
72-64
72
64
+8
72avg 61
A06/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
60-52
60
52
+8
52avg 61
A07/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
67avg 61
H20/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
92-81
92
81
+11
79avg 61
H21/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
72-84
72
84
-12
61avg 61
H27/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
92-104 OT
92
104
-12
no box
H28/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
69avg 61
A31/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
55-95
55
95
-40
36avg 61
H03/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
68-81
68
81
-13
56avg 61
H04/02
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
20-16
19-22
28-28
18-13
21-23
14-16
19-12
18-10
15-14
10-11
17-17
20-30
16-23
23-14
21-22
20-26
22-19
25-14
25-22
20-23
16-16
16-18
20-27
20-22
25-16
24-20
18-29
21-22
18-22
19-26
25-18
12-26
16-20
13-28
14-21
16-20
21-25
14-15
17-21
157.7Avg total
75.4Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)71.983.4155.3-11.614%
Season at home (19)72.883.5156.3-10.716%
Season away (18)70.983.3154.2-12.411%
Last 10 (10)75.482.3157.7-6.930%
Last 5 (5)74.090.4164.4-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)73.283.1156.3-9.917%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
Koshigaya AlphasNiigata
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nara
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A30/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
56-32
56
32
+24
A06/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A07/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H20/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H21/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A26/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A27/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A31/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H03/02
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H04/02
B2.League
80.2Avg total
43.1Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.438.280.6+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.636.378.9+6.464%-
Last 30 away (16)42.239.882.1+2.456%-
Last 10 (10)43.137.180.2+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.880.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.043.578.5-8.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)43.037.880.8+5.264%-
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H31/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A06/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A07/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H20/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H21/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H27/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H28/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A31/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H03/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H04/02
B2.League
77.3Avg total
36.8Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.642.779.3-6.123%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.743.280.9-5.524%-
Last 30 away (13)35.242.077.2-6.823%-
Last 10 (10)36.840.577.3-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.042.479.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)36.642.779.3-6.123%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.9
52.8%
52.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.5
34.7%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws27.719.0
68.6%
71.0%19.0
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.1
50.3%
52.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.5
31.4%
33.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.512.9
69.7%
71.0%12.9
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Koshigaya Alphas
LWLLWWWWWL
Niigata
LLLLLWLWWL
#3
League position
#14
+11.8
Net rating
-6.1
111.6
Offensive rating
101.3
99.8
Defensive rating
107.4
52.5%
Effective FG%
49.0%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.9%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.7%
3-point %
31.4%
60.9%
Assist %
53.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 101.3Defence99.8 · 107.4Shooting52.5% · 49.0%3-point %34.7% · 31.4%Ball care17.0% · 17.9%Off. rebounds32.0% · 27.1%Free throws0.45 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Koshigaya Alphas   ■ Niigata
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Koshigaya Alphas wins
0
Niigata wins
DateGameScore
20/12/23Niigata v Koshigaya Alphas68-75
25/10/23Koshigaya Alphas v Niigata99-70
08/10/23Niigata v Koshigaya Alphas46-80
07/10/23Niigata v Koshigaya Alphas65-75
Koshigaya Alphaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24HIwate67-69
03/02/24HIwate89-68
31/01/24AAomori98-102
27/01/24AFukuoka64-90
26/01/24AFukuoka75-69
21/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings103-74
20/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings85-73
07/01/24AAomori90-62
06/01/24AAomori100-72
30/12/23ANara79-83 OT
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24HKobe68-81
03/02/24HKobe55-95
31/01/24AFukushima83-88
28/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings92-104 OT
27/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings72-84
21/01/24HShiga92-81
20/01/24HShiga80-89
07/01/24AIwate60-52
06/01/24AIwate72-64
31/12/23HAomori80-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL59%
HomeLWWWL65%
AwayWWWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371720
Win %59%65%55%
Points / game83.481.784.8
Allowed / game74.570.977.7
Point differential+8.8+10.8+7.1
Avg total157.9152.6162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%47%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won10% (10)17% (6)0% (4)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLLLL16%
AwayLLWWL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %14%16%11%
Points / game71.972.870.9
Allowed / game83.483.583.3
Point differential-11.6-10.7-12.4
Avg total155.3156.3154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)33% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3734392%89.274.6+14.6
2 Fukuoka38261268%78.574.3+4.2
3 Kumamoto38261268%84.981.5+3.5
4 Shiga37251268%87.882.2+5.6
5 Koshigaya Alphas37221559%83.474.5+8.8
6 Yamagata Wyverns37201754%82.284.8-2.5
7 Aomori37191851%85.187.1-2.1
8 Kobe37181949%79.477.5+1.8
9 Shizuoka37162143%79.480.9-1.5
10 Fukushima37142338%81.084.9-3.9
11 Nara38142437%73.178.0-4.9
12 Ehime Orange Vikings38122632%79.386.1-6.7
13 Iwate37102727%69.774.9-5.2
14 Niigata3753214%71.983.4-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Koshigaya Alphas28323224116
Niigata1617172070
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