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Fukushima vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 79-97
24-31 13-20 26-17 16-29
Position#10
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#5
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game92.5
JapanB2.League· Kokichi Tsuburaya Memorial Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukushima v Kumamoto
12 Jan 2025
FUKU61
KUMA82
11 Jan 2025
FUKU80
KUMA81
15 Oct 2023
FUKU83
KUMA77
14 Oct 2023
FUKU79
KUMA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukushima winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
#22
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
H11/04
BJ League
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
#22
W
99-87
99
87
+12
no box
H12/04
BJ League
Toyama
#9
L
73-88
73
88
-15
no box
A18/04
BJ League
Toyama
#9
L
59-75
59
75
-16
no box
A19/04
BJ League
Shinshu
#14
W
89-77
89
77
+12
no box
H25/04
BJ League
Shinshu
#14
W
104-89
104
89
+15
no box
H26/04
BJ League
Iwate
#3
L
59-82
59
82
-23
no box
A02/05
BJ League
Iwate
#3
L
71-95
71
95
-24
no box
A03/05
BJ League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
90-95
90
95
-5
87avg 82
A07/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
82-71
82
71
+11
77avg 82
A08/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
19-18
20-16
19-11
22-27
24-23
25-11
28-26
14-22
20-15
23-28
16-23
10-17
22-18
10-21
17-19
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
27-23
19-25
21-27
23-20
19-11
23-22
18-22
22-16
162.8Avg total
80.0Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.083.0169.0+3.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)86.083.0169.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)80.082.8162.8-2.850%
Last 5 (5)81.286.4167.6-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.688.6162.2-15.114%
vs Similar ◀ (12)89.585.4174.9+4.167%
vs Weaker (4)90.278.2168.5+12.0100%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#8
L
77-87
77
87
-10
no box
A12/04
NBL
Brave Thunders
#5
L
90-96
90
96
-6
no box
H18/04
NBL
Brave Thunders
#5
L
63-94
63
94
-31
no box
H19/04
NBL
Alvark
#4
L
47-90
47
90
-43
no box
A24/04
NBL
Alvark
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
no box
A25/04
NBL
Hiroshima D.
#9
L
67-72
67
72
-5
no box
H02/05
NBL
Hiroshima D.
#9
L
55-61
55
61
-6
no box
H03/05
NBL
Toyama
#13
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
A27/05
B League
Shiga
#2
L
86-100
86
100
-14
70avg 77
H07/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
91-85
91
85
+6
85avg 77
H08/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
19-30
20-23
24-20
24-24
28-17
16-31
22-24
18-27
19-25
13-30
13-12
8-21
13-18
10-32
16-19
14-16
24-21
11-20
12-22
16-19
14-9
12-19
25-25
12-15
10-11
18-19
15-16
23-20
15-22
28-22
19-24
29-24
29-25
8-26
20-25
17-22
33-22
17-19
24-22
157.4Avg total
72.2Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.592.5181.0-4.050%
Season at home (2)88.592.5181.0-4.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.285.2157.4-13.010%
Last 5 (5)76.881.2158.0-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)69.687.2156.8-17.64%
vs Similar ◀ (3)74.070.3144.3+3.767%
vs Weaker (1)81.073.0154.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Fukushima) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -8.8-8.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -8.8-8.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
FukushimaKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
#22
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H11/04
BJ League
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
#22
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H12/04
BJ League
Toyama
#9
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A18/04
BJ League
Toyama
#9
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A19/04
BJ League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A07/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/10
B2.League
80.0Avg total
39.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)38.841.380.1-2.535%-
Last 30 at home (10)38.540.579.0-2.040%-
Last 30 away (16)39.041.880.8-2.831%-
Last 10 (6)39.240.880.0-1.717%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.680.6-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.140.472.5-8.38%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)46.642.088.6+4.670%-
vs Weaker (4)39.542.281.8-2.825%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A12/04
NBL
Brave Thunders
#5
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H18/04
NBL
Brave Thunders
#5
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H19/04
NBL
Alvark
#4
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A24/04
NBL
Alvark
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A25/04
NBL
Hiroshima D.
#9
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H02/05
NBL
Hiroshima D.
#9
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H03/05
NBL
Toyama
#13
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A27/05
B League
Shiga
#2
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H07/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H08/10
B2.League
78.1Avg total
37.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.241.774.9-8.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.541.977.3-6.433%-
Last 30 away (15)30.941.672.5-10.720%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.278.1-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.877.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)32.443.275.6-10.824%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)36.730.367.0+6.367%-
vs Weaker (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Fukushima) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.023.0
52.3%
52.4%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.5
37.0%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.012.5
83.3%
71.0%12.5
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.020.0
60.6%
52.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.510.0
30.8%
33.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws24.518.5
75.5%
71.0%18.5
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukushima
WLLLWWLLWW
Kumamoto
WLLLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#5
+1.4
Net rating
-3.5
115.6
Offensive rating
104.2
114.2
Defensive rating
107.8
53.4%
Effective FG%
53.4%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
17.8%
Turnover %
20.8%
40.3%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.37
37.0%
3-point %
30.8%
61.9%
Assist %
56.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 104.2Defence114.2 · 107.8Shooting53.4% · 53.4%3-point %37.0% · 30.8%Ball care17.8% · 20.8%Off. rebounds40.3% · 24.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Fukushima   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fukushima wins
0
Kumamoto wins
No previous meetings.
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23AYamagata Wyverns82-71
07/10/23AYamagata Wyverns90-95
03/05/15AIwate71-95
02/05/15AIwate59-82
26/04/15HShinshu104-89
25/04/15HShinshu89-77
19/04/15AToyama59-75
18/04/15AToyama73-88
12/04/15HEarthfriends Tokyo Z99-87
11/04/15HEarthfriends Tokyo Z74-69
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23HShiga91-85
07/10/23HShiga86-100
27/05/18AToyama85-88
03/05/15HHiroshima D.55-61
02/05/15HHiroshima D.67-72
25/04/15AAlvark61-79
24/04/15AAlvark47-90
19/04/15HBrave Thunders63-94
18/04/15HBrave Thunders90-96
12/04/15AHokkaido77-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukushima
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game86.0-86.0
Allowed / game83.0-83.0
Point differential+3.0-+3.0
Avg total169.0-169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game88.588.5-
Allowed / game92.592.5-
Point differential-4.0-4.0-
Avg total181.0181.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Koshigaya Alphas220100%77.555.5+22.0
2 Altiri Chiba220100%89.078.0+11.0
3 Aomori220100%80.573.5+7.0
4 Kobe220100%89.585.5+4.0
5 Fukuoka32167%74.371.0+3.3
6 Yamagata Wyverns32167%81.779.0+2.7
7 Fukushima21150%86.083.0+3.0
8 Kumamoto21150%88.592.5-4.0
9 Shiga31233%82.084.0-2.0
10 Ehime Orange Vikings31233%72.375.7-3.3
11 Shizuoka2020%85.589.5-4.0
12 Iwate2020%73.580.5-7.0
13 Nara2020%78.089.0-11.0
14 Niigata2020%55.577.5-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukushima2413261679
Kumamoto3120172997
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