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Fukushima vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 83-77
18-17 24-22 15-18 26-20
Position#10
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game87.7
Fukushima 🏆
Japan
vs
Kumamoto
Japan
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game88.0
JapanB2.League· Kokichi Tsuburaya Memorial Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukushima v Kumamoto
12 Jan 2025
FUKU61
KUMA82
11 Jan 2025
FUKU80
KUMA81
15 Oct 2023
FUKU83
KUMA77
14 Oct 2023
FUKU79
KUMA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukushima winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
#22
W
99-87
99
87
+12
no box
H12/04
BJ League
Toyama
#9
L
73-88
73
88
-15
no box
A18/04
BJ League
Toyama
#9
L
59-75
59
75
-16
no box
A19/04
BJ League
Shinshu
#14
W
89-77
89
77
+12
no box
H25/04
BJ League
Shinshu
#14
W
104-89
104
89
+15
no box
H26/04
BJ League
Iwate
#3
L
59-82
59
82
-23
no box
A02/05
BJ League
Iwate
#3
L
71-95
71
95
-24
no box
A03/05
BJ League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
90-95
90
95
-5
87avg 77
A07/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
82-71
82
71
+11
77avg 77
A08/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
79-97
79
97
-18
68avg 77
H14/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
24-23
25-11
28-26
14-22
20-15
23-28
16-23
10-17
22-18
10-21
17-19
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
27-23
19-25
21-27
23-20
19-11
23-22
18-22
22-16
24-31
13-20
26-17
16-29
166.1Avg total
80.5Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.787.7171.3-4.033%
Season at home (1)79.097.0176.0-18.00%
Season away (2)86.083.0169.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)80.585.6166.1-5.140%
Last 5 (5)76.288.0164.2-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.289.8162.9-16.68%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.786.3175.0+2.462%
vs Weaker (4)90.278.2168.5+12.0100%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#5
L
90-96
90
96
-6
no box
H18/04
NBL
Brave Thunders
#5
L
63-94
63
94
-31
no box
H19/04
NBL
Alvark
#4
L
47-90
47
90
-43
no box
A24/04
NBL
Alvark
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
no box
A25/04
NBL
Hiroshima D.
#9
L
67-72
67
72
-5
no box
H02/05
NBL
Hiroshima D.
#9
L
55-61
55
61
-6
no box
H03/05
NBL
Toyama
#13
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
A27/05
B League
Shiga
#2
L
86-100
86
100
-14
70avg 82
H07/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
91-85
91
85
+6
85avg 82
H08/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
97-79
97
79
+18
92avg 82
A14/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
28-17
16-31
22-24
18-27
19-25
13-30
13-12
8-21
13-18
10-32
16-19
14-16
24-21
11-20
12-22
16-19
14-9
12-19
25-25
12-15
10-11
18-19
15-16
23-20
15-22
28-22
19-24
29-24
29-25
8-26
20-25
17-22
33-22
17-19
24-22
31-24
20-13
17-26
29-16
158.6Avg total
74.2Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.388.0179.3+3.367%
Season at home (2)88.592.5181.0-4.050%
Season away (1)97.079.0176.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.284.4158.6-10.220%
Last 5 (5)82.882.6165.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)69.687.2156.8-17.64%
vs Similar ◀ (3)81.075.3156.3+5.767%
vs Weaker (1)81.073.0154.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Fukushima) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -9.4-9.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -9.4-9.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
FukushimaKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
#22
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H12/04
BJ League
Toyama
#9
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A18/04
BJ League
Toyama
#9
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A19/04
BJ League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A07/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H14/10
B2.League
81.8Avg total
39.5Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)39.042.080.9-3.035%-
Last 30 at home (10)38.942.281.1-3.340%-
Last 30 away (16)39.041.880.8-2.831%-
Last 10 (6)39.542.381.8-2.817%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.879.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.041.073.0-9.09%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)45.742.888.5+2.964%-
vs Weaker (4)39.542.281.8-2.825%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#5
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H18/04
NBL
Brave Thunders
#5
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H19/04
NBL
Alvark
#4
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A24/04
NBL
Alvark
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A25/04
NBL
Hiroshima D.
#9
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H02/05
NBL
Hiroshima D.
#9
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H03/05
NBL
Toyama
#13
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A27/05
B League
Shiga
#2
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H07/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H08/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A14/10
B2.League
79.2Avg total
39.7Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.442.075.4-8.627%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.942.777.6-7.929%-
Last 30 away (16)32.141.373.4-9.225%-
Last 10 (10)39.739.579.2+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.683.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)32.443.275.6-10.824%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)39.032.771.7+6.367%-
vs Weaker (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Fukushima) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.7 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.724.3
53.3%
52.4%48.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.0
32.3%
33.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.012.7
79.2%
71.0%12.7
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.023.0
60.5%
52.4%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.09.7
30.2%
33.6%29.0
🏀 Free throws21.015.7
74.6%
71.0%15.7
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukushima
LWLLLWWLLW
Kumamoto
WWLLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#5
-6.3
Net rating
+4.0
110.3
Offensive rating
109.5
116.6
Defensive rating
105.5
51.7%
Effective FG%
53.6%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.3%
3-point %
30.2%
56.4%
Assist %
59.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 109.5Defence116.6 · 105.5Shooting51.7% · 53.6%3-point %32.3% · 30.2%Ball care18.2% · 17.4%Off. rebounds36.4% · 29.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Fukushima   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fukushima wins
1
Kumamoto wins
DateGameScore
14/10/23Fukushima v Kumamoto79-97
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HKumamoto79-97
08/10/23AYamagata Wyverns82-71
07/10/23AYamagata Wyverns90-95
03/05/15AIwate71-95
02/05/15AIwate59-82
26/04/15HShinshu104-89
25/04/15HShinshu89-77
19/04/15AToyama59-75
18/04/15AToyama73-88
12/04/15HEarthfriends Tokyo Z99-87
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23AFukushima97-79
08/10/23HShiga91-85
07/10/23HShiga86-100
27/05/18AToyama85-88
03/05/15HHiroshima D.55-61
02/05/15HHiroshima D.67-72
25/04/15AAlvark61-79
24/04/15AAlvark47-90
19/04/15HBrave Thunders63-94
18/04/15HBrave Thunders90-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukushima
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game83.779.086.0
Allowed / game87.797.083.0
Point differential-4.0-18.0+3.0
Avg total171.3176.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game91.388.597.0
Allowed / game88.092.579.0
Point differential+3.3-4.0+18.0
Avg total179.3181.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Koshigaya Alphas330100%85.068.7+16.3
2 Altiri Chiba440100%85.572.8+12.8
3 Kobe330100%85.379.0+6.3
4 Yamagata Wyverns43175%77.875.2+2.5
5 Fukuoka32167%74.371.0+3.3
6 Kumamoto32167%91.388.0+3.3
7 Aomori32167%85.382.3+3.0
8 Shizuoka31233%87.384.7+2.7
9 Shiga31233%82.084.0-2.0
10 Fukushima31233%83.787.7-4.0
11 Ehime Orange Vikings41325%70.273.2-3.0
12 Iwate4040%70.581.2-10.8
13 Nara3030%74.085.0-11.0
14 Niigata3030%62.082.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukushima1824152683
Kumamoto1722182077
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