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Galatasaray vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 91-80
18-20 32-15 19-17 22-28
Position#8
Record9-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#5
Record13-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game80.2
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 22
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Galatasaray v Bursaspor
12 Oct 2026
GAL88
BUR93
05 Apr 2026
GAL92
BUR70
12 Apr 2025
GAL95
BUR89
17 Nov 2023
GAL80
BUR82
25 Mar 2023
GAL91
BUR80
30 Oct 2021
GAL99
BUR84
17 Apr 2021
GAL106
BUR93
21 Dec 2019
GAL84
BUR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Galatasaray winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GalatasarayTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalatasaray
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#4
L
91-103
91
103
-12
no box
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#11
L
71-81
71
81
-10
58avg 78
H31/01
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
L
74-82
74
82
-8
no box
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
A04/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
66avg 78
A07/03
Champions League
Unicaja
#2
W
72-67
72
67
+5
65avg 78
H09/03
Champions League
Darussafaka
#7
W
71-65
71
65
+6
no box
H12/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#11
L
78-92
78
92
-14
71avg 78
A15/03
Champions League
Tofas
#6
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Limoges
#28
L
60-69 OT
60
69
-9
no box
A21/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
24-27
25-21
23-27
19-18
17-17
21-26
14-20
19-23
18-17
20-20
17-22
17-19
20-15
20-33
21-18
21-26
19-16
21-20
15-19
21-16
20-21
15-21
16-9
4-19
23-13
20-16
24-17
31-29
15-16
15-18
17-29
27-23
11-22
30-7
15-29
9-17
20-7
15-17
13-16
156.0Avg total
75.4Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.079.6158.6-0.543%
Season at home (10)79.980.0159.9-0.140%
Season away (11)78.379.2157.5-0.945%
Last 10 (10)75.480.6156.0-5.230%
Last 5 (5)72.874.8147.6-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.085.0168.0-2.040%
vs Similar ◀ (17)78.876.9155.7+1.853%
vs Weaker (8)80.980.9161.8+0.038%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#2
L
63-84
63
84
-21
no box
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ulm
#6
L
86-92
86
92
-6
77avg 78
A01/02
Eurocup
Merkezefendi
#13
W
95-73
95
73
+22
no box
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#12
W
92-82
92
82
+10
90avg 78
H02/03
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
63-82
63
82
-19
no box
A05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cluj-Napoca
#17
L
83-87
83
87
-4
74avg 78
A08/03
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#12
W
92-85
92
85
+7
no box
H11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Venezia
#10
L
73-89
73
89
-16
57avg 78
H15/03
Eurocup
Darussafaka
#7
L
92-98
92
98
-6
no box
A19/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lietkabelis
#9
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
A22/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-22
19-25
16-22
19-15
26-18
24-26
16-22
20-26
26-12
18-21
21-21
30-19
24-23
27-21
21-18
20-20
17-22
12-17
14-23
20-20
18-24
19-25
21-19
25-19
17-23
21-15
32-23
22-24
29-24
18-21
17-18
9-26
17-24
28-20
23-26
24-28
24-23
19-12
22-31
20-22
168.4Avg total
82.4Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.180.2163.3+3.062%
Season at home (11)89.483.2172.5+6.273%
Season away (10)76.376.9153.2-0.650%
Last 10 (10)82.486.0168.4-3.630%
Last 5 (5)85.089.4174.4-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.888.6165.4-11.80%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.485.2168.6-1.841%
vs Weaker (8)94.584.0178.5+10.588%
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
GalatasarayBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GalatasarayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#4
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#11
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H31/01
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A04/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A07/03
Champions League
Unicaja
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H09/03
Champions League
Darussafaka
#7
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H12/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#11
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A15/03
Champions League
Tofas
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Limoges
#28
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A21/03
Champions League
76.3Avg total
37.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.979.0+1.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.637.979.5+3.773%-
Last 30 away (15)38.540.078.5-1.553%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.976.3-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.236.672.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.640.284.8+4.480%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.537.276.7+2.276%-
vs Weaker (8)38.441.880.1-3.425%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#2
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ulm
#6
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A01/02
Eurocup
Merkezefendi
#13
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H02/03
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cluj-Napoca
#17
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A08/03
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Venezia
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H15/03
Eurocup
Darussafaka
#7
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A19/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lietkabelis
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A22/03
Eurocup
83.0Avg total
41.2Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.942.485.3+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.543.087.5+1.550%-
Last 30 away (14)41.141.882.9-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.883.0-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.284.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.246.282.4-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)43.841.685.4+2.165%-
vs Weaker (8)45.241.887.0+3.550%-
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Galatasaraytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galatasaray: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.316.7
50.2%
54.1%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.2
36.5%
35.8%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.314.1
77.0%
76.0%14.1
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.2
57.7%
54.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.6
35.6%
35.8%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.215.3
72.2%
76.0%15.3
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Galatasaray
LWLWWLLLLL
Bursaspor
LLLWLLWWLL
#8
League position
#5
+4.8
Net rating
-4.3
113.4
Offensive rating
112.6
108.6
Defensive rating
116.9
52.3%
Effective FG%
55.8%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
60.4%
14.4%
Turnover %
17.9%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.5%
3-point %
35.6%
67.7%
Assist %
59.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 112.6Defence108.6 · 116.9Shooting52.3% · 55.8%3-point %36.5% · 35.6%Ball care14.4% · 17.9%Off. rebounds30.2% · 28.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Galatasaray   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Galatasaray wins
1
Bursaspor wins
DateGameScore
19/11/22Bursaspor v Galatasaray88-93
12/02/22Bursaspor v Galatasaray99-78
30/10/21Galatasaray v Bursaspor99-84
17/04/21Galatasaray v Bursaspor106-93
27/12/20Bursaspor v Galatasaray73-92
21/12/19Galatasaray v Bursaspor84-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/23ALimoges60-69 OT
18/03/23ATofas83-81
15/03/23AAEK Athens78-92
12/03/23HDarussafaka71-65
09/03/23HUnicaja72-67
07/03/23AUnicaja76-81
04/03/23ABesiktas78-85
04/02/23HPetkim Spor74-82
31/01/23HAEK Athens71-81
28/01/23AKarsiyaka91-103
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/23ALietkabelis85-88
19/03/23ADarussafaka92-98
15/03/23HVenezia73-89
11/03/23HPetkim Spor92-85
08/03/23ACluj-Napoca83-87
05/03/23AAnadolu Efes63-82
02/03/23HJL Bourg92-82
05/02/23HMerkezefendi95-73
01/02/23AUlm86-92
28/01/23ATurk Telekom63-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Galatasaray
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%40%45%
Points / game79.079.978.3
Allowed / game79.680.079.2
Point differential-0.5-0.1-0.9
Avg total158.6159.9157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL62%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %62%73%50%
Points / game83.189.476.3
Allowed / game80.283.276.9
Point differential+3.0+6.2-0.6
Avg total163.3172.5153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turk Telekom2118386%86.977.0+9.9
2 Fenerbahce2118386%86.477.8+8.6
3 Karsiyaka2116576%88.384.5+3.8
4 Anadolu Efes2216673%87.679.2+8.4
5 Bursaspor2113862%83.180.2+3.0
6 Darussafaka21101148%81.083.7-2.7
7 Merkezefendi22101245%80.784.0-3.3
8 Galatasaray2191243%79.079.6-0.5
9 Buyukcekmece2191243%78.681.6-3.0
10 Manisa2291341%76.582.7-6.2
11 Bahcesehir Kol.2181338%74.477.6-3.2
12 Petkim Spor2181338%77.482.0-4.6
13 Tofas2171433%80.281.4-1.1
14 Besiktas2271532%80.582.2-1.6
15 Gaziantep2271532%75.077.4-2.4
16 Konyaspor2261627%78.783.1-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Galatasaray1832192291
Bursaspor2015172880
← all games of the day
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