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Galatasaray vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 95-89
15-25 29-16 25-16 26-32
Position#8
Record13-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Position#9
Record10-14
FormWLWLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game90.5
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 25· Basketbol Gelisim Merkezi
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Galatasaray v Bursaspor
12 Oct 2026
GAL88
BUR93
05 Apr 2026
GAL92
BUR70
12 Apr 2025
GAL95
BUR89
17 Nov 2023
GAL80
BUR82
25 Mar 2023
GAL91
BUR80
30 Oct 2021
GAL99
BUR84
17 Apr 2021
GAL106
BUR93
21 Dec 2019
GAL84
BUR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Galatasaray winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GalatasarayTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalatasaray
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#1
W
86-84
86
84
+2
78avg 83
H05/03
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#13
W
101-80
101
80
+21
103avg 83
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
L
91-97
91
97
-6
83avg 83
A11/03
Champions League
Besiktas
#3
L
77-92
77
92
-15
64avg 83
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Rytas
#10
W
89-81
89
81
+8
82avg 83
H18/03
Champions League
Mersin SK
#6
L
73-89
73
89
-16
75avg 83
A22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#25
W
104-81
104
81
+23
102avg 83
H25/03
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
110-112
110
112
-2
108avg 83
H30/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
W
88-81
88
81
+7
83avg 83
A05/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Nymburk
#3
W
106-80
106
80
+26
104avg 83
A09/04
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
14-17
24-19
24-27
20-15
29-26
21-17
31-22
27-20
27-25
18-21
19-31
20-28
22-19
21-21
14-24
24-23
14-13
21-23
30-22
23-30
21-20
15-21
14-18
33-21
17-25
28-14
26-21
30-27
38-34
17-30
25-21
13-17
16-21
29-21
30-22
27-23
22-24
30-15
27-18
180.2Avg total
92.5Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)88.185.4173.5+2.754%
Season at home (12)91.586.1177.6+5.467%
Season away (12)84.784.8169.4-0.142%
Last 10 (10)92.587.7180.2+4.860%
Last 5 (5)96.288.6184.8+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.388.9173.2-4.633%
vs Similar ◀ (11)91.488.7180.1+2.645%
vs Weaker (9)86.676.4163.0+10.189%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#11
L
85-111
85
111
-26
74avg 80
H18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
L
80-96
80
96
-16
74avg 80
H25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
68-83
68
83
-15
59avg 80
A02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
97-98 OT
97
98
-1
90avg 80
H08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
93-76
93
76
+17
90avg 80
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
W
98-93
98
93
+5
93avg 80
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
67-92
67
92
-25
51avg 80
A16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
98-90
98
90
+8
97avg 80
H23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#13
L
78-82
78
82
-4
73avg 80
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
91-121
91
121
-30
81avg 80
H05/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
10-30
26-24
19-32
23-25
27-21
14-28
16-22
16-21
23-20
17-22
12-20
22-25
22-18
18-16
26-29
28-21
21-18
21-19
23-18
20-28
29-20
23-26
26-19
12-19
20-26
15-22
20-25
27-22
26-19
22-17
23-32
19-26
18-10
17-23
24-23
24-27
16-34
27-33
24-27
179.7Avg total
85.5Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.090.5175.6-5.542%
Season at home (13)88.896.1184.8-7.338%
Season away (11)80.684.0164.6-3.445%
Last 10 (10)85.594.2179.7-8.730%
Last 5 (5)86.495.6182.0-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)83.594.1177.6-10.630%
vs Similar ◀ (17)85.288.1173.3-2.941%
vs Weaker (3)90.379.3169.7+11.0100%
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -3.4-3.4
GalatasarayBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GalatasarayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H05/03
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#13
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A11/03
Champions League
Besiktas
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Rytas
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H18/03
Champions League
Mersin SK
#6
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#25
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H25/03
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H30/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A05/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Nymburk
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A09/04
Champions League
91.0Avg total
46.1Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.443.888.2+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.343.789.0+1.654%-
Last 30 away (17)43.743.987.6-0.253%-
Last 10 (10)46.144.991.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.048.496.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.145.788.8-2.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)46.946.293.1+0.764%-
vs Weaker (9)42.738.481.1+4.267%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#11
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#13
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H05/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
88.8Avg total
43.3Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.243.484.6-2.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.445.387.7-2.956%-
Last 30 away (14)39.941.281.1-1.343%-
Last 10 (10)43.345.588.8-2.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.246.288.4-4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.747.688.3-6.930%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.941.982.9-1.053%-
vs Weaker (3)44.737.782.3+7.0100%-
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Galatasaraytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galatasaray: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.6
54.5%
54.1%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.79.6
42.3%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.816.0
70.2%
76.0%16.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.923.6
55.0%
54.1%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.6
34.4%
35.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.111.3
70.2%
76.0%11.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Galatasaray
WWLWLWLLWW
Bursaspor
LLWLWWLLLL
#8
League position
#9
+6.4
Net rating
+4.6
120.5
Offensive rating
114.5
114.1
Defensive rating
109.9
57.6%
Effective FG%
53.8%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.9%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.24
42.3%
3-point %
34.4%
53.4%
Assist %
55.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence120.5 · 114.5Defence114.1 · 109.9Shooting57.6% · 53.8%3-point %42.3% · 34.4%Ball care15.6% · 14.9%Off. rebounds34.0% · 34.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Galatasaray   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Galatasaray wins
2
Bursaspor wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/25ANymburk106-80
05/04/25AYalovaspor88-81
30/03/25HBuyukcekmece110-112
25/03/25HManisa104-81
22/03/25AMersin SK73-89
18/03/25HRytas89-81
15/03/25ABesiktas77-92
11/03/25AUnicaja91-97
08/03/25HKarsiyaka101-80
05/03/25HUnicaja86-84
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HBesiktas91-121
29/03/25AKarsiyaka78-82
23/03/25HMerkezefendi98-90
16/03/25ABahcesehir Kol.67-92
08/03/25HTofas98-93
01/03/25ATurk Telekom93-76
08/02/25HFenerbahce97-98 OT
02/02/25AAnadolu Efes68-83
25/01/25HManisa80-96
18/01/25HPetkim Spor85-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Galatasaray
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW54%
HomeLLWWL67%
AwayLLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %54%67%42%
Points / game88.191.584.7
Allowed / game85.486.184.8
Point differential+2.7+5.4-0.1
Avg total173.5177.6169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%42%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)40% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL42%
HomeLLWWL38%
AwayLLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %42%38%45%
Points / game85.088.880.6
Allowed / game90.596.184.0
Point differential-5.5-7.3-3.4
Avg total175.6184.8164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%15%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2423196%90.480.7+9.7
2 Besiktas2520580%91.482.2+9.2
3 Anadolu Efes2418675%90.579.4+11.1
4 Tofas2416867%89.186.7+2.4
5 Bahcesehir Kol.2415962%83.579.9+3.5
6 Galatasaray24131154%88.185.4+2.7
7 Mersin SK25121348%83.586.4-3.0
8 Buyukcekmece25111444%85.785.8-0.1
9 Turk Telekom25111444%83.884.8-1.0
10 Bursaspor24101442%85.090.5-5.5
11 Petkim Spor2491538%82.083.4-1.4
12 Karsiyaka2491538%85.087.2-2.1
13 Darussafaka2581732%81.887.4-5.6
14 Manisa2471729%86.190.2-4.2
15 Merkezefendi2471729%81.388.1-6.8
16 Yalovaspor2561924%80.689.2-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Galatasaray1529252695
Bursaspor2516163289
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