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Galomar vs Illiabum Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 78-72
Projected total 150.6
Scheduled
Position#6
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game69.0
Vs
71%
29%
■ GALO 71%■ ILLI 29%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.5/10
Above normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#7
Record4-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game74.4
PortugalProligaRound 8· Pavilhão do Cani
Other2026-27
Meetings · Galomar v Illiabum
21 Nov 2026
GALO v ILLI
upcoming
14 Jan 2023
GALO65
ILLI59
23 Jan 2022
GALO69
ILLI72
13 Jun 2021
GALO67
ILLI70
06 Jun 2021
GALO76
ILLI72
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Galomar host Illiabum in the Proliga. Pythia makes Galomar the favourite at 71% and projects 78-72, about 151 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Galomar are 3-2 this season (77.2 scored, 69.0 allowed a game), form WLWWL; Illiabum are 4-3 this season (74.1 scored, 74.4 allowed a game), form WLLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Galomar win
71.2%fair 1.41
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Illiabum win
28.8%fair 3.47
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GalomarPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalomar
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#14
W
70-55
70
55
+15
55avg 75
A29/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
78-73
78
73
+5
71avg 75
H04/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
88-108
88
108
-20
73avg 75
A18/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
88-78
88
78
+10
81avg 75
H25/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
86-74
86
74
+12
76avg 75
A02/05
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
W
72-64
72
64
+8
36avg 75
A03/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#5
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 75
A17/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
92-65
92
65
+27
99avg 75
H24/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
85avg 75
A31/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
56-57
56
57
-1
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
17-10
20-13
19-13
30-21
13-17
16-17
19-18
25-25
23-26
21-22
19-35
24-14
13-21
25-20
26-23
17-13
27-23
21-18
21-20
19-13
18-22
19-11
16-18
18-23
19-17
21-16
17-21
22-9
29-14
16-16
25-26
26-21
18-20
23-20
24-21
21-19
19-17
6-9
10-12
152.9Avg total
79.6Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.269.0146.2+8.260%
Season at home (2)74.061.0135.0+13.050%
Season away (3)79.374.3153.7+5.067%
Last 10 (10)79.673.3152.9+6.370%
Last 5 (5)77.269.0146.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.057.0113.0-1.00%
vs Similar (7)83.090.1173.1-7.114%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.974.1158.0+9.882%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
76-69
76
69
+7
77avg 65
H01/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
74-88
74
88
-14
74avg 65
H09/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
60-76
60
76
-16
51avg 65
A16/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-75
85
75
+10
52avg 65
H03/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
57-61
57
61
-4
48avg 65
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
W
75-70
75
70
+5
71avg 65
H17/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
70-99
70
99
-29
53avg 65
A24/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
63-68
63
68
-5
53avg 65
H31/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
82-63
82
63
+19
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
87-85
87
85
+2
no box
H14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
17-20
20-15
15-16
21-27
23-27
16-17
14-17
15-13
8-21
17-13
20-29
18-22
21-16
20-21
26-16
19-24
10-14
19-11
9-12
14-16
22-18
21-25
18-11
18-26
12-21
20-26
20-26
14-12
8-18
18-14
23-24
20-23
24-15
18-12
20-13
23-26
23-19
23-18
18-22
148.3Avg total
72.9Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.174.4148.6-0.357%
Season at home (4)77.574.5152.0+3.075%
Season away (3)69.774.3144.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)72.975.4148.3-2.550%
Last 5 (5)75.477.0152.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)64.872.8137.6-8.020%
vs Similar (14)69.673.4142.9-3.843%
vs Weaker (11)82.568.1150.6+14.582%
This opponent (Galomar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 149
Over 149
53.4%
Under 149
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 154
Over 154
41.1%
Under 154
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 159
Over 159
29.7%
Under 159
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Galomar total 75
Over 75
64.0%
Under 75
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galomar total 79
Over 79
47.8%
Under 79
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galomar total 83
Over 83
32.0%
Under 83
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Illiabum total 71.5
Over 71.5
52.1%
Under 71.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Illiabum total 75.5
Over 75.5
36.9%
Under 75.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Illiabum total 79.5
Over 79.5
23.7%
Under 79.5
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Galomar -3
GALO -3
63.4%
ILLI +3
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
GALO
No market prices yet.
ILLI
No market prices yet.
Spread Galomar 0
GALO 0
71.2%
ILLI 0
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
GALO
No market prices yet.
ILLI
No market prices yet.
Spread Galomar +3
GALO +3
78.6%
ILLI -3
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
GALO
No market prices yet.
ILLI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
GalomarIlliabum
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GalomarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#14
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A29/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H04/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A18/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H25/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A02/05
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A03/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A17/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
51-23
51
23
+28
H24/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A31/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H07/11
Proliga
77.6Avg total
41.2Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.681.1+3.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.037.580.5+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)42.139.781.8+2.367%-
Last 10 (10)41.236.477.6+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.076.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.036.076.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (7)44.445.389.7-0.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.036.678.6+5.582%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H01/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H09/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A16/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H03/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A24/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H31/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A07/11
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H14/11
Proliga
75.0Avg total
35.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.235.873.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.336.576.8+3.773%-
Last 30 away (15)34.135.169.2-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)35.439.675.0-4.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.638.874.4-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)29.033.062.0-4.040%-
vs Similar (14)35.038.273.2-3.236%-
vs Weaker (11)43.734.077.7+9.791%-
This opponent (Galomar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Galomartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galomar: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.4
55.9%
52.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.2
33.0%
30.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.711.3
72.0%
67.3%11.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 65.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.4
48.3%
52.5%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.35.7
29.5%
30.6%17.1
🏀 Free throws20.513.9
67.8%
67.3%13.9
They take 55.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Galomar
LWWLWWWLWW
Illiabum
WWLLWLWLLW
#6
League position
#7
+9.6
Net rating
-3.7
93.7
Offensive rating
83.3
84.1
Defensive rating
87.0
53.2%
Effective FG%
46.9%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
16.8%
Turnover %
18.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.0%
3-point %
29.5%
55.6%
Assist %
64.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 83.3Defence84.1 · 87.0Shooting53.2% · 46.9%3-point %33.0% · 29.5%Ball care16.8% · 18.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Galomar   ■ Illiabum
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Galomar wins
3
Illiabum wins
DateGameScore
14/01/23Galomar v Illiabum65-59
05/11/22Illiabum v Galomar87-84
23/01/22Galomar v Illiabum69-72
13/06/21Galomar v Illiabum67-70
06/06/21Galomar v Illiabum76-72
22/05/21Illiabum v Galomar71-83
Galomarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HSangalhos56-57
31/10/26AVasco Da Gama91-82
24/10/26HBarreirense92-65
17/10/26ALusitania75-77
03/10/26ASanto Andre72-64
02/05/26ASanto Andre86-74
25/04/26HSampaense88-78
18/04/26ALusitania88-108
04/04/26HBenfica Lisboa B78-73
29/03/26ACB Queluz70-55
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HGinasio Olhanense87-85
07/11/26ABarcelos82-63
31/10/26HGalitos Aveiro63-68
24/10/26ASampaense70-99
17/10/26HGalitos Barreiro75-70
10/10/26ACB Queluz57-61
03/10/26HAcademica85-75
16/05/26ACAB Madeira60-76
09/05/26HCAB Madeira74-88
01/05/26HGinasio76-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Galomar
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game77.274.079.3
Allowed / game69.061.074.3
Point differential+8.2+13.0+5.0
Avg total146.2135.0153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illiabum
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game74.177.569.7
Allowed / game74.474.574.3
Point differential-0.3+3.0-4.7
Avg total148.6152.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
6 Galomar53260%77.269.0+8.2
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Benfica Lisboa B61517%67.780.7-13.0
16 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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