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Gardner Webb vs UNC Asheville Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#330
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game61.5
Allowed / game82.2
Gardner Webb
USA
vs
UNC Asheville
USA
Position#254
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game80.4
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Gardner Webb v UNC Asheville
16 Jan 2027
GARD v UNC
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
GARD71
UNC 77
22 Jan 2025
GARD53
UNC 61
31 Jan 2024
GARD80
UNC 73
14 Jan 2023
GARD67
UNC 72
23 Feb 2022
GARD60
UNC 59
20 Jan 2021
GARD84
UNC 57
19 Jan 2021
GARD75
UNC 79
05 Mar 2020
GARD72
UNC 62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gardner Webb win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UNC Asheville win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gardner WebbUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#229
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A17/02
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A20/02
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H27/02
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A28/02
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A05/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A06/03
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
46-86
46
86
-40
A03/11
NCAA
Texas
#2
L
50-98
50
98
-48
A06/11
NCAA
Erskine
#421
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H12/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#40
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-40
38-35
34-48
36-34
37-34
34-43
24-31
37-40
29-30
36-34
27-43
32-38
24-43
22-43
20-54
30-44
33-29
55-37
33-35
29-44
141.7Avg total
63.8Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)61.582.2143.8-20.825%
Season at home (1)88.066.0154.0+22.0100%
Season away (3)52.787.7140.3-35.00%
Last 10 (10)63.877.9141.7-14.120%
Last 5 (5)61.082.0143.0-21.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)65.285.4150.6-20.27%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)96.565.5162.0+31.0100%
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNC AshevilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radford
#176
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
H21/02
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A27/02
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
L
75-92
75
92
-17
H28/02
NCAA
Longwood
#202
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
H06/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#91
L
77-100
77
100
-23
A03/11
NCAA
Erskine
#421
W
101-74
101
74
+27
H05/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#188
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H07/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#372
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A12/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#67
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-33
34-33
34-37
43-34
39-33
36-59
40-36
33-37
34-33
37-42
27-56
50-44
51-35
50-39
40-44
35-39
37-32
36-38
32-25
42-50
157.7Avg total
78.2Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.080.4160.4-0.440%
Season at home (2)88.078.5166.5+9.550%
Season away (3)74.781.7156.3-7.033%
Last 10 (10)78.279.5157.7-1.350%
Last 5 (5)80.080.4160.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.579.2148.7-9.714%
vs Similar (10)76.273.7149.9+2.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)80.667.6148.2+13.0100%
This opponent (Gardner Webb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.8-9.81st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: -1.9-1.9
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.8-9.81st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: -1.9-1.9
Gardner WebbUNC Asheville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Gardner WebbLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#229
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A17/02
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A20/02
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H27/02
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A28/02
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A05/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A06/03
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A03/11
NCAA
Texas
#2
L
20-54
20
54
-34
A06/11
NCAA
Erskine
#421
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H12/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#40
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A14/11
NCAA
67.6Avg total
28.9Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.240.171.2-8.927%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.337.371.6-3.043%-
Last 30 away (16)28.442.570.9-14.112%-
Last 10 (10)28.938.767.6-9.820%-
Last 5 (5)27.440.868.2-13.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)30.841.472.1-10.619%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)36.030.566.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNC AshevilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radford
#176
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H21/02
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/02
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Longwood
#202
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H06/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A07/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#91
L
27-56
27
56
-29
A03/11
NCAA
Erskine
#421
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H05/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#188
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#372
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A12/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#67
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A14/11
NCAA
73.0Avg total
36.6Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.736.170.8-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.535.672.1+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)32.636.869.4-4.243%-
Last 10 (10)36.636.473.0+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.475.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.439.170.6-7.721%-
vs Similar (10)35.034.769.7+0.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)41.833.275.0+8.680%-
This opponent (Gardner Webb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Gardner Webb wins
7
UNC Asheville wins
DateGameScore
27/02/26Gardner Webb v UNC Asheville71-77
29/01/26UNC Asheville v Gardner Webb69-50
07/02/25UNC Asheville v Gardner Webb78-70
23/01/25Gardner Webb v UNC Asheville53-61
09/03/24UNC Asheville v Gardner Webb83-72 OT
24/02/24UNC Asheville v Gardner Webb77-78
01/02/24Gardner Webb v UNC Asheville80-73
18/02/23UNC Asheville v Gardner Webb75-63
14/01/23Gardner Webb v UNC Asheville67-72 OT
24/02/22Gardner Webb v UNC Asheville60-59
Gardner Webblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASouth Carolina62-79
12/11/26HErskine88-66
06/11/26ATexas50-98
03/11/26AUconn46-86
06/03/26AHigh Point59-81
05/03/26AUSC Upstate65-64
28/02/26AUSC Upstate61-71
27/02/26HUNC Asheville71-77
20/02/26ARadford70-82
17/02/26ACharleston Southern66-75
UNC Ashevillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGeorgia Tech74-75
12/11/26AWest Georgia73-70
07/11/26HWestern Carolina75-83
05/11/26HErskine101-74
03/11/26ARichmond Spiders77-100
07/03/26AHigh Point71-75
06/03/26HLongwood85-82 OT
28/02/26HCharleston Southern75-92
27/02/26AGardner Webb77-71
21/02/26HRadford74-73 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gardner Webb
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game61.588.052.7
Allowed / game82.266.087.7
Point differential-20.8+22.0-35.0
Avg total143.8154.0140.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UNC Asheville
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game80.088.074.7
Allowed / game80.478.581.7
Point differential-0.4+9.5-7.0
Avg total160.4166.5156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point440100%76.559.0+17.5
2 Longwood53260%90.269.8+20.4
3 Charleston Southern42250%78.274.2+4.0
4 UNC Asheville52340%80.080.4-0.4
5 Radford41325%70.273.2-3.0
6 Gardner Webb41325%61.582.2-20.8
7 USC Upstate51420%75.473.6+1.8
8 Winthrop4040%84.890.0-5.2
9 Presbyterian3030%71.790.7-19.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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