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Geelong Venom W vs Bendigo W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 80-73
25-23 15-19 17-12 23-19
Position#6
Record5-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game81.9
Geelong Venom W 🏆
Australia
vs
Bendigo W
Australia
Position#3
Record16-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game70.3
AustraliaNBL WRound 16· Geelong Arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Geelong Venom W v Bendigo W
30 Jan 2026
GEEL80
BEND73
13 Dec 2025
GEEL71
BEND77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong Venom W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bendigo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong Venom WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#5
L
75-76
75
76
-1
69avg 58
H07/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
71-77
71
77
-6
52avg 58
H13/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
58-86
58
86
-28
43avg 58
A16/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
59avg 58
A20/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
78-106
78
106
-28
64avg 58
A28/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
52-94
52
94
-42
33avg 58
A03/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
88-71
88
71
+17
84avg 58
A06/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
67-91
67
91
-24
47avg 58
H09/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
105-77
105
77
+28
no box
H16/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
78-85
78
85
-7
64avg 58
H24/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
17-16
18-19
22-25
17-26
15-18
16-17
23-16
11-23
20-22
13-24
14-17
19-21
19-15
15-17
20-24
15-27
23-33
18-23
22-23
6-32
12-23
16-23
18-16
26-16
30-20
22-16
10-19
22-21
15-34
15-21
15-15
20-21
34-27
35-17
16-12
16-24
32-22
21-16
9-23
158.5Avg total
74.5Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.281.9158.1-5.825%
Season at home (11)79.577.5157.0+1.936%
Season away (9)72.187.2159.3-15.111%
Last 10 (10)74.584.0158.5-9.520%
Last 5 (5)78.083.6161.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)68.280.5148.7-12.325%
vs Similar (5)85.882.6168.4+3.220%
vs Weaker (3)92.086.3178.3+5.733%
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Southside W
#4
W
75-67
75
67
+8
66avg 72
A07/12
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
77-71
77
71
+6
81avg 72
A13/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
75-67
75
67
+8
64avg 72
H19/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
70-60
70
60
+10
58avg 72
A21/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
73-61
73
61
+12
75avg 72
A31/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
78-89
78
89
-11
65avg 72
A05/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
A15/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
98-88
98
88
+10
99avg 72
H21/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
89-72
89
72
+17
85avg 72
H23/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
77-73
77
73
+4
67avg 72
A25/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
12-12
18-18
28-23
26-17
18-15
17-16
16-23
31-16
12-18
15-13
17-20
18-13
18-15
19-20
15-12
22-14
22-16
20-16
9-15
20-25
19-28
26-18
13-18
30-22
22-18
17-26
12-19
20-18
26-27
25-20
27-23
22-23
24-21
20-13
23-15
11-15
28-18
18-19
20-21
152.6Avg total
79.3Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.070.3148.2+7.780%
Season at home (10)80.268.3148.5+11.990%
Season away (10)75.772.3148.0+3.470%
Last 10 (10)79.373.3152.6+6.080%
Last 5 (5)84.681.4166.0+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.271.4145.6+2.840%
vs Similar (5)75.266.0141.2+9.2100%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)80.770.5151.2+10.290%
This opponent (Geelong Venom W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
Geelong Venom WBendigo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geelong Venom WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H07/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H13/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A16/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A20/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A28/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
18-55
18
55
-37
A03/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A06/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H09/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H16/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H24/01
NBL W
84.4Avg total
38.7Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)37.443.981.2-6.540%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.242.780.9-4.545%-
Last 30 away (9)36.345.381.7-9.033%-
Last 10 (10)38.745.784.4-7.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.648.090.6-5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.844.978.7-11.217%-
vs Similar (5)43.040.883.8+2.280%-
vs Weaker (3)42.345.087.3-2.767%-
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southside W
#4
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A07/12
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A13/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H19/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A21/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A31/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A05/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A15/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H21/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H23/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A25/01
NBL W
78.3Avg total
41.8Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.536.678.1+4.973%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.837.178.8+4.775%-
Last 30 away (14)41.136.177.2+5.171%-
Last 10 (10)41.836.578.3+5.390%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.087.4+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.437.077.4+3.460%-
vs Similar (5)34.433.267.6+1.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.537.480.8+6.180%-
This opponent (Geelong Venom W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Geelong Venom Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Geelong Venom W: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.518.3
44.1%
47.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.06.3
24.2%
32.8%18.9
🏀 Free throws16.613.1
78.9%
73.3%13.1
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bendigo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bendigo W: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.3
52.1%
47.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.7
38.6%
32.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.811.4
67.9%
73.3%11.4
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Geelong Venom W
LWLWLLLLLL
Bendigo W
WWWLLWWWWW
#6
League position
#3
-21.4
Net rating
+12.5
88.0
Offensive rating
103.5
109.5
Defensive rating
91.0
41.1%
Effective FG%
54.7%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
44.2%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.0%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
24.2%
3-point %
38.6%
54.5%
Assist %
54.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence88.0 · 103.5Defence109.5 · 91.0Shooting41.1% · 54.7%3-point %24.2% · 38.6%Ball care16.2% · 17.0%Off. rebounds25.9% · 24.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Geelong Venom W   ■ Bendigo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Geelong Venom W wins
3
Bendigo W wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Geelong Venom W v Bendigo W71-77
05/12/25Bendigo W v Geelong Venom W93-58
28/10/25Bendigo W v Geelong Venom W62-55
Geelong Venom Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HAdelaide Lightning W78-85
16/01/26HSydney W105-77
09/01/26HTownsville W67-91
06/01/26ATownsville W88-71
03/01/26ASouthside W52-94
28/12/25APerth Lynx W78-106
20/12/25ACanberra Capitals W73-77
16/12/25ASouthside W58-86
13/12/25HBendigo W71-77
07/12/25HCanberra Capitals W75-76
Bendigo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26ACanberra Capitals W77-73
23/01/26HCanberra Capitals W89-72
21/01/26HSouthside W98-88
15/01/26APerth Lynx W81-85
05/01/26ASydney W78-89
31/12/25ATownsville W73-61
21/12/25ASouthside W70-60
19/12/25HAdelaide Lightning W75-67
13/12/25AGeelong Venom W77-71
07/12/25ASouthside W75-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong Venom W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL25%
HomeLLLWL36%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %25%36%11%
Points / game76.279.572.1
Allowed / game81.977.587.2
Point differential-5.8+1.9-15.1
Avg total158.1157.0159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %10%0%22%
Bendigo W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW80%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWLLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%90%70%
Points / game78.080.275.7
Allowed / game70.368.372.3
Point differential+7.7+11.9+3.4
Avg total148.2148.5148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W2117481%85.372.5+12.8
2 Bendigo W2016480%78.070.3+7.7
3 Perth Lynx W2116576%83.474.4+9.0
4 Southside W2081240%79.679.8-0.1
5 Canberra Capitals W2081240%72.078.1-6.1
6 Adelaide Lightning W2161529%74.082.3-8.2
7 Sydney W2161529%75.484.8-9.4
8 Geelong Venom W2051525%76.281.9-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong Venom W2515172380
Bendigo W2319121973
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