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Geelong vs Frankston Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 May 2021
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 72-91
19-25 16-25 25-27 12-14
Position#7
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#2
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game83.4
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2021
Meetings · Geelong v Frankston
05 Jul 2025
GEEL83
FRAN86
20 Apr 2024
GEEL67
FRAN64
29 Apr 2023
GEEL79
FRAN73
28 May 2022
GEEL82
FRAN88
22 May 2021
GEEL72
FRAN91
25 Jun 2016
GEEL81
FRAN85
10 May 2015
GEEL91
FRAN78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Frankston winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#16
W
88-77
88
77
+11
A06/07
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
L
67-84
67
84
-17
H20/07
NBL 1
Dandenong
#8
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H27/07
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A03/08
NBL 1
Knox
#11
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A17/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
W
85-81
85
81
+4
A24/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#4
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H01/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H08/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#4
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
A09/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H15/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
24-19
21-19
23-24
20-22
15-20
14-19
18-23
32-13
18-32
18-15
17-19
30-23
18-16
12-24
16-19
16-14
16-10
24-14
22-30
26-32
17-20
29-12
13-17
14-18
23-20
24-21
20-20
14-15
15-13
24-20
13-17
14-17
26-18
18-22
27-28
30-22
18-15
28-15
14-14
159.1Avg total
81.1Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.576.3158.8+6.283%
Season at home (3)79.070.0149.0+9.0100%
Season away (3)86.082.7168.7+3.367%
Last 10 (10)81.178.0159.1+3.170%
Last 5 (5)83.478.0161.4+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)69.883.0152.8-13.20%
vs Similar (14)80.182.9163.0-2.957%
vs Weaker (11)86.874.4161.2+12.5100%
This opponent (Frankston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankstonAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Sabres
#18
W
97-83
97
83
+14
A21/07
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
W
107-97
107
97
+10
H27/07
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
L
67-85
67
85
-18
H10/08
NBL 1
Nunawading
#10
L
83-94
83
94
-11
H17/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
W
94-73
94
73
+21
A23/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
110-76
110
76
+34
H24/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H01/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#9
W
89-77
89
77
+12
A08/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
104-96
104
96
+8
A15/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
W
111-82
111
82
+29
H16/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
28-22
17-16
27-28
37-19
27-28
20-23
23-27
20-21
10-23
13-16
24-25
26-23
16-21
21-23
20-27
28-14
26-17
18-18
22-24
30-25
35-13
27-16
18-22
17-17
20-25
21-24
20-20
17-20
29-24
20-18
23-15
22-27
25-24
17-21
40-24
31-21
28-19
27-18
25-24
178.9Avg total
94.0Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)95.683.4179.0+12.171%
Season at home (4)95.584.5180.0+11.050%
Season away (3)95.782.0177.7+13.7100%
Last 10 (10)94.084.9178.9+9.170%
Last 5 (5)98.483.4181.8+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)86.585.5172.0+1.050%
vs Similar (8)86.488.8175.1-2.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)97.586.7184.1+10.875%
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
GeelongFrankston
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#16
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A06/07
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H20/07
NBL 1
Dandenong
#8
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H27/07
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A03/08
NBL 1
Knox
#11
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A17/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A24/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H08/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A09/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H15/05
NBL1 South
78.0Avg total
40.6Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.481.7+0.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.840.782.5+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)40.840.180.9+0.767%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.478.0+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.077.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.643.079.6-6.440%-
vs Similar (14)42.441.183.4+1.364%-
vs Weaker (11)42.138.480.5+3.773%-
This opponent (Frankston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankstonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Sabres
#18
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A21/07
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H27/07
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H10/08
NBL 1
Nunawading
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H17/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A23/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
65-38
65
38
+27
H24/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H01/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A08/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A15/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H16/05
NBL1 South
91.7Avg total
49.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.041.890.8+7.273%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.241.689.8+6.671%-
Last 30 away (13)50.042.292.2+7.877%-
Last 10 (10)49.742.091.7+7.760%-
Last 5 (5)50.843.093.8+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.540.086.5+6.5100%-
vs Similar (8)46.643.490.0+3.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)50.241.491.6+8.870%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Geelong wins
2
Frankston wins
DateGameScore
12/04/19Frankston v Geelong77-72
13/05/17Frankston v Geelong77-101
25/06/16Geelong v Frankston81-85
16/04/16Frankston v Geelong73-90
10/05/15Geelong v Frankston91-78
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/21HMelbourne Tigers90-66
09/05/21AWaverley95-99 OT
08/05/21HNunawading66-65
01/05/21HWaverley81-79
24/04/21ARingwood85-81
17/04/21AKnox78-68
03/08/19ANunawading76-82
27/07/19HDandenong85-79
20/07/19HBendigo Braves67-84
06/07/19ARingwood88-77
Frankstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/21HBendigo Braves111-82
15/05/21ADandenong104-96
08/05/21ABallarat89-77
01/05/21HNW Tasmania78-86
24/04/21HDandenong110-76
23/04/21ABendigo Braves94-73
17/04/21HNunawading83-94
10/08/19HBendigo Braves67-85
27/07/19HNunawading107-97
21/07/19ASouthern Sabres97-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game82.579.086.0
Allowed / game76.370.082.7
Point differential+6.2+9.0+3.3
Avg total158.8149.0168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Frankston
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%50%100%
Points / game95.695.595.7
Allowed / game83.484.582.0
Point differential+12.1+11.0+13.7
Avg total179.0180.0177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier65183%106.592.8+13.7
2 NW Tasmania65183%84.273.0+11.2
3 Geelong65183%82.576.3+6.2
4 Kilsyth54180%77.669.2+8.4
5 Frankston75271%95.683.4+12.1
6 Bendigo Braves75271%88.385.1+3.1
7 Hobart Chargers64267%87.383.7+3.7
8 Ringwood53260%89.285.6+3.6
9 Diamond Valley74357%87.384.0+3.3
10 Nunawading63350%79.572.8+6.7
11 Waverley63350%80.579.2+1.3
12 Knox52340%76.884.8-8.0
13 Ballarat62433%79.081.0-2.0
14 Eltham72529%80.383.6-3.3
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits61517%79.287.0-7.8
16 Sandringham Sabres61517%81.098.5-17.5
17 Dandenong71614%84.795.6-10.9
18 Melbourne Tigers81712%83.4101.2-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong1916251272
Frankston2525271491
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