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Waverley vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 May 2021
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 99-95 (OT)
17-14 18-26 22-18 28-27 14-10
Position#4
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#7
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game73.2
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2021
Meetings · Waverley v Geelong
11 Apr 2025
WAVE96
GEEL88
16 Jul 2023
WAVE72
GEEL93
09 May 2021
WAVE99
GEEL95
05 May 2019
WAVE62
GEEL92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Waverley winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WaverleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Sabres
#18
L
77-91
77
91
-14
H30/06
NBL 1
Dandenong
#8
L
82-95
82
95
-13
H07/07
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
W
90-77
90
77
+13
A13/07
NBL 1
Knox
#13
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H14/07
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A19/07
NBL 1
NW Tasmania
#14
L
95-103
95
103
-8
A20/07
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#6
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A17/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H25/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#7
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A01/05
NBL1 South
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H02/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
22-28
25-17
10-27
19-23
23-31
21-15
19-26
23-18
21-21
23-23
23-15
25-20
14-21
20-12
24-20
30-20
27-27
25-32
13-19
23-31
19-25
22-29
31-18
13-19
22-19
15-14
18-17
29-19
10-21
22-18
18-14
18-14
20-23
21-24
20-20
16-22
16-18
22-18
22-6
164.7Avg total
82.4Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.571.5147.0+4.050%
Season at home (2)77.568.0145.5+9.5100%
Season away (2)73.575.0148.5-1.50%
Last 10 (10)82.482.3164.7+0.140%
Last 5 (5)79.477.8157.2+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)93.890.2184.0+3.680%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.689.4176.0-2.840%
vs Weaker (4)75.074.0149.0+1.050%
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Sabres
#18
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A29/06
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
L
69-97
69
97
-28
A03/07
NBL 1
Ringwood
#16
W
88-77
88
77
+11
A06/07
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
L
67-84
67
84
-17
H20/07
NBL 1
Dandenong
#8
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H27/07
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A03/08
NBL 1
Knox
#11
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A17/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
W
85-81
85
81
+4
A24/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#4
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H01/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H08/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
25-22
24-21
20-16
17-23
12-24
19-20
21-30
20-15
24-19
21-19
23-24
20-22
15-20
14-19
18-23
32-13
18-32
18-15
17-19
30-23
18-16
12-24
16-19
16-14
16-10
24-14
22-30
26-32
17-20
29-12
13-17
14-18
23-20
24-21
20-20
14-15
15-13
24-20
13-17
157.4Avg total
78.4Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.573.2150.8+4.2100%
Season at home (2)73.572.0145.5+1.5100%
Season away (2)81.574.5156.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.479.0157.4-0.670%
Last 5 (5)77.275.0152.2+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.883.0152.8-13.20%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.181.3161.4-1.164%
vs Weaker (11)88.576.0164.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Waverley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -3.2-3.2
WaverleyGeelong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WaverleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Sabres
#18
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H30/06
NBL 1
Dandenong
#8
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H07/07
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A13/07
NBL 1
Knox
#13
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H14/07
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A19/07
NBL 1
NW Tasmania
#14
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A20/07
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A17/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H25/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/05
NBL1 South
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H02/05
NBL1 South
84.9Avg total
41.0Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)43.144.988.0-1.838%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.245.586.7-4.423%-
Last 30 away (11)45.444.289.5+1.255%-
Last 10 (10)41.043.984.9-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.279.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.643.287.8+1.460%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.246.590.7-2.340%-
vs Weaker (4)37.041.278.2-4.20%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Sabres
#18
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A29/06
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A03/07
NBL 1
Ringwood
#16
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A06/07
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H20/07
NBL 1
Dandenong
#8
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H27/07
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A03/08
NBL 1
Knox
#11
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A17/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A24/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H08/05
NBL1 South
78.2Avg total
39.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.782.5+1.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.740.983.6+1.862%-
Last 30 away (14)40.940.481.3+0.464%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.078.2+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.274.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.643.079.6-6.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.941.684.4+1.364%-
vs Weaker (11)42.938.581.4+4.573%-
This opponent (Waverley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Waverley wins
2
Geelong wins
DateGameScore
01/05/21Geelong v Waverley81-79
05/05/19Waverley v Geelong62-92
Waverleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/21HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits76-64
01/05/21AGeelong79-81
25/04/21HDiamond Valley79-72
17/04/21AKilsyth68-69
20/07/19ANW Tasmania95-103
19/07/19AHobart Huskies95-98
14/07/19HKnox83-73
13/07/19ABallarat90-77
07/07/19HDandenong82-95
30/06/19HSouthern Sabres77-91
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/21HNunawading66-65
01/05/21HWaverley81-79
24/04/21ARingwood85-81
17/04/21AKnox78-68
03/08/19ANunawading76-82
27/07/19HDandenong85-79
20/07/19HBendigo Braves67-84
06/07/19ARingwood88-77
03/07/19ABallarat69-97
29/06/19ASouthern Sabres89-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Waverley
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game75.577.573.5
Allowed / game71.568.075.0
Point differential+4.0+9.5-1.5
Avg total147.0145.5148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game77.573.581.5
Allowed / game73.272.074.5
Point differential+4.2+1.5+7.0
Avg total150.8145.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong440100%77.573.2+4.2
2 Diamond Valley54180%87.276.2+11.0
3 NW Tasmania54180%81.072.0+9.0
4 Bendigo Braves54180%88.881.4+7.4
5 Kilsyth43175%79.071.2+7.8
6 Mt Gambier43175%99.592.2+7.2
7 Frankston53260%90.881.2+9.6
8 Hobart Chargers53260%83.481.0+2.4
9 Nunawading42250%81.071.0+10.0
10 Ringwood42250%89.885.8+4.0
11 Waverley42250%75.571.5+4.0
12 Knox42250%72.876.5-3.8
13 Ballarat52340%77.879.8-2.0
14 Eltham51420%75.880.4-4.6
15 Melbourne Tigers51420%84.2100.8-16.6
16 Sandringham Sabres51420%79.097.2-18.2
17 Albury-Wodonga Bandits5050%76.288.0-11.8
18 Dandenong4040%80.897.0-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Waverley171822281499
Geelong142618271095
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