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Geelong vs Waverley Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 May 2021
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 81-79
14-18 23-20 24-21 20-20
Position#7
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game74.5
Geelong 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#4
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game70.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2021
Meetings · Geelong v Waverley
12 Jul 2024
GEEL102
WAVE74
09 Jul 2022
GEEL99
WAVE91
01 May 2021
GEEL81
WAVE79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Waverley winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#1
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H15/06
NBL 1
NW Tasmania
#14
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H21/06
NBL 1
Southern Sabres
#18
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A29/06
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
L
69-97
69
97
-28
A03/07
NBL 1
Ringwood
#16
W
88-77
88
77
+11
A06/07
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
L
67-84
67
84
-17
H20/07
NBL 1
Dandenong
#8
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H27/07
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A03/08
NBL 1
Knox
#11
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A17/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
W
85-81
85
81
+4
A24/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
21-20
12-17
15-11
14-25
25-11
20-18
20-20
20-19
25-22
24-21
20-16
17-23
12-24
19-20
21-30
20-15
24-19
21-19
23-24
20-22
15-20
14-19
18-23
32-13
18-32
18-15
17-19
30-23
18-16
12-24
16-19
16-14
16-10
24-14
22-30
26-32
17-20
29-12
13-17
156.4Avg total
77.8Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.574.5156.0+7.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)81.574.5156.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.878.6156.4-0.860%
Last 5 (5)78.278.8157.0-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.883.0152.8-13.20%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.282.8164.1-1.658%
vs Weaker (13)89.276.3165.5+12.9100%
This opponent (Waverley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WaverleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#11
L
94-99
94
99
-5
A22/06
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
W
101-94 OT
101
94
+7
A23/06
NBL 1
Southern Sabres
#18
L
77-91
77
91
-14
H30/06
NBL 1
Dandenong
#8
L
82-95
82
95
-13
H07/07
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
W
90-77
90
77
+13
A13/07
NBL 1
Knox
#13
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H14/07
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A19/07
NBL 1
NW Tasmania
#14
L
95-103
95
103
-8
A20/07
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#6
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A17/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H25/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
30-35
24-16
22-21
24-15
20-14
18-31
24-26
20-19
22-28
25-17
10-27
19-23
23-31
21-15
19-26
23-18
21-21
23-23
23-15
25-20
14-21
20-12
24-20
30-20
27-27
25-32
13-19
23-31
19-25
22-29
31-18
13-19
22-19
15-14
18-17
29-19
10-21
22-18
18-14
173.5Avg total
86.4Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.570.5144.0+3.050%
Season at home (1)79.072.0151.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)68.069.0137.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)86.487.1173.5-0.740%
Last 5 (5)84.083.0167.0+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)93.890.2184.0+3.680%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.190.0177.1-2.943%
vs Weaker (3)74.777.3152.0-2.733%
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
GeelongWaverley
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H15/06
NBL 1
NW Tasmania
#14
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H21/06
NBL 1
Southern Sabres
#18
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A29/06
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A03/07
NBL 1
Ringwood
#16
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A06/07
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H20/07
NBL 1
Dandenong
#8
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H27/07
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A03/08
NBL 1
Knox
#11
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A17/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A24/04
NBL1 South
79.8Avg total
40.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.783.3+1.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.240.985.1+3.269%-
Last 30 away (14)40.940.481.3+0.464%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.879.8+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.482.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.643.079.6-6.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.543.087.5+1.567%-
vs Weaker (13)43.237.780.9+5.577%-
This opponent (Waverley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WaverleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#11
L
48-62
48
62
-14
A22/06
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A23/06
NBL 1
Southern Sabres
#18
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H30/06
NBL 1
Dandenong
#8
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H07/07
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A13/07
NBL 1
Knox
#13
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H14/07
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A19/07
NBL 1
NW Tasmania
#14
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A20/07
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A17/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H25/04
NBL1 South
88.5Avg total
43.2Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)43.845.589.3-1.736%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.946.087.9-4.125%-
Last 30 away (10)46.144.991.0+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)43.245.388.5-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.486.8-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.643.287.8+1.460%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.647.191.8-2.536%-
vs Weaker (3)38.741.780.3-3.00%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Geelong wins
0
Waverley wins
DateGameScore
05/05/19Waverley v Geelong62-92
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/21ARingwood85-81
17/04/21AKnox78-68
03/08/19ANunawading76-82
27/07/19HDandenong85-79
20/07/19HBendigo Braves67-84
06/07/19ARingwood88-77
03/07/19ABallarat69-97
29/06/19ASouthern Sabres89-78
21/06/19HNW Tasmania79-74
15/06/19HBallarat62-66
Waverleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/21HDiamond Valley79-72
17/04/21AKilsyth68-69
20/07/19ANW Tasmania95-103
19/07/19AHobart Huskies95-98
14/07/19HKnox83-73
13/07/19ABallarat90-77
07/07/19HDandenong82-95
30/06/19HSouthern Sabres77-91
23/06/19ANunawading101-94 OT
22/06/19ADiamond Valley94-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game81.5-81.5
Allowed / game74.5-74.5
Point differential+7.0-+7.0
Avg total156.0-156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Waverley
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game73.579.068.0
Allowed / game70.572.069.0
Point differential+3.0+7.0-1.0
Avg total144.0151.0137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nunawading220100%95.072.0+23.0
2 Geelong220100%81.574.5+7.0
3 Frankston32167%95.781.0+14.7
4 Diamond Valley32167%80.374.0+6.3
5 Ballarat32167%77.375.0+2.3
6 Mt Gambier21150%102.092.5+9.5
7 Waverley21150%73.570.5+3.0
8 NW Tasmania21150%78.076.0+2.0
9 Melbourne Tigers21150%100.599.5+1.0
10 Ringwood21150%87.086.5+0.5
11 Knox21150%70.070.5-0.5
12 Hobart Chargers21150%79.581.0-1.5
13 Bendigo Braves21150%84.088.0-4.0
14 Kilsyth21150%66.070.0-4.0
15 Sandringham Sabres31233%82.7104.0-21.3
16 Eltham2020%82.086.0-4.0
17 Albury-Wodonga Bandits2020%87.594.0-6.5
18 Dandenong2020%71.5100.0-28.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong1423242081
Waverley1820212079
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