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Keilor Thunder W vs Geelong W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Aug 2022
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 65-72
11-22 24-15 12-21 18-14
Position#11
Record9-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game78.5
Keilor Thunder W
Australia
vs
Geelong W 🏆
Australia
Position#5
Record13-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game72.0
AustraliaNBL1 South WomenRound 15
Women2022
Meetings · Keilor Thunder W v Geelong W
18 Jul 2025
KEIL78
GEEL96
14 Apr 2024
KEIL97
GEEL80
04 Jun 2023
KEIL66
GEEL77
06 Aug 2022
KEIL65
GEEL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H04/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A18/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H26/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H02/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A10/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H17/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
76-46
76
46
+30
H23/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A30/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
12-14
22-26
16-20
14-28
15-18
13-15
19-13
27-18
17-22
19-16
28-20
12-21
24-28
24-17
25-14
18-24
17-22
25-18
19-25
24-16
28-14
15-14
18-29
22-22
25-22
8-21
12-15
13-15
21-13
22-14
21-21
19-11
13-19
20-5
24-11
20-31
27-27
21-17
14-17
152.6Avg total
77.5Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.978.5154.4-2.647%
Season at home (9)77.274.9152.1+2.367%
Season away (10)74.781.7156.4-7.030%
Last 10 (10)77.575.1152.6+2.450%
Last 5 (5)77.470.8148.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)71.286.8158.0-15.512%
vs Similar (4)79.582.2161.8-2.850%
vs Weaker (7)79.166.9146.0+12.386%
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Launceston W
#6
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
70-92
70
92
-22
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
87-72
87
72
+15
A02/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
109-90
109
90
+19
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
95-73
95
73
+22
A10/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
89-62
89
62
+27
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H23/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
87-49
87
49
+38
A24/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H31/07
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
L
49-67
49
67
-18
H05/08
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
21-20
16-20
21-22
18-31
16-16
27-22
9-23
21-21
23-10
16-21
27-20
24-22
28-27
26-20
31-21
31-14
19-22
23-18
22-19
32-17
20-12
23-20
14-13
26-20
14-18
15-18
14-17
12-12
22-16
33-5
20-16
17-16
24-16
17-21
14-20
12-21
13-20
19-15
5-11
152.8Avg total
80.0Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.072.0153.0+9.065%
Season at home (11)76.973.8150.7+3.155%
Season away (9)86.069.8155.8+16.278%
Last 10 (10)80.072.8152.8+7.250%
Last 5 (5)73.264.8138.0+8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.079.5155.5-3.533%
vs Similar (9)74.074.3148.3-0.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.969.3158.2+19.787%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
Keilor Thunder WGeelong W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H04/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A18/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H26/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H02/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A10/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H17/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H23/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A30/07
NBL1 South Women
79.3Avg total
39.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)39.242.581.7-3.347%-
Last 30 at home (9)37.838.476.2-0.767%-
Last 30 away (10)40.546.286.7-5.730%-
Last 10 (10)39.040.379.3-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.080.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.148.085.1-10.912%-
vs Similar (4)43.546.590.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker (7)39.134.073.1+5.186%-
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Launceston W
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A02/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A10/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H23/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A24/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H31/07
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H05/08
NBL1 South Women
77.4Avg total
40.8Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.636.179.7+7.483%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.037.180.1+5.981%-
Last 30 away (13)44.235.079.2+9.285%-
Last 10 (10)40.836.677.4+4.280%-
Last 5 (5)38.433.672.0+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.039.881.8+2.250%-
vs Similar (9)38.235.373.6+2.978%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.635.182.7+12.6100%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keilor Thunder W wins
1
Geelong W wins
DateGameScore
07/05/22Geelong W v Keilor Thunder W101-87
Keilor Thunder Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/07/22ASandringham W82-92
23/07/22HDiamond Valley W76-46
17/07/22HFrankston W77-63
16/07/22AEltham W67-80
10/07/22AMelbourne Tigers W85-73
09/07/22ABallarat W79-89
02/07/22HKilsyth W85-80
26/06/22HHobart Chargers W91-76
18/06/22ARingwood W61-74
04/06/22HMelbourne Tigers W72-78
Geelong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/08/22HNunawading W49-67
31/07/22HMt. Gambier W72-73
24/07/22AMelbourne Tigers W87-49
23/07/22HHobart Chargers W69-73
16/07/22ADandenong Rangers W89-62
10/07/22AKilsyth W95-73
09/07/22HWaverley W109-90
02/07/22ASandringham W87-72
01/07/22HBendigo W70-92
25/06/22HLaunceston W73-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL47%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%67%30%
Points / game75.977.274.7
Allowed / game78.574.981.7
Point differential-2.6+2.3-7.0
Avg total154.4152.1156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL65%
HomeLWLLL55%
AwayWWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %65%55%78%
Points / game81.076.986.0
Allowed / game72.073.869.8
Point differential+9.0+3.1+16.2
Avg total153.0150.7155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%27%78%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W2018290%88.870.3+18.4
2 Ringwood W1916384%76.460.6+15.8
3 Mt. Gambier W1915479%77.368.1+9.2
4 Nunawading W2014670%77.766.7+11.1
5 Waverley W1913668%74.973.3+1.6
6 Geelong W2013765%81.072.0+9.0
7 Launceston W2013765%81.574.5+6.9
8 Knox W1912763%73.960.1+13.8
9 Ballarat W1810856%75.972.6+3.3
10 Casey Cavaliers W2011955%80.175.8+4.3
11 Keilor Thunder W1991047%75.978.5-2.6
12 Sandringham W2091145%75.280.4-5.2
13 Eltham W1971237%73.878.6-4.8
14 Kilsyth W1971237%70.375.9-5.7
15 Dandenong Rangers W2051525%70.082.4-12.4
16 Frankston W1941521%67.375.9-8.7
17 Hobart Chargers W2141719%63.377.9-14.5
18 Melbourne Tigers W1931616%55.376.4-21.1
19 Diamond Valley W2021810%65.482.9-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder W1124121865
Geelong W2215211472
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