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Keilor Thunder W vs Geelong W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 97-80
25-23 24-19 27-15 21-23
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game63.0
vs
Position#10
Record0-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game101.0
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2024
Meetings · Keilor Thunder W v Geelong W
18 Jul 2025
KEIL78
GEEL96
14 Apr 2024
KEIL97
GEEL80
04 Jun 2023
KEIL66
GEEL77
06 Aug 2022
KEIL65
GEEL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley W
#9
L
58-76
58
76
-18
H24/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
54-72
54
72
-18
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#14
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
72-53
72
53
+19
A09/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
81-60
81
60
+21
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
12-17
14-20
19-17
11-20
14-15
10-19
19-18
14-28
20-14
18-16
19-11
17-29
16-18
14-24
18-16
24-18
13-13
15-13
20-18
13-19
19-25
17-16
23-16
15-25
20-18
31-16
18-18
21-18
14-17
22-18
23-23
28-11
10-16
17-15
17-11
22-14
22-20
13-6
24-20
141.7Avg total
70.9Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.763.0140.7+14.7100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)77.763.0140.7+14.7100%
Last 10 (10)70.970.8141.7+0.160%
Last 5 (5)77.868.4146.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)68.277.0145.2-8.827%
vs Similar (4)70.576.0146.5-5.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)77.258.8136.0+18.5100%
This opponent (Geelong W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
W
84-56
84
56
+28
H30/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A01/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#6
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#19
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H08/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#16
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H15/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
75-66 OT
75
66
+9
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A21/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H05/08
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A07/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
88-107
88
107
-19
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
20-12
23-12
17-15
18-19
21-16
16-5
23-29
12-21
21-14
20-19
18-18
21-21
24-21
23-15
16-22
19-13
25-19
16-17
16-23
12-14
16-14
17-20
20-17
31-20
17-13
22-20
16-23
15-17
21-24
19-23
19-21
25-25
29-26
22-17
9-27
21-32
24-22
19-22
24-31
157.8Avg total
80.1Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.5101.0187.5-14.50%
Season at home (1)88.0107.0195.0-19.00%
Season away (1)85.095.0180.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)80.177.7157.8+2.460%
Last 5 (5)81.685.8167.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)83.096.0179.0-13.00%
vs Similar (9)74.480.3154.8-5.944%
vs Weaker (18)79.267.0146.2+12.283%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -4.8-4.8
Keilor Thunder WGeelong W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley W
#9
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H24/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#13
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#14
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A09/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
71.5Avg total
33.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.939.074.0-4.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.937.470.4-4.536%-
Last 30 away (16)36.740.477.1-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)33.837.771.5-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.673.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)34.339.774.0-5.527%-
vs Similar (4)36.242.879.0-6.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)37.231.568.8+5.875%-
This opponent (Geelong W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H30/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A01/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#19
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H08/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#16
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H15/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A21/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H05/08
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A07/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
79.6Avg total
41.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.337.779.0+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.141.785.7+2.453%-
Last 30 away (15)38.533.772.3+4.860%-
Last 10 (10)41.638.079.6+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.483.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)42.347.089.3-4.70%-
vs Similar (9)39.844.183.9-4.333%-
vs Weaker (18)41.932.974.8+8.978%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keilor Thunder W wins
4
Geelong W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/24AKilsyth W81-60
09/04/24ADiamond Valley W72-53
05/04/24AFrankston W80-76
16/07/23ACasey Cavaliers W84-77
15/07/23AGeelong W72-76
08/07/23AHobart Chargers W72-62
07/07/23ALaunceston W65-87
01/07/23HNunawading W71-69
25/06/23HBendigo W54-72
24/06/23HDiamond Valley W58-76
Geelong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/24HBendigo Braves W88-107
07/04/24ABallarat W85-95
05/08/23HWaverley W74-85
21/07/23AMt. Gambier W86-76
16/07/23AWaverley W75-66 OT
15/07/23HKeilor Thunder W76-72
08/07/23HBallarat W84-79
07/07/23ARingwood W71-72
01/07/23AFrankston W78-69
30/06/23HMelbourne Tigers W84-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
Home--
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %100%-100%
Points / game77.7-77.7
Allowed / game63.0-63.0
Point differential+14.7-+14.7
Avg total140.7-140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%-67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Geelong W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game86.588.085.0
Allowed / game101.0107.095.0
Point differential-14.5-19.0-10.0
Avg total187.5195.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo Braves W440100%100.271.2+29.0
2 Mt. Gambier W440100%83.062.8+20.2
3 Ringwood W550100%83.467.6+15.8
4 Keilor Thunder W330100%77.763.0+14.7
5 Dandenong Rangers W54180%82.276.6+5.6
6 Knox W43175%81.575.8+5.8
7 Diamond Valley W32167%83.085.7-2.7
8 Sandringham W42250%77.571.0+6.5
9 Melbourne Tigers W42250%87.284.8+2.5
10 Waverley W42250%78.580.5-2.0
11 Hobart Chargers W31233%65.773.7-8.0
12 Ballarat W31233%68.380.0-11.7
13 Eltham W41325%80.078.8+1.2
14 Frankston W41325%72.581.5-9.0
15 Geelong W2020%86.5101.0-14.5
16 Kilsyth W4040%62.580.0-17.5
17 Launceston W3030%67.785.3-17.7
18 Casey Cavaliers W4040%72.292.8-20.5
19 Nunawading W3030%64.386.7-22.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder W2524272197
Geelong W2319152380
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