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Geelong W vs Waverley W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 102-120
21-27 30-18 26-43 25-32
Position#10
Record11-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#4
Record12-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game75.6
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2024
Meetings · Geelong W v Waverley W
12 Jul 2024
GEEL102
WAVE120
05 Aug 2023
GEEL74
WAVE85
09 Jul 2022
GEEL109
WAVE90
01 May 2021
GEEL92
WAVE49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Waverley W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston W
#11
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A19/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
88-70
88
70
+18
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A02/06
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
106-73
106
73
+33
A23/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
92-80
92
80
+12
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
79-97
79
97
-18
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
15-13
19-18
15-22
18-25
14-23
24-7
32-15
19-16
18-12
19-18
20-14
27-14
20-21
20-15
16-29
23-26
22-25
20-15
26-11
15-18
24-15
20-11
17-13
32-24
16-18
24-14
34-17
24-19
34-19
17-23
17-19
22-37
19-19
18-20
20-21
29-27
24-29
12-25
25-16
160.3Avg total
84.1Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.079.1161.1+2.955%
Season at home (10)83.277.4160.6+5.870%
Season away (10)80.880.8161.6+0.040%
Last 10 (10)84.176.2160.3+7.970%
Last 5 (5)88.680.8169.4+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.688.6169.1-8.029%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.976.8152.7-0.950%
vs Weaker (13)85.271.3156.5+13.885%
This opponent (Waverley W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Waverley WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Launceston W
#16
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H26/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
81-57
81
57
+24
A01/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H07/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H16/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A01/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A04/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
94-78
94
78
+16
A11/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
29-17
15-12
23-19
34-16
13-9
27-16
7-16
14-14
22-14
14-13
16-13
23-24
20-24
19-13
23-11
15-26
16-21
11-14
20-16
17-21
20-16
20-14
24-21
21-9
16-11
18-26
20-14
26-25
25-24
17-17
23-15
26-22
14-22
27-18
26-26
33-15
24-18
24-16
13-29
151.0Avg total
80.8Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.675.6152.2+1.057%
Season at home (11)73.478.3151.6-4.945%
Season away (10)80.272.7152.9+7.570%
Last 10 (10)80.870.2151.0+10.690%
Last 5 (5)86.875.8162.6+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.082.1149.1-15.10%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.977.7154.6-0.957%
vs Weaker (16)81.268.8150.1+12.475%
This opponent (Geelong W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +1.5+1.5
Geelong WWaverley W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston W
#11
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A19/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A02/06
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A23/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
84.5Avg total
42.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.581.8+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.440.884.2+2.647%-
Last 30 away (15)39.240.279.4-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.984.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)47.845.092.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.648.088.6-7.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.836.475.2+2.440%-
vs Weaker (13)43.639.683.2+4.062%-
This opponent (Waverley W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Waverley WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Launceston W
#16
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H26/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A01/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H07/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H16/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
37-20
37
20
+17
A01/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A04/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
57-33
57
33
+24
A11/07
NBL1 South Women
78.4Avg total
42.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.037.078.0+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.237.076.2+2.247%-
Last 30 away (15)42.836.979.7+5.967%-
Last 10 (10)42.136.378.4+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.436.681.0+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.443.681.0-6.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.438.477.9+1.043%-
vs Weaker (16)43.233.476.7+9.875%-
This opponent (Geelong W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Geelong W wins
2
Waverley W wins
DateGameScore
05/08/23Geelong W v Waverley W74-85
16/07/23Waverley W v Geelong W66-75 OT
09/07/22Geelong W v Waverley W109-90
09/05/21Waverley W v Geelong W64-61
01/05/21Geelong W v Waverley W92-49
05/05/19Waverley W v Geelong W54-83
Geelong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/07/24AKnox W90-97
06/07/24HDandenong Rangers W79-97
28/06/24HCasey Cavaliers W92-80
23/06/24ANunawading W106-73
22/06/24HHobart Chargers W76-57
15/06/24HMelbourne Tigers W91-77
02/06/24AEltham W83-79
31/05/24AMt. Gambier W76-60
25/05/24HLaunceston W88-70
19/05/24AFrankston W60-72
Waverley Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/07/24AMelbourne Tigers W94-78
06/07/24HFrankston W93-88
04/07/24AEltham W91-81
01/07/24ARingwood W75-60
22/06/24HCasey Cavaliers W81-72
16/06/24HBallarat W62-77
15/06/24ADiamond Valley W85-72
07/06/24HSandringham W66-54
01/06/24ANunawading W81-57
26/05/24HLaunceston W80-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL55%
HomeWWWWL70%
AwayLWWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%70%40%
Points / game82.083.280.8
Allowed / game79.177.480.8
Point differential+2.9+5.8+0.0
Avg total161.1160.6161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Waverley W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW57%
HomeWWLWW45%
AwayWWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%45%70%
Points / game76.673.480.2
Allowed / game75.678.372.7
Point differential+1.0-4.9+7.5
Avg total152.2151.6152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%18%70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox W2119290%85.271.5+13.7
2 Keilor Thunder W2119290%76.864.2+12.5
3 Dandenong Rangers W2014670%79.872.8+7.0
4 Mt. Gambier W2113862%77.369.9+7.4
5 Sandringham W2113862%75.972.0+3.9
6 Ballarat W2113862%73.075.0-2.1
7 Eltham W2112957%80.675.9+4.8
8 Waverley W2112957%76.675.6+1.0
9 Geelong W2011955%82.079.1+2.9
10 Bendigo Braves W21111052%87.179.0+8.1
11 Frankston W21101148%75.175.8-0.6
12 Ringwood W2191243%76.778.3-1.6
13 Hobart Chargers W2081240%72.274.9-2.6
14 Diamond Valley W2071335%75.579.5-4.0
15 Melbourne Tigers W2171433%76.081.9-5.9
16 Kilsyth W2051525%69.679.7-10.1
17 Launceston W2051525%70.580.6-10.1
18 Nunawading W2041620%70.082.8-12.8
19 Casey Cavaliers W2141719%73.085.9-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong W21302625102
Waverley W27184332120
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