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George Mason vs Coppin State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 89-58
Projected total 147.1
Final 68-51
46-23 22-28
Position#82
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game54.0
George Mason 🏆
USA
Vs
99%
■ GEOR 99%■ COPP 1%
Pythia win probability
Coppin State
USA
Position#363
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game54.0
Allowed / game88.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · George Mason v Coppin State
06 Nov 2026
GEOR68
COPP51
20 Nov 2024
GEOR93
COPP55
23 Dec 2022
GEOR91
COPP53
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

George Mason hosts Coppin State on 6 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names George Mason the clear favourite, assigning a 99% chance of victory, a figure that reflects their undefeated 1-0 record and a points per game advantage of 82.0 to 54.0, while Coppin State sits 0-1 with 54.0 points scored and 88.0 allowed. George Mason's single game has been a 82-54 win, and their last five games show three wins and two losses, including a 86-57 triumph over St. Louis Billikens; Coppin State's sole outing was a 54-88 loss to Virginia Tech, and their last five games feature one win and four defeats, with a 66-70 loss to Morgan State. In the two meetings between the clubs, George Mason has won both, most recently 93-55 on 20 November 2024. The model projects a 89-58 score, a total of 147.1 points, and a 65% probability that the combined score will exceed the 141.0 line; the 99% probability that George Mason will cover the home spread is also noted. The game is expected to finish within regulation, with a 0% overtime probability, and Coppin State's only recent result was a 54-88 defeat away.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

George Mason winWon
99.2%fair 1.01
Best odds1.01
Implied94.7%
Edge+4.5pp
Coppin State winLost
0.8%fair 123.99
Best odds41.00
Implied5.3%
Edge-4.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

George MasonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H07/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A11/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
53-72
53
72
-19
A14/02
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H19/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A26/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H28/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A04/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
86-57
86
57
+29
H07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H12/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#343
W
82-54
82
54
+28
H02/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-29
31-23
29-49
41-33
30-32
23-40
36-43
31-39
25-44
38-37
39-27
32-31
33-34
32-36
43-34
43-23
34-24
23-39
33-27
49-27
134.5Avg total
67.4Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.054.0136.0+28.0100%
Season at home (1)82.054.0136.0+28.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.467.1134.5+0.340%
Last 5 (5)72.260.4132.6+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.057.0143.0+29.0100%
vs Similar (17)68.569.2137.8-0.753%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)77.265.2142.3+12.092%
This opponent (Coppin State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Coppin StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morgan State
#244
L
80-89
80
89
-9
H31/01
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
53-72
53
72
-19
H02/02
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
65-47
65
47
+18
H07/02
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A14/02
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A16/02
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
71-65 OT
71
65
+6
H21/02
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
70-90
70
90
-20
A03/03
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A06/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#50
L
54-88
54
88
-34
A04/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-45
48-44
24-31
29-41
26-23
39-24
27-33
31-23
22-28
37-29
33-25
27-35
29-42
40-33
29-46
41-44
32-34
34-36
27-45
27-43
135.4Avg total
64.5Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)54.088.0142.0-34.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)54.088.0142.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)64.570.9135.4-6.440%
Last 5 (5)66.077.6143.6-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)64.482.4146.8-18.019%
vs Similar (3)66.365.3131.7+1.067%
vs Weaker (1)103.062.0165.0+41.0100%
This opponent (George Mason) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 136Actual: Under 136
Over 136
76.1%
@ 1.40+9.9pp
Under 136
23.9%
@ 2.75-9.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Under
Bet365
2.75
Over/Under 141 · main lineActual: Under 141
Over 141
65.2%
@ 1.90+15.2pp
Under 141
34.8%
@ 2.00-15.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.80
Bet365
1.74
Under
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathon Be
1.89
Over/Under 146Actual: Under 146
Over 146
52.9%
@ 2.50+15.4pp
Under 146
47.1%
@ 1.50-15.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

George Mason total 80Actual: George Mason under 80
Over 80
81.7%
Under 80
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
George Mason total 84 · main lineActual: George Mason under 84
Over 84
68.7%
@ 1.87+18.7pp
Under 84
31.3%
@ 1.88-18.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
Under
Marathon Be
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
George Mason total 88Actual: George Mason under 88
Over 88
52.7%
Under 88
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coppin State total 53Actual: Coppin State under 53
Over 53
71.7%
Under 53
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coppin State total 57 · main lineActual: Coppin State under 57
Over 57
56.1%
@ 1.85+6.1pp
Under 57
43.9%
@ 1.85-6.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Coppin State total 61Actual: Coppin State under 61
Over 61
39.5%
Under 61
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread George Mason -29.5Actual: Coppin State +29.5
GEOR -29.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
COPP +29.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.25
COPP
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
Spread George Mason -26.5 · main lineActual: Coppin State +26.5
GEOR -26.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
COPP +26.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.78
Marathon Be
1.70
COPP
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.81
Spread George Mason -23.5Actual: Coppin State +23.5
GEOR -23.5
72.2%
@ 1.57+13.1pp
COPP +23.5
27.8%
@ 2.27-13.1pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
COPP
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.25

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -7.1-7.12nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +0.1+0.1
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -7.1-7.12nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +0.1+0.1
George MasonCoppin State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
George MasonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H07/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A11/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A14/02
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H19/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A26/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H28/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A04/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H12/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#343
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H02/11
NCAA
67.4Avg total
33.1Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 65.5
Last 30 (30)34.334.168.4+0.250%60%
Last 30 at home (18)34.831.966.8+2.967%56%
Last 30 away (12)33.537.370.8-3.825%67%
Last 10 (10)33.134.367.4-1.240%60%
Last 5 (5)36.429.265.6+7.280%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.034.077.0+9.0100%100%
vs Similar (17)32.534.867.2-2.335%59%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)36.233.269.3+3.067%58%
This opponent (Coppin State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Coppin StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morgan State
#244
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H31/01
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H02/02
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H07/02
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A14/02
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A16/02
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H28/02
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A03/03
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A06/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#50
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A04/11
NCAA
63.3Avg total
28.1Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 65.5
Last 30 (30)29.937.967.9-8.023%63%
Last 30 at home (9)33.332.065.3+1.344%56%
Last 30 away (21)28.540.569.0-12.014%67%
Last 10 (10)28.135.263.3-7.120%50%
Last 5 (5)30.038.468.4-8.420%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)29.839.369.1-9.523%69%
vs Similar (3)23.031.054.0-8.00%0%
vs Weaker (1)54.023.077.0+31.0100%100%
This opponent (George Mason) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: George Mason win
GEOR win
no forecast
@ 1.02
COPP win
no forecast
@ 14.00
1st half Spread George Mason -15.5 · main lineActual: George Mason -15.5
GEOR -15.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
COPP +15.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Over/Under 65.5 · main lineActual: Over 65.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
George Mason 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: George Mason over 40.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Coppin State 1st half total 26.5 · main lineActual: Coppin State under 26.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.05
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread George Mason -16.5Actual: George Mason -16.5
GEOR -16.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
COPP +16.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Spread George Mason -14.5Actual: George Mason -14.5
GEOR -14.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
COPP +14.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Over/Under 63.5Actual: Over 63.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.52
Under
no forecast
@ 2.35
1st half Over/Under 67.5Actual: Over 67.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.05
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Spread George Mason -17.5Actual: George Mason -17.5
GEOR -17.5
no forecast
@ 2.32
COPP +17.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
1st half Spread George Mason -13.5Actual: George Mason -13.5
GEOR -13.5
no forecast
@ 1.70
COPP +13.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 69.5Actual: Under 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.37
Under
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half Spread George Mason -18.5Actual: George Mason -18.5
GEOR -18.5
no forecast
@ 2.60
COPP +18.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
1st half Spread George Mason -12.5Actual: George Mason -12.5
GEOR -12.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
COPP +12.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
1st half Spread George Mason -11.5Actual: George Mason -11.5
GEOR -11.5
no forecast
@ 1.45
COPP +11.5
no forecast
@ 2.52
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: George Mason (regulation)
GEOR
no forecast
@ 1.03
Draw
no forecast
@ 41.00
COPP
no forecast
@ 13.50

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
GEOR win + total 141.5
🔒 Pro
COPP win + total 141.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: GEOR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
George Mason over 82.573.3%1.60
Betano
1.60		----+16.5ppLost
George Mason over 81.576.5%1.50
Betano
1.50		----+16.3ppLost
George Mason over 80.579.5%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+15.7ppLost
George Mason over 79.582.2%1.35
Betano
1.35		----+15.2ppLost
George Mason -2374.4%1.54
Bet365
1.54		----+13.9ppLost
George Mason -2471.4%1.60
Bet365
1.60		----+13.5ppLost
George Mason -23.572.2%1.56
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55		---+13.1ppLost
George Mason -2277.1%1.45
Bet365
1.45		----+12.9ppLost
George Mason -2179.7%1.38
Bet365
1.38		----+12.7ppLost
George Mason -21.577.7%1.42
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.42		---+12.7ppLost
George Mason -22.575.1%1.48
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47		---+12.6ppLost
George Mason -20.580.2%1.36
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.36		---+12.3ppLost
George Mason -19.582.5%1.31
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30		---+11.6ppLost
George Mason -2082.1%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+11.6ppLost
George Mason over 75.590.8%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+11.3ppLost
Over 138.570.5%1.56
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.55		---+11.2ppLost
George Mason -1984.3%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+10.9ppLost
Over 13872.0%1.52
Bet365
1.52		----+10.8ppLost
Over 137.572.6%1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50		---+10.6ppLost
George Mason -18.584.6%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+10.1ppLost
Over 13774.1%1.45
Bet365
1.45		----+9.9ppLost
Over 13676.1%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+9.9ppLost
Over 136.574.7%1.42
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.41		---+9.8ppLost
Over 135.576.6%1.38
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.36		---+9.5ppLost
George Mason -16.588.2%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+8.7ppWon
Over 13578.1%1.34
Bet365
1.34		----+8.6ppLost
Over 134.578.5%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+8.0ppLost
George Mason (regulation)99.0%1.01
Betano
1.01		----+7.3ppWon
Over 132.581.9%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+6.6ppLost
George Mason -11.594.3%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+5.3ppWon
George Mason -6.597.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.7ppWon
George Mason win99.2%1.01
Betano
1.01		----+4.5ppWon
Over 127.589.0%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+4.0ppLost
Coppin State over 51.575.9%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+1.4ppLost
Coppin State over 52.572.6%1.28
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.27		---+1.1ppLost
Coppin State over 50.578.9%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----0.6ppWon
Under 167.589.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----3.9ppWon
Under 162.583.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----7.6ppWon
Under 157.574.1%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----12.5ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
George Mason wins
0
Coppin State wins
DateGameScore
21/11/24George Mason v Coppin State93-55
23/12/22George Mason v Coppin State91-53
George Masonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HUMBC Retrievers82-54
12/03/26HSt. Bonaventure57-63
07/03/26HSt. Louis Billikens86-57
04/03/26AVCU Rams65-70
28/02/26HSt. Bonaventure71-58
26/02/26ASaint Josephs Hawks63-81
19/02/26HDayton67-82
14/02/26AGeorge Washington53-72
11/02/26ARichmond Spiders70-82
07/02/26HSaint Josephs Hawks60-52
Coppin Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/26AVirginia Tech54-88
06/03/26AMorgan State66-70
03/03/26AHoward70-90
28/02/26HNorfolk State69-75
21/02/26HMd.-East. Shore71-65 OT
16/02/26ASouth Carolina St59-57
14/02/26AN. Carolina Central58-56
07/02/26HDelaware State65-47
02/02/26HHoward53-72
31/01/26HMorgan State80-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

George Mason
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game82.082.0-
Allowed / game54.054.0-
Point differential+28.0+28.0-
Avg total136.0136.0-
Over 1410%0%-
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Coppin State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game54.0-54.0
Allowed / game88.0-88.0
Point differential-34.0--34.0
Avg total142.0-142.0
Over 141100%-100%
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 George Washington110100%91.039.0+52.0
2 Rhode Island110100%103.059.0+44.0
3 Richmond Spiders220100%103.561.5+42.0
4 Dayton110100%89.058.0+31.0
5 George Mason110100%82.054.0+28.0
6 St. Louis Billikens110100%92.067.0+25.0
7 Loyola Chicago220100%76.552.5+24.0
8 Davidson110100%76.061.0+15.0
9 VCU Rams110100%82.072.0+10.0
10 Saint Josephs Hawks110100%82.073.0+9.0
11 Duquesne110100%78.071.0+7.0
12 Fordham21150%74.079.0-5.0
13 St. Bonaventure1010%71.079.0-8.0
14 La Salle1010%55.094.0-39.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morgan State220100%99.055.0+44.0
2 South Carolina St220100%86.062.5+23.5
3 Norfolk State220100%73.058.0+15.0
4 Delaware State21150%73.059.0+14.0
5 Howard21150%78.077.5+0.5
6 N. Carolina Central1010%62.078.0-16.0
7 Md.-East. Shore2020%55.573.0-17.5
8 Coppin State1010%54.088.0-34.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
George Mason462268
Coppin State232851
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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