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George Mason vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 67-82
36-43 31-39
Position#47
Record21-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game67.3
vs
Dayton 🏆
USA
Position#65
Record16-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game71.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · George Mason v Dayton
18 Feb 2026
GEOR67
DAYT82
21 Feb 2024
GEOR71
DAYT67
22 Jan 2022
GEOR50
DAYT49
25 Feb 2020
GEOR55
DAYT62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

George Mason winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

George MasonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#27
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H10/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A14/01
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H19/01
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A24/01
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H29/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A31/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H05/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H07/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A11/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
53-72
53
72
-19
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-37
48-43
41-47
41-27
38-30
31-34
33-32
32-42
28-34
32-18
31-39
46-34
27-33
38-38
29-29
31-23
29-49
41-33
30-32
23-40
138.1Avg total
68.7Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)74.567.3141.8+7.381%
Season at home (16)76.064.6140.6+11.494%
Season away (10)72.271.5143.7+0.760%
Last 10 (10)68.769.4138.1-0.760%
Last 5 (5)65.070.0135.0-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)63.068.0131.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.970.1142.1+1.867%
vs Weaker (12)76.264.5140.7+11.792%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H07/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A14/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
78-51
78
51
+27
H17/01
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A21/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
H28/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
71-102
71
102
-31
A31/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H04/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
73-99
73
99
-26
A07/02
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-35
49-37
33-24
38-41
31-30
47-21
29-40
35-27
36-38
38-43
39-31
25-33
29-46
42-56
41-30
31-40
27-50
46-49
34-26
36-33
147.5Avg total
72.8Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.871.4147.2+4.464%
Season at home (16)78.867.0145.8+11.881%
Season away (9)70.679.2149.8-8.733%
Last 10 (10)72.874.7147.5-1.950%
Last 5 (5)72.482.2154.6-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.286.8161.0-12.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.670.9145.5+3.760%
vs Weaker (8)78.262.9141.1+15.488%
This opponent (George Mason) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.8-3.81st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.8-3.81st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +0.7+0.7
George MasonDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
George MasonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#27
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H10/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A14/01
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H19/01
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A24/01
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H29/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H05/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H07/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A11/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A14/02
NCAA
68.6Avg total
32.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.533.868.3+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.832.166.9+2.863%-
Last 30 away (11)33.836.970.7-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)32.436.268.6-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)29.236.465.6-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.036.064.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.935.468.3-2.533%-
vs Weaker (12)35.832.868.6+3.167%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H07/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A14/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H17/01
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A21/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/01
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H28/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A31/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H04/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A07/02
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H15/02
NCAA
67.9Avg total
32.9Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.733.469.1+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.231.269.4+6.984%-
Last 30 away (11)31.437.368.6-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)32.935.067.9-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.036.670.6-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.039.871.8-7.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.531.666.1+2.967%-
vs Weaker (8)39.531.571.0+8.075%-
This opponent (George Mason) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
George Mason wins
3
Dayton wins
DateGameScore
16/01/25Dayton v George Mason59-67
22/02/24George Mason v Dayton71-67
25/02/23Dayton v George Mason69-74
23/01/22George Mason v Dayton50-49
06/02/21Dayton v George Mason74-65
02/01/21Dayton v George Mason74-65
26/02/20George Mason v Dayton55-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AGeorge Washington53-72
11/02/26ARichmond Spiders70-82
07/02/26HSaint Josephs Hawks60-52
05/02/26HDuquesne65-71
31/01/26ASt. Bonaventure77-73
29/01/26HDavidson60-52
24/01/26ARhode Island65-74
19/01/26HGeorge Washington69-64
14/01/26ALoyola Chicago82-74
10/01/26HVCU Rams86-80
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HDavidson70-59
07/02/26AVCU Rams73-99
04/02/26HSt. Bonaventure72-70
31/01/26ASt. Louis Billikens71-102
28/01/26HRhode Island76-81 OT
24/01/26ASaint Josephs Hawks74-81
21/01/26ALa Salle64-67
17/01/26HLoyola Chicago78-51
14/01/26ADuquesne71-65
07/01/26HGeorge Washington79-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

George Mason
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL81%
HomeWWWLW94%
AwayWLWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %81%94%60%
Points / game74.576.072.2
Allowed / game67.364.671.5
Point differential+7.3+11.4+0.7
Avg total141.8140.6143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dayton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW64%
HomeWWLWW81%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25169
Win %64%81%33%
Points / game75.878.870.6
Allowed / game71.467.079.2
Point differential+4.4+11.8-8.7
Avg total147.2145.8149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %12%12%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens2624292%90.267.8+22.3
2 George Mason2621581%74.567.3+7.3
3 VCU Rams2721678%83.772.6+11.1
4 Dayton2516964%75.871.4+4.4
5 Duquesne25151060%82.476.4+6.0
6 Davidson25151060%73.968.7+5.2
7 Saint Josephs Hawks25151060%73.671.4+2.2
8 Rhode Island26151158%72.568.8+3.7
9 St. Bonaventure25141156%76.674.0+2.6
10 George Washington27151256%82.973.6+9.3
11 Fordham26141254%70.865.1+5.7
12 Richmond Spiders26141254%77.873.8+4.0
13 La Salle2571828%65.872.6-6.9
14 Loyola Chicago2662023%67.277.9-10.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
George Mason363167
Dayton433982
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