George Mason faces UMBC Retrievers in a tightly contested NCAA matchup on 2 November 2026, with no clear favourite as the game is finely balanced. George Mason has won 2 of its last 5 games, including a 86-57 victory over St. Louis Billikens, while UMBC has won 4 of its last 5, highlighted by a 91-69 win over UMass Lowell. In their only prior meeting, George Mason prevailed 69-53 on 21 December 2019. Pythia rates George Mason as the favourite with a 55% chance of winning against UMBC's 45%, projecting a 71-70 score for a total of 141.3 points. The home team line is -17.5, with only a 9% chance of covering, and the over-146.0 line has a 38% probability of hitting, while the game has a 5% chance of going into overtime. The contest will hinge on whether George Mason can maintain its recent momentum against a UMBC side that has been on a winning streak.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 65.7 | 68.8 | 134.5 | -3.1 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 68.4 | 65.8 | 134.2 | +2.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 86.0 | 57.0 | 143.0 | +29.0 | 100% |
| vs Similar (17) | 68.5 | 69.2 | 137.8 | -0.7 | 53% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 76.7 | 66.2 | 142.9 | +10.5 | 91% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 80.3 | 64.0 | 144.3 | +16.3 | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.6 | 67.0 | 151.6 | +17.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (3) | 68.0 | 89.7 | 157.7 | -21.7 | 0% |
| vs Weaker (27) | 77.8 | 64.9 | 142.7 | +12.9 | 81% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 69.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 34.5 | 34.2 | 68.7 | +0.2 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 35.1 | 32.2 | 67.3 | +2.9 | 67% | 33% |
| Last 30 away (12) | 33.5 | 37.3 | 70.8 | -3.8 | 25% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.5 | 34.9 | 67.4 | -2.4 | 30% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.8 | 32.6 | 67.4 | +2.2 | 60% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 43.0 | 34.0 | 77.0 | +9.0 | 100% | 100% |
| vs Similar (17) | 32.5 | 34.8 | 67.2 | -2.3 | 35% | 35% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 36.5 | 33.7 | 70.2 | +2.7 | 64% | 45% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 69.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.4 | 31.7 | 67.1 | +3.7 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 36.6 | 30.1 | 66.7 | +6.6 | 75% | 31% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 34.0 | 33.6 | 67.6 | +0.4 | 43% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.0 | 30.9 | 68.9 | +7.1 | 80% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.8 | 32.0 | 70.8 | +6.8 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (3) | 29.0 | 47.0 | 76.0 | -18.0 | 0% | 67% |
| vs Weaker (27) | 36.1 | 30.0 | 66.1 | +6.1 | 67% | 37% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC Retrievers +10 | 77.8% | 3.65 | 3.65 | - | - | - | - | +52.3pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +11 | 80.4% | 3.25 | 3.25 | - | - | - | - | +51.8pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +12.5 | 83.1% | 2.94 | 3.15 | 2.72 | - | - | - | +51.6pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +12 | 82.8% | 2.90 | 2.90 | - | - | - | - | +50.8pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +13.5 | 85.2% | 2.71 | 2.87 | 2.55 | - | - | - | +50.8pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +11.5 | 80.9% | 3.08 | 3.10 | 3.05 | - | - | - | +50.8pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +9.5 | 75.8% | 3.70 | 3.70 | - | - | - | - | +50.5pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +10.5 | 78.4% | 3.28 | 3.35 | 3.20 | - | - | - | +50.2pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +13 | 84.9% | 2.65 | 2.65 | - | - | - | - | +49.8pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +14.5 | 87.0% | 2.47 | 2.65 | 2.30 | - | - | - | +49.5pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +14 | 86.8% | 2.50 | 2.50 | - | - | - | - | +49.3pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +17.5 | 91.5% | 1.96 | 2.21 | 2.12 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.83 | +48.5pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +18 | 92.6% | 1.97 | 2.12 | 2.00 | 1.80 | - | - | +47.8pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +15 | 88.5% | 2.22 | 2.22 | - | - | - | - | +46.9pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +15.5 | 88.7% | 2.28 | 2.45 | 2.27 | 2.12 | - | - | +46.9pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +16 | 90.0% | 2.12 | 2.18 | 2.05 | - | - | - | +46.5pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +18.5 | 92.7% | 1.92 | 2.03 | 1.98 | 1.95 | 1.74 | - | +45.8pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +19 | 93.6% | 1.84 | 1.93 | 1.91 | 1.68 | - | - | +44.5pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +16.5 | 90.2% | 2.12 | 2.27 | 2.08 | 2.00 | - | - | +44.5pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +17 | 91.4% | 1.95 | 1.99 | 1.95 | 1.91 | - | - | +43.6pp | Lost |
| George Mason under 80.5 | 81.3% | 2.42 | 2.62 | 2.22 | - | - | - | +43.2pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +19.5 | 93.7% | 1.86 | 2.00 | 1.91 | 1.88 | 1.87 | 1.85 | +42.1pp | Lost |
| George Mason under 78.5 | 75.6% | 2.67 | 2.67 | - | - | - | - | +41.7pp | Lost |
| George Mason under 79.5 | 78.6% | 2.41 | 2.50 | 2.42 | 2.30 | - | - | +41.1pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +20 | 94.5% | 1.71 | 1.80 | 1.76 | 1.58 | - | - | +40.5pp | Lost |
| George Mason under 77.5 | 72.5% | 3.02 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 2.75 | - | - | +39.6pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +22 | 96.0% | 1.55 | 1.67 | 1.43 | - | - | - | +39.2pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +20.5 | 94.6% | 1.72 | 1.83 | 1.78 | 1.74 | 1.69 | 1.55 | +38.4pp | Lost |
| George Mason under 83 | 87.8% | 1.85 | 1.85 | - | - | - | - | +37.8pp | Won |
| UMBC Retrievers +22.5 | 96.0% | 1.53 | 1.62 | 1.57 | 1.40 | - | - | +37.5pp | Lost |
| George Mason under 81.5 | 83.8% | 1.94 | 2.05 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 1.91 | 1.86 | +37.3pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +21 | 95.3% | 1.65 | 1.82 | 1.63 | 1.50 | - | - | +37.1pp | Lost |
| George Mason under 82.5 | 86.1% | 1.88 | 1.91 | 1.89 | 1.87 | 1.86 | 1.85 | +36.6pp | Won |
| George Mason under 83.5 | 88.1% | 1.81 | 1.86 | 1.83 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.78 | +35.8pp | Won |
| George Mason under 82 | 85.7% | 1.84 | 1.85 | 1.83 | - | - | - | +35.5pp | Push |
| UMBC Retrievers +21.5 | 95.4% | 1.62 | 1.76 | 1.67 | 1.58 | 1.47 | - | +35.4pp | Lost |
| George Mason under 84.5 | 89.9% | 1.67 | 1.67 | - | - | - | - | +34.6pp | Won |
| UMBC Retrievers +23.5 | 96.6% | 1.42 | 1.50 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +31.1pp | Lost |
| George Mason under 86.5 | 92.9% | 1.48 | 1.53 | 1.44 | - | - | - | +31.1pp | Won |
| George Mason under 85.5 | 91.5% | 1.50 | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.47 | - | - | +29.0pp | Won |
| UMBC Retrievers +24.5 | 97.1% | 1.35 | 1.42 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +28.6pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +23 | 96.6% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +27.6pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers over 63 | 75.6% | 1.88 | 1.88 | - | - | - | - | +26.4pp | Lost |
| George Mason under 87.5 | 94.1% | 1.35 | 1.37 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +25.8pp | Won |
| UMBC Retrievers +24 | 97.1% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +25.7pp | Lost |
| George Mason under 88.5 | 95.1% | 1.30 | 1.31 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +24.7pp | Won |
| UMBC Retrievers over 63.5 | 73.2% | 1.88 | 1.95 | 1.91 | 1.90 | 1.86 | 1.85 | +22.8pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers +25 | 97.6% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +22.8pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers over 62.5 | 76.3% | 1.79 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.75 | +22.7pp | Lost |
| George Mason under 89.5 | 96.0% | 1.26 | 1.30 | 1.22 | - | - | - | +22.4pp | Won |
| UMBC Retrievers over 64 | 72.3% | 1.84 | 1.85 | 1.83 | - | - | - | +22.0pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers over 60.5 | 81.9% | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +20.6pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers over 57.5 | 88.6% | 1.29 | 1.30 | 1.29 | 1.27 | - | - | +17.0pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers over 59.5 | 84.4% | 1.36 | 1.42 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +16.9pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers over 61.5 | 79.2% | 1.53 | 1.62 | 1.50 | 1.47 | - | - | +16.7pp | Lost |
| George Mason under 91.5 | 97.4% | 1.13 | 1.14 | 1.13 | - | - | - | +15.5pp | Won |
| UMBC Retrievers over 58.5 | 86.6% | 1.28 | 1.34 | 1.29 | 1.22 | - | - | +15.0pp | Lost |
| UMBC Retrievers over 55.5 | 92.0% | 1.16 | 1.18 | 1.14 | - | - | - | +11.8pp | Lost |
| Under 155 | 80.3% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +10.3pp | Won |
| Under 150.5 | 71.5% | 1.51 | 1.52 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +9.9pp | Won |
| Under 150 | 70.9% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +9.7pp | Won |
| Under 151.5 | 73.5% | 1.45 | 1.47 | 1.43 | - | - | - | +9.6pp | Won |
| Under 151 | 73.0% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +9.6pp | Won |
| Under 155.5 | 80.6% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +9.2pp | Won |
| Under 152.5 | 75.4% | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +9.1pp | Won |
| UMBC Retrievers over 56.5 | 90.4% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Lost |
| Under 152 | 75.0% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| Under 153.5 | 77.3% | 1.35 | 1.37 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +8.6pp | Won |
| Under 153 | 76.8% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Won |
| Under 154 | 78.6% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Won |
| Under 157.5 | 83.7% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Under 154.5 | 79.0% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Under 162.5 | 89.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Under 156.5 | 82.2% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Under 172.5 | 96.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Under 167.5 | 94.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Under 166.5 | 93.3% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Under 161.5 | 88.7% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Under 171.5 | 96.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Over 121.5 | 88.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -4.3pp | Won |
| Over 122.5 | 87.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -5.6pp | Won |
| UMBC Retrievers under 81.5 | 86.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -6.8pp | Won |
| Over 126.5 | 81.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -8.3pp | Won |
| UMBC Retrievers under 79.5 | 82.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -9.2pp | Won |
| Over 127.5 | 79.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -10.0pp | Won |
| Over 131.5 | 72.0% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -12.4pp | Won |
| UMBC Retrievers under 77.5 | 77.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -12.7pp | Won |
| George Mason over 63.5 | 77.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -14.9pp | Won |
| UMBC Retrievers under 75.5 | 70.7% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -16.4pp | Won |
| George Mason over 64.5 | 74.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -17.3pp | Won |
| George Mason over 65.5 | 71.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -20.5pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21/12/19 | George Mason v UMBC Retrievers | 69-53 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 | H | St. Bonaventure | 57-63 |
| 07/03/26 | H | St. Louis Billikens | 86-57 |
| 04/03/26 | A | VCU Rams | 65-70 |
| 28/02/26 | H | St. Bonaventure | 71-58 |
| 26/02/26 | A | Saint Josephs Hawks | 63-81 |
| 19/02/26 | H | Dayton | 67-82 |
| 14/02/26 | A | George Washington | 53-72 |
| 11/02/26 | A | Richmond Spiders | 70-82 |
| 07/02/26 | H | Saint Josephs Hawks | 60-52 |
| 05/02/26 | H | Duquesne | 65-71 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 | A | Howard | 83-86 |
| 14/03/26 | H | Vermont | 74-59 |
| 10/03/26 | H | UMass Lowell | 91-69 |
| 07/03/26 | H | New Hampshire Wildcats | 84-69 |
| 03/03/26 | A | NJIT | 91-52 |
| 28/02/26 | A | UMass Lowell | 84-60 |
| 26/02/26 | H | Bryant University | 70-58 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Albany Great Danes | 66-62 |
| 19/02/26 | H | Vermont | 75-62 |
| 14/02/26 | A | New Hampshire Wildcats | 85-63 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 146 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 146 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 110.0 | 56.0 | +54.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 97.0 | 51.0 | +46.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 117.0 | 73.0 | +44.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 55.0 | +39.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 113.0 | 76.0 | +37.0 | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 90.0 | 53.0 | +37.0 | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 64.0 | +30.0 | |
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 74.0 | +21.0 | |
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 72.0 | 57.0 | +15.0 | |
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 63.0 | 49.0 | +14.0 | |
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 84.0 | 76.0 | +8.0 | |
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 103.0 | 98.0 | +5.0 | |
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 89.0 | 87.0 | +2.0 | |
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 74.0 | 72.0 | +2.0 | |
| 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 87.0 | 89.0 | -2.0 | |
| 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 72.0 | 74.0 | -2.0 | |
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 98.0 | 103.0 | -5.0 | |
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 76.0 | 84.0 | -8.0 | |
| 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 49.0 | 63.0 | -14.0 | |
| 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 57.0 | 72.0 | -15.0 | |
| 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 74.0 | 95.0 | -21.0 | |
| 22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 64.0 | 94.0 | -30.0 | |
| 23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 76.0 | 113.0 | -37.0 | |
| 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 53.0 | 90.0 | -37.0 | |
| 25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 55.0 | 94.0 | -39.0 | |
| 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 73.0 | 117.0 | -44.0 | |
| 27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 51.0 | 97.0 | -46.0 | |
| 28 | North American Stallions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 56.0 | 110.0 | -54.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 49 | 82 | |
| 27 | 27 | 54 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.