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George Washington vs Harvard Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 74-64
Projected total 138.0
Final 85-57
40-33 45-24
Position#23
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game50.0
George Washington 🏆
USA
Vs
83%
17%
■ GEOR 83%■ HARV 17%
Pythia win probability
Harvard
USA
Position#218
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game55.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · George Washington v Harvard
13 Nov 2026
GEOR85
HARV57
21 Dec 2019
GEOR75
HARV88
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

George Washington faces Harvard on 13 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model designating George Washington as the clear favourite, assigning an 83% chance of victory largely because the Cougars have gone 3-0 this season, averaging 78.3 points per game while allowing only 50.0, and sit at 28th in the league; Harvard, 2-1 with 68.7 points scored and 55.3 allowed, sits 154th. George Washington has won all three of its games, including a 91-39 rout of Navy, a 75-61 win over Hampton, and a 69-50 victory against Elon, all at home, and has a 4-1 record in its last five outings. Harvard has a 1-1 road record, with a recent 70-74 loss to Northeastern and a 63-47 win over Chicago Maroons, and a 3-2 record over its last five games. The only previous encounter ended with Harvard defeating George Washington 88-75 on 21 December 2019. Pythia projects a 74-64 score, a total of 138.0 points, and gives George Washington a 44% chance to cover the -12.5 spread while the over on 134.5 carries a 58% probability; the game has a 3% likelihood of overtime. The Cougars' dominant defensive numbers suggest they will likely control the game's tempo.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

George Washington winWon
83.0%fair 1.20
Best odds1.12
Implied86.7%
Edge-3.7pp
Harvard winLost
17.0%fair 5.88
Best odds7.25
Implied13.3%
Edge+3.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

George WashingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#27
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A18/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
104-77
104
77
+27
A24/02
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H28/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
91-82 OT
91
82
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A07/03
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A12/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A13/03
NCAA
Navy
#85
W
91-39
91
39
+52
H03/11
NCAA
Hampton
#313
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Elon
#231
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-48
29-41
45-35
59-42
31-34
35-34
36-35
37-38
27-31
35-37
38-17
28-45
48-34
33-54
44-24
47-15
41-27
34-34
23-22
46-28
146.4Avg total
78.0Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.350.0128.3+28.3100%
Season at home (3)78.350.0128.3+28.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.068.4146.4+9.660%
Last 5 (5)76.460.0136.4+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.782.3158.0-6.70%
vs Similar (8)72.473.1145.5-0.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)83.869.7153.6+14.168%
This opponent (Harvard) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HarvardUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brown
#319
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H14/02
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
75-76 OT
75
76
-1
H14/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
73-54
73
54
+19
A21/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A28/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H07/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
60-62 OT
60
62
-2
H14/03
NCAA
MIT
#409
W
73-45
73
45
+28
H03/11
NCAA
Chicago Maroons
#367
W
63-47
63
47
+16
A08/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#238
L
70-74 OT
70
74
-4
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-22
25-31
34-30
32-36
25-24
48-30
21-33
37-23
31-21
30-43
38-33
43-38
26-30
27-23
39-22
34-23
35-20
28-27
19-29
41-31
127.2Avg total
67.0Scored
60.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)68.755.3124.0+13.367%
Season at home (1)73.045.0118.0+28.0100%
Season away (2)66.560.5127.0+6.050%
Last 10 (10)67.060.2127.2+6.860%
Last 5 (5)69.459.8129.2+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)67.075.3142.3-8.333%
vs Similar (14)69.365.8135.1+3.557%
vs Weaker (11)69.666.9136.5+2.755%
This opponent (George Washington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 128.5Actual: Over 128.5
Over 128.5
71.8%
@ 1.50+10.3pp
Under 128.5
28.2%
@ 2.40-10.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Under
Betano
2.40
Over/Under 133.5 · main lineActual: Over 133.5
Over 133.5
60.6%
@ 1.95+10.0pp
Under 133.5
39.4%
@ 1.93-10.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.95
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.85
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Over/Under 138.5Actual: Over 138.5
Over 138.5
48.5%
@ 2.55+12.4pp
Under 138.5
51.5%
@ 1.44-12.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
Under
Betano
1.44

📊 3. Team Totals

George Washington total 68.5Actual: George Washington over 68.5
Over 68.5
no forecast
@ 1.36
Under 68.5
no forecast
@ 2.70
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Under
Betano
2.70
George Washington total 73 · main lineActual: George Washington over 73
Over 73
56.1%
@ 1.85+5.8pp
Under 73
43.9%
@ 1.87-5.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
George Washington total 77Actual: George Washington over 77
Over 77
39.5%
Under 77
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Harvard total 57Push
Over 57
74.7%
Under 57
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Harvard total 61 · main lineActual: Harvard under 61
Over 61
60.0%
@ 1.85+10.0pp
Under 61
40.0%
@ 1.85-10.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Harvard total 65Actual: Harvard under 65
Over 65
43.8%
Under 65
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread George Washington -15.5Actual: George Washington -15.5
GEOR -15.5
33.7%
@ 2.30-6.7pp
HARV +15.5
66.3%
@ 1.55+6.7pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.27
HARV
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.55
Spread George Washington -12.5 · main lineActual: George Washington -12.5
GEOR -12.5
44.0%
@ 1.89-7.0pp
HARV +12.5
56.0%
@ 1.96+7.0pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Bet365
1.89
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.87
Marathon Be
1.85
SBO
1.85
HARV
Pinnacle
1.96
Bet365
1.92
Betano
1.91
Marathon Be
1.88
SBO
1.85
Spread George Washington -9.5Actual: George Washington -9.5
GEOR -9.5
54.8%
@ 1.54-5.6pp
HARV +9.5
45.2%
@ 2.35+5.6pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.52
HARV
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.32

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +4.0+4.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +4.0+4.0
George WashingtonHarvard
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
George WashingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#27
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A18/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A24/02
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H28/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H05/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
38-17
38
17
+21
A12/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A13/03
NCAA
Navy
#85
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H03/11
NCAA
Hampton
#313
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Elon
#231
W
23-22
23
22
+1
H11/11
NCAA
68.6Avg total
37.9Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 63.5
Last 30 (30)39.533.172.6+6.463%77%
Last 30 at home (15)39.330.770.0+8.773%73%
Last 30 away (15)39.735.575.1+4.253%80%
Last 10 (10)37.930.768.6+7.270%70%
Last 5 (5)38.824.863.6+14.0100%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.332.371.7+7.067%67%
vs Similar (8)37.035.472.4+1.650%75%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.632.272.8+8.468%79%
This opponent (Harvard) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HarvardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brown
#319
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H14/02
NCAA
Yale
#22
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H14/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A28/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
31-21
31
21
+10
A28/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H14/03
NCAA
MIT
#409
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H03/11
NCAA
Chicago Maroons
#367
W
35-20
35
20
+15
A08/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#238
L
19-29
19
29
-10
A11/11
NCAA
56.3Avg total
29.9Scored
26.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 63.5
Last 30 (30)31.730.462.1+1.363%47%
Last 30 at home (12)33.830.464.2+3.467%50%
Last 30 away (18)30.330.460.7-0.161%44%
Last 10 (10)29.926.456.3+3.570%20%
Last 5 (5)31.426.858.2+4.660%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)32.032.364.3-0.367%67%
vs Similar (14)31.629.461.0+2.371%43%
vs Weaker (11)30.832.963.7-2.145%55%
This opponent (George Washington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: George Washington win
GEOR win
no forecast
@ 1.19
HARV win
no forecast
@ 4.75
1st half Spread George Washington -6.5 · main lineActual: George Washington -6.5
GEOR -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
HARV +6.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Over/Under 63.5 · main lineActual: Over 63.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
George Washington 1st half total 35 · main lineActual: George Washington over 35
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Harvard 1st half total 28.5 · main lineActual: Harvard over 28.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.98
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Spread George Washington -7.5Actual: Harvard +7.5
GEOR -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
HARV +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Spread George Washington -5.5Actual: George Washington -5.5
GEOR -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
HARV +5.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 61.5Actual: Over 61.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.62
Under
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 65.5Actual: Over 65.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.27
Under
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Spread George Washington -8.5Actual: Harvard +8.5
GEOR -8.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
HARV +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
1st half Spread George Washington -4.5Actual: George Washington -4.5
GEOR -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
HARV +4.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
1st half Over/Under 59.5Actual: Over 59.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.47
Under
no forecast
@ 2.70
1st half Over/Under 67.5Actual: Over 67.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.65
Under
no forecast
@ 1.42
1st half Spread George Washington -9.5Actual: Harvard +9.5
GEOR -9.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
HARV +9.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
1st half Spread George Washington -3.5Actual: George Washington -3.5
GEOR -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
HARV +3.5
no forecast
@ 2.67
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: George Washington (regulation)
GEOR
no forecast
@ 1.30
Draw
no forecast
@ 23.00
HARV
no forecast
@ 4.70

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
GEOR win + total 133.5
🔒 Pro
HARV win + total 133.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: GEOR leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Harvard over 57.572.3%1.50
Betano
1.50		----+11.8ppLost
Harvard over 56.575.5%1.40
Betano
1.40		----+11.0ppWon
Over 128.571.8%1.50
Betano
1.50		----+10.3ppWon
Over 127.573.9%1.44
Betano
1.44		----+10.0ppWon
Over 126.575.9%1.40
Betano
1.40		----+9.4ppWon
Harvard over 55.578.6%1.31
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30		---+8.9ppWon
Harvard +17.572.5%1.40
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40		---+6.3ppLost
Harvard +18.575.3%1.33
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33		---+5.9ppLost
Harvard +1771.6%1.41
Bet365
1.41		----+5.9ppLost
Harvard +19.577.9%1.28
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.27		---+5.7ppLost
Harvard +1874.6%1.35
Bet365
1.35		----+5.6ppLost
Harvard +1977.3%1.29
Bet365
1.29		----+5.4ppLost
Harvard +2079.9%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+5.2ppLost
Harvard +20.580.4%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+5.1ppLost
Harvard over 53.583.9%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+5.1ppWon
Harvard over 51.588.3%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+4.5ppWon
Overtime: no96.7%1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
Betano
1.01		---+4.3ppWon
George Washington (regulation)81.0%1.12
Marathon Bet
1.12
Betano
1.12		---+0.5ppWon
George Washington -4.572.3%1.27
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.22		----1.0ppWon
George Washington win83.0%1.10
Marathon Bet
1.12
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Bet365
1.10		-3.7ppWon
George Washington -571.3%1.23
Bet365
1.23		-----4.0ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
George Washington wins
1
Harvard wins
DateGameScore
21/12/19George Washington v Harvard75-88
George Washingtonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HElon69-50
07/11/26HHampton75-61
03/11/26HNavy91-39
13/03/26ASt. Louis Billikens81-88
12/03/26AFordham66-62
07/03/26ALoyola Chicago62-68
05/03/26HSt. Bonaventure91-82 OT
28/02/26HDayton66-68
24/02/26ALa Salle104-77
18/02/26AVCU Rams75-89
Harvardlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ANortheastern70-74 OT
08/11/26AChicago Maroons63-47
03/11/26HMIT73-45
14/03/26HPenn60-62 OT
07/03/26HColumbia81-71
28/02/26APenn61-64
28/02/26APrinceton58-56
21/02/26ACornell73-54
14/02/26HYale75-76 OT
14/02/26HBrown56-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

George Washington
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game78.378.3-
Allowed / game50.050.0-
Point differential+28.3+28.3-
Avg total128.3128.3-
Over 133.533%33%-
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Harvard
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game68.773.066.5
Allowed / game55.345.060.5
Point differential+13.3+28.0+6.0
Avg total124.0118.0127.0
Over 133.533%0%50%
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens330100%102.371.3+31.0
2 George Washington330100%78.350.0+28.3
3 Rhode Island440100%81.259.2+22.0
4 George Mason330100%75.357.7+17.7
5 Davidson330100%75.360.7+14.7
6 Saint Josephs Hawks330100%77.370.0+7.3
7 Duquesne330100%72.766.7+6.0
8 Richmond Spiders43175%89.064.0+25.0
9 St. Bonaventure32167%82.364.0+18.3
10 VCU Rams32167%85.770.0+15.7
11 Loyola Chicago32167%82.070.7+11.3
12 Fordham32167%75.376.7-1.3
13 Dayton31233%84.779.3+5.3
14 La Salle31233%67.384.7-17.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dartmouth43175%83.066.5+16.5
2 Princeton43175%68.861.2+7.5
3 Columbia32167%88.765.7+23.0
4 Harvard32167%68.755.3+13.3
5 Cornell42250%78.275.8+2.5
6 Yale31233%69.379.7-10.3
7 Penn31233%74.786.0-11.3
8 Brown41325%67.068.0-1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
George Washington404585
Harvard332457
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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