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UMBC Retrievers vs Vermont Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 69-79
39-41 30-38
Position#280
Record13-17
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Vermont 🏆
USA
Position#97
Record18-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game63.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UMBC Retrievers v Vermont
21 Jan 2027
UMBC v VERM
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
UMBC74
VERM59
19 Feb 2026
UMBC75
VERM62
01 Mar 2025
UMBC69
VERM79
10 Feb 2024
UMBC70
VERM72
01 Jan 2023
UMBC61
VERM74
15 Jan 2022
UMBC69
VERM86
19 Feb 2021
UMBC66
VERM55
18 Feb 2021
UMBC71
VERM80
11 Jan 2020
UMBC50
VERM74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vermont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#97
W
80-63
80
63
+17
A25/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
86-92
86
92
-6
H31/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
67-83
67
83
-16
H01/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
L
50-73
50
73
-23
A08/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H13/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A15/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
79-98
79
98
-19
A20/02
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
95-91
95
91
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-28
36-35
40-47
46-45
36-46
31-37
45-39
33-40
17-27
33-46
31-27
50-50
39-42
40-39
44-52
35-46
46-42
49-49
36-43
38-35
158.4Avg total
76.9Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.578.6159.1+1.943%
Season at home (16)83.675.4159.0+8.250%
Season away (14)77.082.3159.3-5.336%
Last 10 (10)76.981.5158.4-4.630%
Last 5 (5)81.685.0166.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.091.4164.4-18.40%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.878.6155.4-1.941%
vs Weaker (7)93.071.1164.1+21.971%
This opponent (Vermont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#353
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H24/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#280
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H25/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A30/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H01/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A09/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H14/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A15/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H21/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H22/02
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-20
34-44
28-44
35-36
31-36
41-39
28-23
27-26
37-36
31-26
49-30
30-29
28-22
37-39
30-33
29-22
41-26
44-35
29-30
42-31
131.2Avg total
68.5Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)66.763.9130.6+2.962%
Season at home (15)73.061.3134.3+11.780%
Season away (14)60.066.6126.6-6.643%
Last 10 (10)68.562.7131.2+5.880%
Last 5 (5)71.859.4131.2+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)56.070.8126.8-14.840%
vs Similar ◀ (15)62.564.9127.3-2.453%
vs Weaker (8)70.862.1132.9+8.675%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +2.3+2.3
UMBC RetrieversVermont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#97
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A25/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H31/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H01/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A07/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
L
17-27
17
27
-10
A08/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H13/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A15/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A20/02
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H27/02
NCAA
77.1Avg total
37.8Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.137.875.9+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.836.476.2+3.450%-
Last 30 away (14)36.139.475.5-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.377.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.280.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.446.083.4-8.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)34.637.171.7-2.535%-
vs Weaker (7)44.635.480.0+9.171%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#353
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H24/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#280
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H25/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A30/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A09/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H14/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
W
28-22
28
22
+6
A15/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H21/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H22/02
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A28/02
NCAA
63.5Avg total
33.5Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.530.462.9+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.829.666.4+7.273%-
Last 30 away (15)28.231.259.4-3.040%-
Last 10 (10)33.530.063.5+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)35.428.263.6+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.033.262.2-4.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)30.730.361.0+0.553%-
vs Weaker (8)34.630.264.9+4.462%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UMBC Retrievers wins
8
Vermont wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25HAlbany Great Danes74-78
22/02/25HNJIT95-91
20/02/25AUMass Lowell79-98
15/02/25ABryant University79-81
13/02/25HBinghamton81-77
08/02/25AMaine Black Bears50-73
07/02/25ANew Hampshire Wildcats78-79
01/02/25HUMass Lowell67-83
31/01/25HBryant University86-92
25/01/25AVermont80-63
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25ANJIT71-61
22/02/25HUMass Lowell85-61
21/02/25HBryant University59-55
15/02/25AMaine Black Bears65-61
14/02/25HNew Hampshire Wildcats79-59
09/02/25AAlbany Great Danes68-62
01/02/25HMaine Black Bears55-49
30/01/25ABinghamton72-75
25/01/25HUMBC Retrievers63-80
24/01/25HNJIT68-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game80.583.677.0
Allowed / game78.675.482.3
Point differential+1.9+8.2-5.3
Avg total159.1159.0159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)40% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %10%0%21%
Vermont
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %62%80%43%
Points / game66.773.060.0
Allowed / game63.961.366.6
Point differential+2.9+11.7-6.6
Avg total130.6134.3126.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)80% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bryant University29181162%81.974.9+7.0
2 Vermont29181162%66.763.9+2.9
3 Maine Black Bears29171259%71.766.0+5.7
4 UMass Lowell29161355%80.375.0+5.3
5 Binghamton29151452%70.471.2-0.8
6 UMBC Retrievers30131743%80.578.6+1.9
7 NJIT2952417%65.172.8-7.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers393069
Vermont413879
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