Georgia faces Florida Gulf Coast on 9 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model designating Georgia as the clear favourite thanks to its undefeated 2-0 record, 84.5 points scored per game and 69.5 allowed, placing it 102nd in the league, and a 95% chance to win. Georgia has won both of its games, scoring 84.5 and allowing 69.5 on average, and it has remained unbeaten at home with a 2-0 home record and 84.5 points per game, 69.5 allowed; its last five games were all victories, including a 91-77 win over Presbyterian, a 78-62 win over N. Carolina Central, and a 98-90 away win over Portugal. Florida Gulf Coast has a 1-1 record, 92.0 points scored and 81.5 allowed, 208th in the league, and a 0-1 road record with 95.0 points scored and 96.0 allowed; its last five games include three wins and two losses, with a recent 89-67 home win over New College (FL), a 95-96 away loss to UCF Knights, and a 63-73 away loss to Central Arkansas. Pythia projects a 90-70 score, 160.5 total points, a 95% probability for Georgia to win, 5% for Florida Gulf Coast, a -23.5 home line with a 36% chance of covering, a 157.5 total line with a 57% over probability, and a 1% chance of overtime. The next game will see Georgia maintain its early-season dominance.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Georgia winWon
95.2%fair 1.05
Best odds1.03
Implied94.6%
Edge+0.6pp
Florida Gulf Coast winLost
4.8%fair 20.75
Best odds26.00
Implied5.4%
Edge-0.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Georgia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 152.5Actual: Under 152.5
Over 152.5
68.8%
@ 1.23-6.5pp
Under 152.5
31.2%
@ 3.75+6.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.23
Under
Bet365
3.75
Over/Under 157.5 · main lineActual: Under 157.5
Over 157.5
57.1%
@ 1.83+2.2pp
Under 157.5
42.9%
@ 2.40-2.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.52
Under
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.25
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.83
Over/Under 162.5Actual: Under 162.5
Over 162.5
44.8%
@ 2.00-3.8pp
Under 162.5
55.2%
@ 1.85+3.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.93
Marathon Be
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Bet365
1.74
Marathon Be
1.70
📊 3. Team Totals
Georgia total 88Actual: Georgia under 88
Over 88
58.3%
Under 88
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Georgia total 92 · main lineActual: Georgia under 92
Over 92
41.6%
@ 1.85-8.7pp
Under 92
58.4%
@ 1.87+8.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Georgia total 96Actual: Georgia under 96
Over 96
26.3%
Under 96
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Florida Gulf Coast total 65Actual: Florida Gulf Coast over 65
Over 65
71.3%
Under 65
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Florida Gulf Coast total 69 · main lineActual: Florida Gulf Coast over 69
Over 69
55.7%
@ 1.85+5.3pp
Under 69
44.3%
@ 1.88-5.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
Under
Marathon Be
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
Florida Gulf Coast total 73Actual: Florida Gulf Coast under 73
Over 73
39.2%
Under 73
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Georgia -26Actual: Florida Gulf Coast +26
GEOR -26
no forecast
@ 2.20
FLOR +26
no forecast
@ 1.60
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Bet365
2.20
FLOR
Bet365
1.60
Spread Georgia -23 · main lineActual: Florida Gulf Coast +23
GEOR -23
37.3%
@ 1.92-12.7pp
FLOR +23
62.7%
@ 1.95+12.7pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Pinnacle
1.92
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Be
1.80
FLOR
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathon Be
1.91
Spread Georgia -20Actual: Florida Gulf Coast +20
GEOR -20
48.1%
@ 1.52-13.1pp
FLOR +20
51.9%
@ 2.40+13.1pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Bet365
1.52
FLOR
Bet365
2.40
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
GeorgiaFlorida Gulf Coast
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Georgia under 97.5
77.7%
1.33
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
-
+9.7pp
Won
Georgia under 95.5
71.2%
1.47
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
-
+9.7pp
Won
Georgia under 96.5
74.5%
1.37
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+7.6pp
Won
Georgia (regulation)
94.4%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Won
Florida Gulf Coast over 64.5
72.3%
1.37
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
-
+6.2pp
Won
Georgia under 100.5
85.6%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+6.1pp
Won
Georgia under 98.5
80.6%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
Georgia under 101.5
87.8%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+5.5pp
Won
Florida Gulf Coast over 63.5
75.5%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
+5.3pp
Won
Georgia under 102.5
89.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+5.3pp
Won
Florida Gulf Coast over 53.5
95.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.3pp
Won
Florida Gulf Coast over 59.5
86.3%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+4.0pp
Won
Florida Gulf Coast over 55.5
93.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.8pp
Won
Florida Gulf Coast over 61.5
81.4%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+3.6pp
Won
Florida Gulf Coast over 52.5
96.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Under 170
72.9%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+3.4pp
Won
Florida Gulf Coast over 51.5
97.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
Florida Gulf Coast over 54.5
94.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
Florida Gulf Coast over 57.5
90.2%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+3.0pp
Won
Under 170.5
73.5%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+3.0pp
Won
Georgia over 73.5
95.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Florida Gulf Coast over 56.5
91.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
Florida Gulf Coast over 62.5
78.6%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
Georgia over 72.5
96.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
Under 182.5
91.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+2.3pp
Won
Georgia over 75.5
92.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Won
Under 172.5
77.3%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+2.0pp
Won
Over 134.5
94.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Won
Georgia over 74.5
94.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Won
Florida Gulf Coast over 58.5
88.3%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+1.7pp
Won
Florida Gulf Coast over 60.5
83.9%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+1.7pp
Won
Under 177.5
85.5%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+1.6pp
Won
Under 169
70.8%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Won
Under 169.5
71.4%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+0.9pp
Won
Georgia over 76.5
91.3%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+0.9pp
Won
Over 139.5
90.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+0.7pp
Won
Georgia over 77.5
89.7%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+0.7pp
Won
Georgia win
95.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Won
Over 137.5
92.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.0pp
Won
Over 152
70.3%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
-0.2pp
Push
Georgia -2.5
93.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.5pp
Won
Under 179.5
88.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-0.9pp
Won
Over 151.5
70.9%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
-1.0pp
Won
Georgia over 78.5
87.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-1.0pp
Won
Georgia over 79.5
85.6%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-1.0pp
Won
Over 149.5
75.1%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-1.1pp
Won
Over 144.5
83.8%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Won
Georgia -3.5
92.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.5pp
Won
Georgia over 81.5
80.5%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
-1.8pp
Lost
Georgia over 84.5
71.1%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
-2.0pp
Lost
Over 142.5
86.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-2.7pp
Won
Under 174.5
80.9%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-3.0pp
Won
Georgia over 83.5
74.5%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-3.3pp
Lost
Georgia over 80.5
83.2%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-3.4pp
Lost
Georgia -7.5
85.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-3.8pp
Won
Georgia over 82.5
77.6%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
-4.7pp
Lost
Florida Gulf Coast under 79.5
81.8%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-4.9pp
Won
Florida Gulf Coast under 77.5
76.1%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
-5.3pp
Won
Florida Gulf Coast under 78.5
79.1%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-5.3pp
Won
Over 147.5
78.8%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-5.6pp
Won
Georgia -8.5
83.5%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-5.6pp
Lost
Georgia -12.5
73.3%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
-6.2pp
Lost
Georgia -13.5
70.3%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
-9.2pp
Lost
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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