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Georgia State vs Mercer Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 02 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#299
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#259
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game80.6
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Georgia State v Mercer
01 Dec 2026
GEOR v MERC
upcoming
28 Dec 2024
GEOR68
MERC71
15 Nov 2022
GEOR85
MERC83
16 Dec 2020
GEOR88
MERC81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#300
L
55-78
55
78
-23
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H20/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H21/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H25/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A03/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#72
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H02/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#226
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A06/11
NCAA
Andrew Fighting Tigers
#486
W
111-61
111
61
+50
H07/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#143
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-36
29-42
37-27
29-37
26-40
39-40
28-30
43-46
42-36
31-45
38-36
37-48
34-34
39-42
33-35
34-42
48-32
63-29
38-39
40-39
152.0Avg total
74.8Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.877.2163.0+8.525%
Season at home (2)92.068.5160.5+23.550%
Season away (2)79.586.0165.5-6.50%
Last 10 (10)74.877.2152.0-2.420%
Last 5 (5)83.678.6162.2+5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)70.274.6144.8-4.537%
vs Similar (6)70.379.3149.7-9.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)86.575.2161.8+11.250%
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A26/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H08/03
NCAA
Reinhardt
#443
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H02/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#45
L
67-96
67
96
-29
A06/11
NCAA
Davidson
#124
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
A11/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#9
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-44
51-50
44-41
45-45
32-33
42-45
49-35
33-41
35-36
38-41
39-21
51-32
24-47
43-49
33-34
43-54
39-46
39-32
28-31
33-44
161.3Avg total
79.9Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.280.6158.8-2.440%
Season at home (1)90.053.0143.0+37.0100%
Season away (4)75.287.5162.8-12.225%
Last 10 (10)79.981.4161.3-1.540%
Last 5 (5)78.280.6158.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)68.086.3154.3-18.30%
vs Similar (8)74.075.9149.9-1.950%
vs Weaker (16)84.177.9162.0+6.156%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: -1.5-1.5
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: -1.5-1.5
Georgia StateMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#300
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H20/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H21/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H25/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#72
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H02/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#226
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A06/11
NCAA
Andrew Fighting Tigers
#486
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#143
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A11/11
NCAA
69.5Avg total
35.0Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.635.770.2-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.733.168.9+2.653%-
Last 30 away (15)33.438.271.6-4.820%-
Last 10 (10)35.034.569.5+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.273.4+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)32.634.967.5-2.432%-
vs Similar (6)34.237.271.3-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.237.879.0+3.525%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H20/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H08/03
NCAA
Reinhardt
#443
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H02/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#45
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A06/11
NCAA
Davidson
#124
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A11/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A13/11
NCAA
73.0Avg total
36.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.234.673.8+4.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.633.278.9+12.471%-
Last 30 away (16)33.635.869.4-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)36.236.873.0-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)32.635.868.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)28.337.365.7-9.00%-
vs Similar (8)36.536.873.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (16)40.135.475.6+4.756%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Georgia State wins
6
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
03/12/25Mercer v Georgia State78-67
28/12/24Georgia State v Mercer68-71
09/12/23Mercer v Georgia State64-60
16/11/22Georgia State v Mercer85-83 OT
04/12/21Mercer v Georgia State83-77
16/12/20Georgia State v Mercer88-81
01/12/20Mercer v Georgia State86-69
07/12/19Mercer v Georgia State61-73
17/03/12Mercer v Georgia State64-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AFresno State92-95 OT
07/11/26HAndrew Fighting Tigers111-61
06/11/26ACharlotte67-77
02/11/26HBowling Green73-76
03/03/26ALouisiana Lafayette75-84
28/02/26HOld Dominion73-81
25/02/26HCoastal Carolina71-76
21/02/26HJames Madison65-80
20/02/26HGeorgia Southern66-64
14/02/26AOld Dominion55-78
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AWest Virginia61-75
11/11/26AGeorgia Southern97-91 OT
08/11/26ADavidson76-88
06/11/26AVirginia Tech67-96
02/11/26HReinhardt90-53
08/03/26HWestern Carolina73-77
28/02/26HEast Tennessee St82-76
26/02/26AWestern Carolina74-78
21/02/26HSamford89-86
20/02/26HChattanooga Mocs90-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game85.892.079.5
Allowed / game77.268.586.0
Point differential+8.5+23.5-6.5
Avg total163.0160.5165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Mercer
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%100%25%
Points / game78.290.075.2
Allowed / game80.653.087.5
Point differential-2.4+37.0-12.2
Avg total158.8143.0162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State440100%89.862.8+27.0
2 Old Dominion550100%77.058.4+18.6
3 Appalachian State42250%69.060.2+8.8
4 Southern Miss42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Arkansas State42250%80.279.5+0.8
6 Coastal Carolina42250%72.573.5-1.0
7 South Alabama52340%74.676.0-1.4
8 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
9 James Madison31233%76.078.7-2.7
10 Georgia State41325%85.877.2+8.5
11 Marshall41325%78.276.0+2.2
12 Georgia Southern41325%77.882.8-5.0
13 Troy41325%66.078.0-12.0
14 Louisiana Monroe61517%75.087.7-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman54180%88.068.8+19.2
2 Citadel43175%90.064.5+25.5
3 VMI53260%77.870.4+7.4
4 Western Carolina42250%89.874.5+15.2
5 NC Greensboro42250%81.070.8+10.2
6 Chattanooga Mocs42250%84.279.5+4.8
7 Wofford52340%82.482.0+0.4
8 Mercer52340%78.280.6-2.4
9 Samford31233%77.378.7-1.3
10 East Tennessee St31233%65.368.3-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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