PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Georgia State vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 68-71
37-40 31-31
Position#274
Record4-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Mercer 🏆
USA
Position#264
Record6-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game75.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Georgia State v Mercer
01 Dec 2026
GEOR v MERC
upcoming
28 Dec 2024
GEOR68
MERC71
15 Nov 2022
GEOR85
MERC83
16 Dec 2020
GEOR88
MERC81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A14/11
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#565
W
106-66
106
66
+40
H19/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#262
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H23/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H26/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
76-105
76
105
-29
A30/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H07/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
L
63-77
63
77
-14
H14/12
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
59-100
59
100
-41
A18/12
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
41-31
26-41
48-32
58-34
43-38
50-41
26-32
24-30
35-34
39-37
33-48
43-57
39-36
38-45
25-32
38-45
31-43
28-57
25-39
32-38
151.2Avg total
72.2Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)71.679.8151.3-8.233%
Season at home (7)76.371.7148.0+4.657%
Season away (5)65.091.0156.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)72.279.0151.2-6.830%
Last 5 (5)66.488.0154.4-21.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.883.3154.1-12.515%
vs Similar ◀ (7)69.668.0137.6+1.657%
vs Weaker (10)79.074.7153.7+4.360%
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trinity Baptist
#528
W
101-43
101
43
+58
H14/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A16/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A22/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H26/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H04/12
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
A08/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H15/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A19/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
L
97-102
97
102
-5
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-13
56-30
32-42
34-33
32-36
40-48
30-40
44-34
30-35
42-40
40-29
46-43
40-38
33-35
37-30
38-33
29-30
37-43
36-44
61-58
157.3Avg total
81.4Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.675.7159.2+7.950%
Season at home (6)91.566.0157.5+25.583%
Season away (6)75.785.3161.0-9.717%
Last 10 (10)81.475.9157.3+5.550%
Last 5 (5)82.678.6161.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.176.7148.8-4.636%
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.176.4147.5-5.330%
vs Weaker (6)94.364.0158.3+30.3100%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: -4.9-4.92nd half: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: -4.9-4.92nd half: +3.4+3.4
Georgia StateMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A14/11
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#565
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H19/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#262
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H23/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H26/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A30/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H14/12
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A18/12
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A21/12
NCAA
71.1Avg total
34.6Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.236.670.8-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.734.670.4+1.147%-
Last 30 away (13)32.239.271.5-7.038%-
Last 10 (10)34.636.571.1-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)30.639.670.2-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.739.372.0-6.623%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)31.933.365.1-1.443%-
vs Weaker (10)37.835.573.3+2.370%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trinity Baptist
#528
W
45-13
45
13
+32
H14/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A16/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A22/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H26/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H04/12
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A08/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H15/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A19/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A21/12
NCAA
68.8Avg total
35.1Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.334.368.6-0.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.131.967.9+4.250%-
Last 30 away (14)32.237.169.3-4.929%-
Last 10 (10)35.133.768.8+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.434.270.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.736.968.6-5.214%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.433.564.9-2.140%-
vs Weaker (6)45.029.574.5+15.5100%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Georgia State wins
4
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Mercer v Georgia State64-60
16/11/22Georgia State v Mercer85-83 OT
04/12/21Mercer v Georgia State83-77
16/12/20Georgia State v Mercer88-81
01/12/20Mercer v Georgia State86-69
07/12/19Mercer v Georgia State61-73
17/03/12Mercer v Georgia State64-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24ATroy57-77
18/12/24AAuburn59-100
14/12/24HCharlotte63-77
07/12/24HKennesaw State77-81
30/11/24AKentucky76-105
27/11/24HTulsa74-71
26/11/24HAustin Peay50-62
23/11/24HN. Carolina Central93-79
19/11/24HToccoa Falls106-66
14/11/24AJacksonville State67-72
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AWinthrop97-102
19/12/24AQueens Royals66-73
15/12/24HChicago State75-63
08/12/24AStetson89-83 OT
04/12/24HWest Georgia86-72
26/11/24HMiami (Ohio)72-75
25/11/24HJacksonville Dolphins90-89 OT
22/11/24ASouth Carolina72-84
16/11/24ASouth Alabama66-75
14/11/24HTrinity Baptist101-43

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLWLL57%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %33%57%0%
Points / game71.676.365.0
Allowed / game79.871.791.0
Point differential-8.2+4.6-26.0
Avg total151.3148.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercer
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%83%17%
Points / game83.691.575.7
Allowed / game75.766.085.3
Point differential+7.9+25.5-9.7
Avg total159.2157.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %17%17%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State1310377%80.771.5+9.2
2 Texas State128467%77.467.1+10.3
3 Troy128467%75.466.4+9.0
4 South Alabama128467%72.364.5+7.8
5 Marshall137654%77.372.2+5.1
6 Georgia Southern137654%74.478.9-4.5
7 Appalachian State126650%70.065.0+5.0
8 James Madison126650%72.869.9+2.9
9 Coastal Carolina126650%68.869.3-0.6
10 Southern Miss125742%71.576.7-5.2
11 Georgia State124833%71.679.8-8.2
12 Old Dominion124833%68.977.6-8.7
13 Louisiana Monroe1441029%72.872.4+0.4
14 Louisiana Lafayette1331023%65.675.8-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman1312192%78.963.8+15.1
2 Samford1310377%89.077.8+11.2
3 Chattanooga Mocs138562%75.170.5+4.6
4 East Tennessee St137654%75.067.4+7.6
5 Mercer126650%83.675.7+7.9
6 NC Greensboro126650%71.864.2+7.6
7 VMI136746%79.971.2+8.7
8 Citadel115645%73.572.3+1.3
9 Wofford125742%72.772.2+0.5
10 Western Carolina114736%70.076.2-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia State373168
Mercer403171
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.