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Georgia State vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 74-78
33-36 41-42
Position#252
Record9-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Troy 🏆
USA
Position#98
Record14-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Georgia State v Troy
04 Feb 2026
GEOR63
TROY74
03 Feb 2024
GEOR74
TROY78
12 Jan 2023
GEOR53
TROY65
03 Feb 2022
GEOR63
TROY67
20 Feb 2021
GEOR65
TROY53
19 Feb 2021
GEOR80
TROY66
01 Feb 2020
GEOR78
TROY84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#186
W
91-90
91
90
+1
H30/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A05/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
90-76
90
76
+14
A06/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H12/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H13/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A17/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A20/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A25/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A27/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
50-39
41-51
35-44
38-35
42-40
48-36
33-45
44-25
42-32
48-30
30-39
38-37
31-43
39-43
30-29
38-48
39-29
34-44
30-30
41-51
156.3Avg total
78.1Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.575.4153.9+3.143%
Season at home (8)86.569.0155.5+17.575%
Season away (13)73.679.3152.9-5.723%
Last 10 (10)78.178.2156.3-0.140%
Last 5 (5)72.081.0153.0-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)65.879.8145.5-14.012%
vs Similar (13)76.278.0154.2-1.831%
vs Weaker (8)81.470.6152.0+10.850%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A30/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H05/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H11/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H13/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A20/01
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H25/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
84-63
84
63
+21
A02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-33
39-32
55-34
31-39
23-26
43-36
37-30
42-43
35-21
47-35
25-30
46-44
34-33
29-31
39-34
39-31
40-34
43-45
44-29
40-34
143.8Avg total
76.4Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.169.5149.6+10.764%
Season at home (13)86.566.2152.6+20.392%
Season away (9)71.074.2145.2-3.222%
Last 10 (10)76.467.4143.8+9.080%
Last 5 (5)75.869.0144.8+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.081.5156.5-6.50%
vs Similar (5)69.470.8140.2-1.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)80.569.2149.7+11.473%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +2.9+2.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +2.9+2.9
Georgia StateTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#186
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H30/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A05/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H12/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H13/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A17/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A20/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A25/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A27/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H02/02
NCAA
73.2Avg total
36.2Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.136.071.1-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.834.270.1+1.638%-
Last 30 away (17)34.637.371.9-2.741%-
Last 10 (10)36.237.073.2-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.034.066.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)30.935.566.4-4.625%-
vs Similar (13)35.738.574.2-2.831%-
vs Weaker (8)38.532.971.4+5.662%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#330
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A30/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H05/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H11/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H13/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A20/01
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H25/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A02/02
NCAA
66.9Avg total
36.5Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.432.668.9+3.855%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.831.070.8+8.876%-
Last 30 away (12)31.634.866.3-3.225%-
Last 10 (10)36.530.466.9+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.432.068.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.539.071.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (4)27.034.561.5-7.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)38.432.370.6+6.168%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Georgia State wins
4
Troy wins
DateGameScore
13/01/23Georgia State v Troy53-65
04/02/22Georgia State v Troy63-67
20/02/21Georgia State v Troy65-53
19/02/21Georgia State v Troy80-66
01/02/20Georgia State v Troy78-84
18/01/20Troy v Georgia State75-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24HAppalachian State71-81
27/01/24ACoastal Carolina83-85 OT
25/01/24AMarshall68-77
20/01/24AGeorgia Southern70-86
17/01/24AAppalachian State68-76
13/01/24HGeorgia Southern90-62
12/01/24HOld Dominion77-70
06/01/24ASouth Alabama90-76
05/01/24ASouthern Miss73-79
30/12/23HArkansas State91-90
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24AGeorgia Southern84-63
27/01/24HSouth Alabama83-79
25/01/24HTexas State78-65
20/01/24ASouthern Miss63-64
19/01/24ASouth Alabama71-74
13/01/24HSouthern Miss82-56
11/01/24HLouisiana Lafayette79-73
06/01/24HAppalachian State66-62
05/01/24HOld Dominion86-73
30/12/23ACoastal Carolina72-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL43%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21813
Win %43%75%23%
Points / game78.586.573.6
Allowed / game75.469.079.3
Point differential+3.1+17.5-5.7
Avg total153.9155.5152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %10%0%15%
Troy
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %64%92%22%
Points / game80.186.571.0
Allowed / game69.566.274.2
Point differential+10.7+20.3-3.2
Avg total149.6152.6145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%62%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %9%8%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison2219386%86.069.3+16.6
2 Appalachian State2319483%78.365.4+12.8
3 Troy2214864%80.169.5+10.7
4 Louisiana Lafayette2214864%77.571.4+6.1
5 Southern Miss22121055%70.271.1-1.0
6 Marshall23111248%75.476.3-0.9
7 South Alabama22101245%73.877.5-3.7
8 Arkansas State23101343%79.078.6+0.4
9 Georgia State2191243%78.575.4+3.1
10 Texas State2281436%69.071.4-2.5
11 Louisiana Monroe2171433%70.074.6-4.6
12 Coastal Carolina2161529%74.779.4-4.7
13 Old Dominion2261627%72.177.3-5.2
14 Georgia Southern2351822%70.779.4-8.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia State334174
Troy364278
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