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Georgia State vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 63-74
28-28 35-46
Position#332
Record9-14
FormWWWLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Troy 🏆
USA
Position#84
Record15-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game75.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Georgia State v Troy
04 Feb 2026
GEOR63
TROY74
03 Feb 2024
GEOR74
TROY78
12 Jan 2023
GEOR53
TROY65
03 Feb 2022
GEOR63
TROY67
20 Feb 2021
GEOR65
TROY53
19 Feb 2021
GEOR80
TROY66
01 Feb 2020
GEOR78
TROY84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Columbia College (SC)
#554
W
110-72
110
72
+38
H28/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A31/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
89-71
89
71
+18
A03/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H09/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
77-57
77
57
+20
A17/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H23/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A30/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
56-38
54-34
35-33
45-51
25-34
64-37
25-23
25-29
38-38
43-35
38-39
39-18
30-32
39-30
38-36
44-45
28-46
44-36
33-36
34-33
148.0Avg total
77.7Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)71.073.8144.8-2.939%
Season at home (9)75.967.8143.7+8.167%
Season away (14)67.877.7145.5-9.921%
Last 10 (10)77.770.3148.0+7.460%
Last 5 (5)73.470.2143.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)69.576.3145.7-6.837%
vs Similar (8)68.673.5142.1-4.925%
vs Weaker (2)93.564.5158.0+29.0100%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#125
W
100-80
100
80
+20
H31/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H03/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A08/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A10/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
91-65
91
65
+26
H15/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
99-74
99
74
+25
H17/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
83-77 OT
83
77
+6
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A24/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H30/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
44-66
44
66
-22
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-33
55-47
30-23
29-26
32-45
42-41
53-35
37-35
42-26
49-39
44-35
55-39
35-35
29-29
47-38
36-40
28-31
36-42
24-36
20-30
150.5Avg total
78.7Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.775.7159.4+8.065%
Season at home (11)82.467.4149.7+15.064%
Season away (12)84.983.3168.2+1.667%
Last 10 (10)78.771.8150.5+6.970%
Last 5 (5)74.673.6148.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)77.876.7154.5+1.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.172.0155.1+11.173%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +8.3+8.32nd half: +2.0+2.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +8.3+8.32nd half: +2.0+2.0
Georgia StateTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Columbia College (SC)
#554
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H28/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A31/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A03/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H09/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H23/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A30/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A01/02
NCAA
70.1Avg total
34.6Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.935.770.6-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.731.969.6+5.873%-
Last 30 away (19)33.237.971.1-4.732%-
Last 10 (10)34.635.570.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)33.437.871.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)32.936.769.7-3.837%-
vs Similar (8)34.533.868.2+0.862%-
vs Weaker (2)47.038.585.5+8.550%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#125
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H31/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H03/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A08/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A10/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H15/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H17/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A24/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H30/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H31/01
NCAA
71.7Avg total
38.0Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.532.069.4+5.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.629.467.9+9.271%-
Last 30 away (16)36.534.270.8+2.238%-
Last 10 (10)38.033.771.7+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.070.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)35.133.868.9+1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)38.430.669.0+7.853%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Georgia State wins
6
Troy wins
DateGameScore
21/12/24Troy v Georgia State77-57
03/02/24Georgia State v Troy74-78
13/01/23Georgia State v Troy53-65
04/02/22Georgia State v Troy63-67
20/02/21Georgia State v Troy65-53
19/02/21Georgia State v Troy80-66
01/02/20Georgia State v Troy78-84
18/01/20Troy v Georgia State75-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26ASouth Alabama67-69
30/01/26ALouisiana Lafayette72-82
24/01/26HArkansas State82-81
23/01/26HSouthern Miss69-62
17/01/26ALouisiana Monroe77-57
10/01/26HMarshall81-73
09/01/26HAppalachian State50-52
03/01/26ACoastal Carolina89-71
31/12/25AMarshall80-84
28/12/25HColumbia College (SC)110-72
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HAppalachian State44-66
30/01/26HJames Madison64-73
24/01/26AGeorgia Southern83-78
22/01/26AOld Dominion83-77 OT
17/01/26HArkansas State99-74
15/01/26HSouthern Miss91-65
10/01/26ALouisiana Lafayette90-70
08/01/26AArkansas State74-86
03/01/26HSouth Alabama59-49
31/12/25HTexas State100-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL39%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLWWLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23914
Win %39%67%21%
Points / game71.075.967.8
Allowed / game73.867.877.7
Point differential-2.9+8.1-9.9
Avg total144.8143.7145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Troy
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL65%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %65%64%67%
Points / game83.782.484.9
Allowed / game75.767.483.3
Point differential+8.0+15.0+1.6
Avg total159.4149.7168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%55%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %22%9%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy2315865%83.775.7+8.0
2 Appalachian State2516964%71.664.2+7.3
3 Marshall2214864%80.174.0+6.1
4 South Alabama2314961%72.368.1+4.1
5 Georgia Southern24141058%81.479.7+1.7
6 Coastal Carolina24141058%73.271.7+1.5
7 Arkansas State23131057%81.578.7+2.8
8 Texas State24131154%73.471.1+2.3
9 Southern Miss24121250%73.573.2+0.3
10 James Madison23111248%74.475.7-1.3
11 Georgia State2391439%71.073.8-2.9
12 Old Dominion2371630%73.777.4-3.7
13 Louisiana Lafayette2371630%61.468.9-7.5
14 Louisiana Monroe2332013%71.482.6-11.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia State283563
Troy284674
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