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Geraldton Buccaneers vs Lakeside Lightning Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 May 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 101-86
29-21 27-21 20-27 25-17
Position#2
Record7-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game100.4
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#8
Record5-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game91.2
AustraliaNBL1 West
Other2023
Meetings · Geraldton Buccaneers v Lakeside Lightning
05 Jul 2025
GERA108
LAKE88
20 Apr 2024
GERA89
LAKE70
27 May 2023
GERA101
LAKE86
22 May 2021
GERA60
LAKE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geraldton Buccaneers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lakeside Lightning winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geraldton BuccaneersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South West Slammers
#13
W
106-45
106
45
+61
H01/04
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#4
L
80-96
80
96
-16
H08/04
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#3
L
90-96
90
96
-6
A15/04
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#9
W
124-87
124
87
+37
A16/04
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#7
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H22/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#10
W
97-63
97
63
+34
H29/04
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#14
W
128-98
128
98
+30
A06/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A07/05
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#6
W
120-98
120
98
+22
H13/05
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#1
W
92-91
92
91
+1
H20/05
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-15
24-9
29-7
19-14
28-23
17-24
18-25
17-24
26-19
23-30
22-19
19-28
30-20
37-21
27-17
30-29
29-15
21-23
23-23
19-21
17-18
27-9
28-16
25-20
30-26
29-24
41-28
28-20
23-22
23-19
22-23
7-22
22-18
23-20
35-30
40-30
21-26
30-28
17-22
24-15
184.6Avg total
100.4Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)100.484.2184.6+16.270%
Season at home (6)97.879.2177.0+18.783%
Season away (4)104.291.8196.0+12.550%
Last 10 (10)100.484.2184.6+16.270%
Last 5 (5)102.487.2189.6+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.091.0183.0+1.0100%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)95.779.3175.0+16.476%
This opponent (Lakeside Lightning) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lakeside LightningAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Willetton Tigers
#6
L
91-104
91
104
-13
A06/04
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#9
W
99-91
99
91
+8
H14/04
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#11
W
103-100
103
100
+3
H15/04
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#13
W
100-84
100
84
+16
H21/04
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#1
L
79-108
79
108
-29
A26/04
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A29/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#10
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H06/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#5
L
79-86 OT
79
86
-7
A12/05
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#14
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H19/05
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#13
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A20/05
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
22-38
25-27
18-12
24-24
19-22
28-27
28-18
26-27
30-23
27-27
20-23
26-21
28-18
25-29
21-16
15-36
24-18
23-35
17-19
25-19
18-27
14-16
20-21
28-32
17-15
23-21
20-25
17-21
17-25
26-17
11-8
25-22
25-14
21-21
19-23
30-21
24-19
14-15
19-19
179.6Avg total
89.3Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.891.2177.0-5.542%
Season at home (6)92.789.5182.2+3.267%
Season away (6)78.893.0171.8-14.217%
Last 10 (10)89.390.3179.6-1.050%
Last 5 (5)84.283.2167.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)82.596.0178.5-13.511%
vs Similar (3)93.091.3184.3+1.767%
vs Weaker (9)90.487.8178.2+2.756%
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
Geraldton BuccaneersLakeside Lightning
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geraldton BuccaneersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South West Slammers
#13
W
58-24
58
24
+34
H01/04
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H08/04
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#3
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A15/04
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#9
W
67-41
67
41
+26
A16/04
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#7
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H22/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#10
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H29/04
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#14
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A06/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#5
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A07/05
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#6
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H13/05
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#1
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H20/05
NBL1 West
92.3Avg total
51.4Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.040.189.2+8.973%-
Last 30 at home (19)47.736.884.5+10.979%-
Last 30 away (11)51.345.997.2+5.464%-
Last 10 (10)51.440.992.3+10.570%-
Last 5 (5)49.042.091.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.054.0105.0-3.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)49.039.788.6+9.376%-
This opponent (Lakeside Lightning) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lakeside LightningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Willetton Tigers
#6
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A06/04
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H14/04
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#11
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H15/04
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#13
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H21/04
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#1
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A26/04
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A29/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#10
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H06/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#5
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A12/05
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#14
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H19/05
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#13
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A20/05
NBL1 West
93.5Avg total
46.6Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.047.189.1-5.223%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.647.690.2-4.931%-
Last 30 away (14)41.246.687.9-5.414%-
Last 10 (10)46.646.993.5-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)45.243.088.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.148.087.1-8.911%-
vs Similar (3)47.347.394.7+0.033%-
vs Weaker (9)45.945.391.2+0.644%-
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Geraldton Buccaneers wins
1
Lakeside Lightning wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/23HRockingham Flames92-91
13/05/23HWilletton Tigers120-98
07/05/23APerry Lakes Hawks75-86
06/05/23AMandurah Magic128-98
29/04/23HKalamunda Eastern Suns97-63
22/04/23HWarwick Senators92-82
16/04/23ABeeliar Boodjar124-87
15/04/23AJoondalup Wolves90-96
08/04/23HPerth Redbacks80-96
01/04/23HSouth West Slammers106-45
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/23ASouth West Slammers87-74
19/05/23HMandurah Magic90-80
12/05/23APerry Lakes Hawks79-86 OT
06/05/23HKalamunda Eastern Suns88-93
29/04/23ABeeliar Boodjar77-83
26/04/23ARockingham Flames79-108
21/04/23HSouth West Slammers100-84
15/04/23HGoldfields Giants103-100
14/04/23HBeeliar Boodjar99-91
06/04/23AWilletton Tigers91-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geraldton Buccaneers
NBL1 West 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%83%50%
Points / game100.497.8104.2
Allowed / game84.279.291.8
Point differential+16.2+18.7+12.5
Avg total184.6177.0196.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lakeside Lightning
NBL1 West 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW42%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%67%17%
Points / game85.892.778.8
Allowed / game91.289.593.0
Point differential-5.5+3.2-14.2
Avg total177.0182.2171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perry Lakes Hawks1210283%93.680.9+12.7
2 Rockingham Flames108280%99.887.4+12.4
3 Perth Redbacks118373%87.578.5+8.9
4 Willetton Tigers118373%97.689.5+8.1
5 Geraldton Buccaneers107370%100.484.2+16.2
6 Joondalup Wolves128467%96.791.4+5.2
7 Kalamunda Eastern Suns106460%80.084.1-4.1
8 Warwick Senators95456%88.382.8+5.6
9 Lakeside Lightning125742%85.891.2-5.5
10 Goldfields Giants104640%90.891.6-0.8
11 Beeliar Boodjar103730%93.698.7-5.1
12 South West Slammers112918%73.595.8-22.3
13 East Perth Eagles121118%87.399.3-12.0
14 Mandurah Magic100100%84.0102.3-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geraldton Buccaneers29272025101
Lakeside Lightning2121271786
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