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Geraldton Buccaneers vs Lakeside Lightning Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 108-88
24-23 30-20 24-23 30-22
Position#1
Record11-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game102.7
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#10
Record5-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game94.4
AustraliaNBL1 West
Other2025
Meetings · Geraldton Buccaneers v Lakeside Lightning
05 Jul 2025
GERA108
LAKE88
20 Apr 2024
GERA89
LAKE70
27 May 2023
GERA101
LAKE86
22 May 2021
GERA60
LAKE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geraldton Buccaneers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lakeside Lightning winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geraldton BuccaneersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
W
111-82
111
82
+29
H03/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
L
89-92
89
92
-3
H10/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
96-68
96
68
+28
H17/05
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
W
100-87
100
87
+13
H24/05
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
107-87
107
87
+20
A31/05
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
99-103 OT
99
103
-4
A01/06
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
W
103-83
103
83
+20
H07/06
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
103-70
103
70
+33
H14/06
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
135-88
135
88
+47
A21/06
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
W
117-97
117
97
+20
H28/06
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-27
23-21
25-22
28-12
17-23
21-13
28-25
23-31
14-18
19-11
38-17
25-22
27-24
28-20
29-24
16-19
28-27
34-24
23-26
22-10
20-22
29-27
20-13
19-26
22-14
25-35
24-15
32-19
26-16
24-20
30-23
23-11
37-18
39-23
31-22
28-25
19-26
25-26
33-19
40-26
191.7Avg total
106.0Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)102.784.9187.7+17.873%
Season at home (8)103.281.0184.2+22.288%
Season away (7)102.189.4191.6+12.757%
Last 10 (10)106.085.7191.7+20.380%
Last 5 (5)111.488.2199.6+23.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)96.382.7179.0+13.7100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)102.086.4188.4+15.678%
This opponent (Lakeside Lightning) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lakeside LightningAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South West Slammers
#14
W
103-91
103
91
+12
H03/05
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
73-107
73
107
-34
A10/05
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
L
74-89
74
89
-15
H16/05
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A24/05
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
87-107
87
107
-20
H31/05
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A07/06
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H13/06
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H20/06
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
L
91-106
91
106
-15
A27/06
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
99-93
99
93
+6
H28/06
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
33-15
19-28
26-28
23-24
17-32
16-20
17-31
12-25
24-21
18-26
20-17
25-19
15-27
26-18
12-15
27-28
24-34
26-23
10-22
23-11
23-23
23-24
24-25
27-26
24-15
21-25
21-20
16-21
15-18
31-31
26-23
18-31
25-25
19-19
29-31
36-28
17-25
13-23
33-17
181.3Avg total
87.9Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.294.4181.7-7.231%
Season at home (9)87.196.3183.4-9.233%
Season away (7)87.492.0179.4-4.629%
Last 10 (10)87.993.4181.3-5.540%
Last 5 (5)92.892.2185.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)88.297.6185.8-9.421%
vs Similar (5)87.090.8177.8-3.840%
vs Weaker (11)91.788.1179.8+3.655%
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +7.5+7.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +7.5+7.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
Geraldton BuccaneersLakeside Lightning
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geraldton BuccaneersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H03/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H10/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H17/05
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H24/05
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A31/05
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A01/06
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H07/06
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H14/06
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
76-41
76
41
+35
A21/06
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H28/06
NBL1 West
94.7Avg total
51.2Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.145.196.2+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.244.092.2+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)54.546.4100.9+8.179%-
Last 10 (10)51.243.594.7+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)53.245.498.6+7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)51.341.793.0+9.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)51.145.596.6+5.670%-
This opponent (Lakeside Lightning) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lakeside LightningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South West Slammers
#14
W
58-35
58
35
+23
H03/05
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A10/05
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H16/05
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A24/05
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H31/05
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A07/06
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H13/06
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H20/06
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A27/06
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H28/06
NBL1 West
91.7Avg total
44.9Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.848.091.9-4.223%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.347.392.6-2.127%-
Last 30 away (15)42.448.791.1-6.320%-
Last 10 (10)44.946.891.7-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)44.844.689.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)42.852.295.0-9.47%-
vs Similar (5)44.645.289.8-0.620%-
vs Weaker (11)44.844.088.8+0.845%-
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/25HWilletton Tigers117-97
21/06/25AGoldfields Giants135-88
14/06/25HMandurah Magic103-70
07/06/25HJoondalup Wolves103-83
01/06/25AWilletton Tigers99-103 OT
31/05/25ALakeside Lightning107-87
24/05/25HWarwick Senators100-87
17/05/25HPerry Lakes Hawks96-68
10/05/25HEast Perth Eagles89-92
03/05/25HKalamunda Eastern Suns111-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/25HEast Perth Eagles99-93
27/06/25ABeeliar Boodjar91-106
20/06/25HWilletton Tigers88-93
13/06/25HBeeliar Boodjar93-86
07/06/25AMandurah Magic93-83
31/05/25HGeraldton Buccaneers87-107
24/05/25AGoldfields Giants78-79
16/05/25HPerth Redbacks74-89
10/05/25AWilletton Tigers73-107
03/05/25HSouth West Slammers103-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geraldton Buccaneers
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%88%57%
Points / game102.7103.2102.1
Allowed / game84.981.089.4
Point differential+17.8+22.2+12.7
Avg total187.7184.2191.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%88%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %13%0%29%
Lakeside Lightning
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW31%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %31%33%29%
Points / game87.287.187.4
Allowed / game94.496.392.0
Point differential-7.2-9.2-4.6
Avg total181.7183.4179.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%11%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rockingham Flames1714382%106.194.6+11.5
2 Warwick Senators1512380%107.191.5+15.6
3 Willetton Tigers1713476%94.889.4+5.4
4 Geraldton Buccaneers1511473%102.784.9+17.8
5 Joondalup Wolves1711665%97.191.7+5.4
6 Mandurah Magic179853%93.996.9-2.9
7 Kalamunda Eastern Suns168850%86.984.9+2.0
8 Goldfields Giants168850%90.792.2-1.5
9 East Perth Eagles167944%93.293.8-0.6
10 Perry Lakes Hawks156940%84.891.1-6.3
11 Lakeside Lightning1651131%87.294.4-7.2
12 Perth Redbacks1751229%83.494.6-11.3
13 Beeliar Boodjar1631319%87.497.0-9.6
14 South West Slammers161156%81.298.2-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geraldton Buccaneers24302430108
Lakeside Lightning2320232288
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